Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy: June 15, 2016 – FanDuel Value Plays
Below we’ve got a discussion on some some MLB DFS value plays for the Wednesday’s 15-game slate on FanDuel. These are some names to consider for salary relief without completely punting the position. Our friends at RotoQL have once again been used to help guide your research for today’s games. To learn more about RotoQL or to take a look at the packages they have to offer, please follow this link – it will truly help you become a better daily fantasy baseball player — and will give you a full look at value plays for each position, for each site.
Always double check team’s official lineups and the weather prior to submitting your lineups.
Shin-soo Choo | Rangers | $2,800 (FD) – The Rangers draw right-hander Sonny Gray in Oakland with a game total of 8. The Rangers’ implied team total currently sits at four runs and the wind is blowing out nicely to right field. Choo shows up as the best value play among outfielders on RotoQL against right-handed hurler Sonny Gray. Gray is an arm we typically tried to avoid last year in cash games, but he’s struggled to the tune of a 5.35 ERA (4.44 SIERA, 4.24 xFIP) and an 8.9% K-BB% this season. Rangers bats from both sides of the plate are in play today considering Gray features some reverse splits — when a pitcher allows same handed batters better results than opposite handed batters — but lefties own a .271/.338/.400 slash with a .312 wOBA against Gray this season. For those in the BvP crowd, Choo is 6-of-18 lifetime against Sonny Gray.
Rob Refsnyder | Yankees | $2,700 (FD) – The Yankees’ may give left-handed hitter Ike Davis a look at first base tonight at Coors against the right-handed Chad Bettis, but if by chance Rob Refsnyder is in the lineup, he’ll be the top value on the slate at first base per RotoQL. There’s an over/under of 12.5 runs with a Yankees’ implied team total of 6.8 and the wind blowing out to left. Refsnyder is significantly better against southpaws, but Chad Bettis has some reverse splits — owning a 3.26 FIP/.310 to LHB and a 5.82 FIP/.382 wOBA to RHB — meaning there’s a chance we could still see Refsnyder in the lineup. Both he and Davis are in play depending on who gets the nod.
Tim Anderson | White Sox | $2,200 (FD) – Anderson, the White Sox rookie shortstop and former top prospect, is just $2,200 ($2,000 on DraftKings) and is projected to bat leadoff against the Tigers’ Mike Pelfrey. Pelfrey has been nothing short of awful this season, owning a 4.68 ERA (5.28 SIERA, 5.03 xFIP) with just a 2.0% K-BB%. Considering the recent call up for Anderson, we don’t have a lot of splits data, but we do know that Pelfrey allows a .363 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Chicago is a large favorite (-170) with Chris Sale on the mound at the Cell and the game features an over/under of 9 runs with the Sox accounting for 5.1 of them according to RotoQL. This is both a cash and tournament play.
Robinson Chirinos | Rangers | $2,200 (FD) – Back to Oakland to pick on Sonny Gray, Robinson Chirinos shows up as one of the best values on the day behind the dish. Chirinos fares much better against lefties, but this is when the reverse splits of Sonny Gray may come into play. Not comfortable with Chirinos in this situation? Look across to the opposing dugout where Josh Phegley draws Derek Holland for $3,000. Phegley is the day’s second-best value at catcher per the model.