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2016 Fantasy Baseball: San Diego Padres Team Preview

This is definitely a new-look team compared to last year’s Padres. No Craig Kimbrel, Ian Kennedy or Justin Upton, and welcome to Jon Jay, Alexei Ramirez and Fernando Rodney. Don’t be fooled by some names that are bigger than their production.

LINEUP

  1. Corey Spangenberg, 2B
  2. Wil Myers, 1B
  3. Yangervis Solarte, 3B
  4. Matt Kemp, RF
  5. Derek Norris, C
  6. Alexei Ramirez, SS
  7. Jon Jay, LF
  8. Melvin Upton, Jr., CF

The biggest name here is Kemp, and it pains me to say this, but he’s currently being overdrafted at 81st overall, per NFBC data. He started slowly last year, but really hit well from June-on. But his days of being an across-the-board stud are over. He’ll help you in home runs and RBIs, but there are several players that you should take over him including Yasiel Puig, Gregory Polanco, Adam Eaton and Kole Calhoun.

Myers didn’t do much in his first season in San Diego, but he did have a 10 percent walk rate. He hasn’t shown much yet in the Majors, but his ADP of 53 among outfielders is low enough to take him without being anxious about it.

Solarte could be eligible at third, first and second in your league, and his power (14 home runs) makes him somewhat appealing. His positional eligibility is his calling card, so I think he’s worth a bench spot in deep leagues.

Spangenberg played well in the second half last year in his first taste of extended big-league action. He won’t hit you many homers, but he could definitely be a cheap source of steals and average. Also, if he stays atop the order, he should provide a good amount of runs.

ROTATION

  1. Tyson Ross
  2. James Shields
  3. Andrew Cashner
  4. Brandon Maurer
  5. Robbie Erlin

Ross has increased his strikeout rate each of the last three years…but he’s also increased his walk rate each of the last two. His ground ball ways (career-high 61 percent last year) and home-run aversion (career 0.5 per 9 innings) make the walks easier to stomach, not to mention his home park. Ross should be able to put up another quality performance like his last two years, and he should be drafted around 30th among starters.

Shields is going 36th in NFBC drafts, and that’s way too early. Even if he gets his home runs and walks in order, his strikeouts will probably come down. He’s always been someone with a little more bark than bite, and there are several other pitchers being drafted behind him who have a lot more upside. You should pass on Shields this year.

BULLPEN

  • Closer: Fernando Rodney
  • Setup men: Drew Pomeranz, Kevin Quakenbush

The most known name here is Rodney, but don’t let that trick you into overspending for him. He had a down year across the board last season, and his strikeouts and home runs trended the wrong way. He’ll be 39 this year, and with his history of volatility, he’s only worth a late-round pick in hopes that he can get you saves without hurting you in other areas. Pomeranz and Quakenbush really hold no standard-league value.

MINORS

The Padres landed Manuel Margot in the Craig Kimbrel trade, and the 21-year-old is a speed-only threat. He’s probably a couple years away from playing in the bigs, but he should be able to rack up plenty of steals once he debuts. San Diego also landed Javier Guerra in the Kimbrel trade, and while he’s a defense-first shortstop, he has the potential to rack up double-digit home runs as well as other decent stats. He’s only 20 and is coming off a breakout season in A-ball. Keep his name in the back of your mind for the future.

Roster information provided by Roster Resource. Other information provided by Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus.

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