2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 16 Running Backs
The following values are my recommended running back plays for Week 15 at DraftKings – the best daily fantasy sports site on the Internet. Here are the scoring settings for running backs, and if you have any more questions about DraftKings or fantasy football in general ask us on Twitter@TheFantasyFix or @44AMiller.
Tennessee, Jacksonville, Philadelphia, Washington, San Diego and San Francisco play on Thursday and Saturday, respectively, and I didn’t see any contests that included players from those teams as well as players from the Sunday/Monday games. I’ll only be listing players from Sunday and Monday in this column.
Eddie Lacy – $7,300 at Tampa Bay – Lacy has scored in double-digits in 10 of his last 11 games, and he’s scored or posted 115 total yards in every game since Week 7. Tampa Bay has allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game to running backs in the last five weeks, which includes over 146 total yards per game allowed. Alfred Morris and Joique Bell have feasted against Tampa’s defense recently, so Lacy shouldn’t have a problem here – especially after putting up quality stats against a tough Buffalo team when the rest of the Packers couldn’t.
C.J. Anderson – $6,900 at Cincinnati – Cincy has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to running backs in the last five weeks, and that’s even with a dominant performance against the Browns in Week 15. Anderson had his worst game since becoming a starter thanks to not reaching the end zone. But he still had 29 carries and two catches, totaling 96 yards. If he scores once, that’s a very good day. Now his price has dropped to where it was in Week 11, $900 less than he was last week. Cincinnati is giving up over a touchdown per game to running backs in the last three, five and 14 weeks (the full season). Expect Anderson to rebound with a big game.
Fred Jackson – $5,500 at Oakland – Jackson has scored 10+ points in each of his last four games, and his touches in those games go 13, 24, 18, 23. He’s caught 19 passes in those four games, and that’s good news going against Oakland, which has allowed four receiving touchdowns to running backs in its last five games and seven on the season – both of which are worst in the league.
Latavius Murray – $4,600 vs. Buffalo – Murray again saw the most touches for the Raiders Sunday, and he even saw a season-high six targets. Buffalo has a stingy defense, but it ranks just in the middle of the pack against running backs this year. The Bills have allowed a few big games to top backs, but they’ve also allowed high-quality, low-quantity outings to several mid-level or worse backs. Murray should be able to average a high amount of yards against Buffalo, so we just need to hope the game is competitive and he doesn’t cede snaps to Marcel Reece. Murray is a better play for GPP games with higher payouts due to his high ceiling/low floor combo.
Lamar Miller – $4,400 vs. Minnesota – Miller’s coming off his second-worst game of the season, and his price is at a season-low, which is surprising considering the matchup and his consistent play in 2014. In the past five weeks Minnesota has allowed three 100-total-yard games to running backs, and Jonathan Stewart, Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson have all rushed well against the Vikings. Miller is averaging 15.5 points per game at home compared to 11.5 on the road. Miller should be able to earn his price due to his guaranteed touches.
Steven Jackson – $3,600 at New Orleans – No team has allowed more fantasy points per game to running backs in the last five weeks than New Orleans, which before Monday night’s game gave up 218 total yards a game to running backs in its last five games. Jackson isn’t great and his ceiling is limited I’d think, but he has been fairly consistent this year scoring in the low double-digits. New Orleans has allowed seven touchdowns to running backs in its last five games and five scores to backs in its last three games. The price and matchup are too good to pass up here.