2015 Daily Fantasy Football Strategy: Week 8 Tight Ends
It is on to Week 8 of the NFL and Daily Fantasy Football at DraftKings. I’m back to provide recommendations for Tight Ends for your weekly lineup. This week is the perfect week to take a dip into the Daily Fantasy pool as you can win $1,000,000! Daily Fantasy can help you with lineup decision for your season-long league and give you another team to root on during the weekend.
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DraftKings Tight End Recommendations
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We have another four teams on bye again this week. And another game in London.
Finally, a gentle reminder on the scoring for Tight Ends – this is a PPR site so remember that when selecting players. The full for scoring for Tight Ends is at the end of this column.
Tight Ends can also be used in the flex position at DraftKings. However, with the entire world of RBs and WRs at your disposal Rob Gronkowski is probably the only TE you’d consider as a flex option. TEs still make a viable option at the flex spot as long as the pricing continues to be soft.
Let’s take a look at a couple of options at each price point. For those who are new to the column, I’ll generally look at a couple of options in each pricing tier broken out based on the socioeconomic status of 1970s sitcom families. And I’ll always cover Rob Gronkowski.
I’ll mention Football Outsiders a lot over the season – the passes per game and yards per game stats I use are from Football Outsiders. Here is the link to Football Outsiders’ 2013 stats. FO stats for 2014 are here and I like to use the defense versus types of receivers to fill out my rosters. And we now have 2015 stats located here.
Teams on bye: Buffalo Bills, Jacksonville Jaguars, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington
So, we lose Charles Clay, Julius Thomas, Zach Ertz/Brent Celek and Jordan Reed
We’ve added a new feature this year highlighting the top totals (over/under) in Vegas for the week.
The top over/under totals for Week 8 (according to Vegas Insider consensus):
San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (50.5 points)
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (49 points)
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (48.5 points)
The Gronk Tier
Rob Gronkowski | Patriots | $8,000 – Gronk suited up on Thursday so we can’t slot him in this weekend.
Greg Olsen | Panthers | $6,500 – Olsen is knocking on Gronk’s door. And for good reason – he’s the only reliable receiver for Cam Newton. However, his results are a bit more volatile. The Colts are in the bottom third in points allowed to TEs and have given up TDs in back to back games. At this price, we’ll need to see another TD from Olsen. He’s got a good bit of downside risk at these heights. A GPP option for me this week.
Tyler Eifert | Bengals | $5,300 – Eifert’s matchup looks great as the Steelers give up 8.6 passes per game to TEs and have given up the fourth most DraftKings’ points to TEs. Eifert is also a big red zone target with nine targets so far this year. He’s going to be a cash game mainstay for a lot of players – his ownership levels could be through the roof so a fade may be worthwhile in GPPs.
Jason Witten | Cowboys | $5,200 – Witten gets another great matchup this week (the Seahawks give up the second most points to TEs), but it hasn’t seemed to matter lately. Last week’s 13.3 points was his best output of the year since Week 1. He’s going to get targets, but his lack of TDs make him a GPP-only option at this price point.
Jimmy Graham | Seahawks | $5,100 – Do you remember Week 6? Yea, me neither. The Seahawks offense is tough to trust and with the excellent matchup Marshawn Lynch has this week, I can see the ‘hawks trying to pound the ball against the Cowboys. The upside is clear, but not enough for me in cash games as Dallas is stingy against TEs. Remember, they held Gronk to 4 catches and 67 yards earlier this year.
Travis Kelce | Chiefs | $5,000 – The Lions have given up five TDs in seven games to TEs and that’s just what Kelce needs this week – a TD. He’s had back to back five catch, 70+ yard performances. Add in a TD to that work and you’ve got my cash game pick for the week.
All in the Family
Martellus Bennett | Bears | $4,900 – Bennett is a bit banged up as he’s listed as questionable with a quad injury. But, with Cutler at the helm, Bennett is a solid option each week. The Vikings have given up three TDs in six weeks to TEs and give up just eight passes to TEs. Even with Alshon Jeffrey back, Bennett as solid upside.
Antonio Gates | $4,800 | Chargers – It’s doubtful he plays this week and if he does he’s not worth this price as he’ll be less than 100%.
Gary Barnidge | Browns | $4,700 – Gronk leads TEs in yards. Do you know who’s number two? This guy. Really. He’s been consistent as anyone this year – he’s have five straight weeks of 18.9 points of more. He’s a focal point of the Browns’ offense that doesn’t have much else to depend on. The matchup is tough, but I like him as a pivot play this week.
Delanie Walker | Titans | $4,100 – The matchup isn’t the best, but Walker has been consistent with only one week under 10 points. He’s had 15 catches over his last two weeks, but I think I can find similar production further down the list.
Benjamin Watson | Saints | $3,500 – If you want the safe floor of a Jason Witten, but don’t want to pay for it, hang out with Mr. Watson. He gets a Giants team that gives up just under nine passes per game to TEs. He seems to have evolved into the #1 TE in the Saints offense and their game has one of the higher totals for the week. The Saints did throw a TD to the TE last week for the third straight week, but it went to Michael Hoomanawanui. So, Watson just needs to get back on the TD train.
Larry Donnell | Giants | $3,300 – Donnell’s matchup is nice, but his upside is limited. He’s had at least three catches in every game this year, but his top yardage output is 38 and he’s crossed 10 points twice this year. There just isn’t a lot to get excited about. He makes a punt play with very limited upside.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins | Buccaneers | $3,200 – Check the injury reports on ASJ. There was hope he was back this week, but he didn’t practice Wednesday so he could be a week away.
Eric Ebron | Dolphins | $3,100 – Ebron faces the toughest defense against TEs this year, but he’s been pretty consistent having scored double digits in all but one game he’s played this year. The Chiefs haven’t exactly faced the toughest TE competition this week so their ranking is a bit inflated based on the TEs they’ve faced. I like Ebron a bit more than might be warranted by the stats.
Ladarius Green | Chargers| $3,000 – Green will probably start, but his matchup is tough. At least on paper. But, I imagine the Chargers will be throwing a lot and the Ravens did give up eight catches, 139 yards a TD to Gary Barnidge. So, they can be exploited.
Kyle Rudolph | Vikings| $3,000 – If you like two catches for 10 yards, Rudolph is your man.
Richard Rodgers | Packers| $3,000 – Maybe there is a TD this week? Maybe he sees a couple of more targets if the Broncos’ DBs can lock down the Pack WRs?
Sanford and Son
As we strive to give you more and more each week, we’ve added a new tier. The Sanford & Son tier. If you want to go dumpster diving hoping to find that gem, let Sanford & Son be your guide. You hear that Elizabeth? I’m coming to join ya!
Austin Seferian-Jenkins | Buccaneers | $2,800 – It’s highly unlikely that ASJ plays, but if he does, he’s a must start as the Bucs have only one NFL-ready WR who is healthy and will need to throw some to keep up with the Falcons.
Heath Miller | Steelers | $2,700 – Big Ben is back it seems and that makes Miller an intriguing cheap play this week. The Bengals haven’t given up a TD to a TE this year, but they still sit in the bottom half of the league in defense against TEs. IN their last game they gave up 14 catches to the Bills’ two TEs. I dig Miller this week.
Jeff Cumberland | Jets | $2,500 – Great matchup. Bad TE. The deepest of punt plays and hope for a TD.
Good luck in Week 8!
DraftKings Tight End Scoring
10 Receiving Yards = +1PT (+0.1PT per yard is awarded)
Reception = +1PT
Receiving TD = +6PTs
100+ Yard Receiving Game = +3PTs
Fumble Lost = -1PT
2 Point Conversion (Pass, Run, or Catch) = +2PTs
Offensive Fumble Recovery TD = +6PTs
The full DraftKings scoring system is here.