2015 Fantasy Football: Week 2 DFS Tight Ends
It is on to Week 2 of the NFL and Daily Fantasy Football at DraftKings. I’m back to provide recommendations for Tight Ends for your weekly lineup. This week is the perfect week to take a dip into the Daily Fantasy pool as you can win $1,000,000! Daily Fantasy can help you with lineup decision for your season-long league and give you another team to root on during the weekend.
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DraftKings Tight End Recommendations
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The answer to the Week 1 trivia was Tyler Eifert. Tyler Eifert. Eifert was the player who I wouldn’t cover who would have a breakout week. Week 1 always has one and he was it. Can he continue to look like Gronk week in and week out? Probably not. Does he require more attention going forward? Absolutely.
In Week 1, we had no current season data to rely on. Now, we have one week worth of data and we have to tread lightly not to read too much into it. Don’t overreact to what occurred in Week 1. It’s just one week so treat it as such.
Finally, a gentle reminder on the scoring for Tight Ends – this is a PPR site so remember that when selecting players. The full for scoring for Tight Ends is at the end of this column.
Tight Ends can also be used in the flex position at DraftKings. However, with the entire world of RBs and WRs at your disposal Rob Gronkowski is probably the only TE you’d consider as a flex option.
Let’s take a look at a couple of options at each price point. For those who are new to the column, I’ll generally look at a couple of options in each pricing tier broken out based on the socioeconomic status of 1970s sitcom families. And I’ll always cover Rob Gronkowski.
I’ll mention Football Outsiders a lot over the season – the passes per game and yards per game stats I use are from Football Outsiders. Here is the link to Football Outsiders’ 2013 stats. FO stats for 2014 are here and I like to use the defense versus types of receivers to fill out my rosters. And we now have 2015 stats located here though we don’t have values by receiver type yet.
The huge spread between the floor and the ceiling in TE pricing continues as our most expensive option is $7,300 and our floor remains $2,500. We’ll see how long that continues.
Teams on bye: None
We’ve added a new feature this year highlighting the top totals (over/under) in Vegas for the week.
The top over/under totals for Week 2 (according to Vegas Insider consensus):
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (o/u 55.5 points)
Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants (o/u 51 points)
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers (o/u 49 points)
And we have three games with the total at 47 points:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
San Diego Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts – Monday night
The Gronk Tier
Rob Gronkowski | Patriots | $7,300 – Gronk went off last week and saw his price creep up $300. He now faces a Bills team that showed in Week 1 it can control an opponent’s offense. The Bills have been talking all week and have threatened to cover Gronk with three players (or maybe more!). If Rex Ryan is to be believed, Gronk will be the defensive focus (and well should be) for the Bills. The Bills held the Colts dynamic duo of Dwayne Allen (three catches, 17 yards and a TD) and Coby Fleener (one catch, five yards) to a total of four catches, 22 yards and one TD. Gronk won’t likely put up numbers that poor, but the Bills’ defense gives me pause in recommending Gronk this week.
Jimmy Graham | Seahawks | $5,800 – Graham put up a solid game in Week 1, but in a week where the Seahawks scored 31, you might have wanted to see a bit more. He was targeted eight times (though only once in the first half) so he saw the volume, but he wasn’t really utilized down the field. He faces the Packers who were middle of the road against the TE last year and gave up five catches, 55 yards and touchdown last week to Martellus Bennett. I’ll look for better value down the salary scale.
Travis Kelce | Chiefs | $5,100 – See below in our Thursday night preview.
All in the Family
Greg Olsen | $4,900 | Panthers – Olsen landed with a thud in Week 1 and was penalized for it as his salary dropped $400 heading into Week 2. His matchup is tough this week as the Texans were one of the best against the TE last year. In Week 1, Travis Kelce shredded the Texans for 106 yards on six catches and a TD. I like Olsen as a nice contrarian play as I imagine his ownership will be quite low and the Panthers still don’t have much in the way of offensive weapons outside of Olsen.
Martellus Bennett | Bears | $4,500 – Bennett matches up with the Cardinals who were one of the worst against the TE last year. The Cards held the Saints TEs to three catches and 19 yards so maybe they’ve solved their issues. I’d like to believe they probably haven’t and that Bennett makes a nice mid-tier option this week.
Julius Thomas | Jaguars | $4,500 – He’s still out.
Tyler Eifert | Bengals | $4,200 – I believe I’m contractually obligated to write about Eifert. It was quite a performance last week and the accolades were well deserved. Let’s not forget, he was a first round pick so the pedigree is there. He led the Bengals in targets with 12 which is certainly heartwarming. His salary popped $700 this week as he faces the Chargers. The Chargers were one of the tougher defenses on TEs last year, but they did give up four catches, 51 yards and a TD to Eric Ebron last week. If you believe he’s Gronk, Jr. then he’s a bargain. If you believe we need to tap the brakes, then he’s expensive. I’m leaning more toward Gronk, Jr. right now and recommend him as a solid mid-tier play.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins | Buccaneers | $4,100 – ASJ’s salary jumped $700 from Week 1, but he still looks like a bargain. The Bucs may have Mike Evans back this week so Seferian-Jenkins’ targets could be limited. But, that doesn’t worry me in the least. The Saints defense gave up four catches, 82 yards and a touchdown to Darren Fells. Fells totaled five catches, 71 yards and zero touchdowns in 10 games last year. The Saints defense has been ravaged by injuries especially at the safety position and ASJ should be able to succeed again this week.
Jason Witten | Cowboys | $4,000 – With the injury to Dez Bryant, Witten’s role in the red zone will only increase. And his lack of TDs, were the main knock against him. He likely won’t have that issue while Bryant is out. If Week 1 is any indication, the Cowboys could look often to TEs as Witten and compatriot Gavin Escobar combined for three. Witten gets
Jordan Cameron | Dolphins | $4,000 – Cameron led the Dolphins in receiving yards (73) last week and enters this week against a Jags team that held Greg Olsen down last week. It’s not clear if the Jags defense is that much better or if they keyed on Olsen because they didn’t have to worry about anyone else. Ryan Tannehill certainly likes Cameron, but I’d don’t see owning Cameron when you can have Jason Witten for the same price.
Jordan Reed | $3,700 | Washington – Reed led Washington with 11 targets last week. And with the injury to De’Sean Jackson, Reed moves up the pecking order for targets this week. He looked healthy (which is rare for Reed) against a Rams team who gave up some ground to Jimmy Graham and the Seahawks in Week 1.
Zach Ertz | $3,600 | Eagles – I’m generally not a fan of Ertz because I feel like he’s just too overhyped. However, I like him a bit this week. His surface stats last week don’t look great (three catches, 46 yards). But, he was targeted eight times and played on 70% of the Eagles offensive snaps. So, the opportunity is there for Ertz and he’s in another high total game against a Cowboys team that gave up the most targets to TEs (8.9) last year.
Heath Miller | $3,500 | Steelers – Miller’s Week 1 went just about as planned as he had eight catches, 84 yards last week on a team high (tied with Antonio Brown) 11 targets. Week 2 should be just about the same for him and let’s hope for a TD this time. He’s still the second option in that lineup with Le’Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant on the bench.
Ladarius Green | $3,500 | Chargers – Phillip Rivers threw for 404 yards last week and Green picked up 74 yards of that on five catches and snagged a TD. He gets a Bengals defense this week that struggled with TEs last year (7.7 targets and 52.2 yards per game). Antonio Gates is still out and Green should be a solid option again this week.
Charles Clay | $3,400 | Bills – Clay’s salary dropped $300 from Week 1, but gets to face a somewhat porous Patriots defense (who Heath Miller faced last week). The issue for Clay is at QB as Tyrod Taylor only completed 14 passes (on 19 attempts) so the volume just won’t be there week in and week out. But, he’s the clear TE1 in Buffalo and could find his way to the end zone this week.
Jared Cook | $3,000 | Rams – Cook had five catches and 85 yards last week and looks to build on that success down here near the bottom of the salary structure. He gets Washington who the Rams faced last year. Cook picked up four catches, 61 yards and two TDs in that matchup. And it also allows me to link to this video one more time. Washington is also without starting safety Duke Ihenacho so Cook should have room to roam yet again.
Darren Fells | $2,500 | Cardinals – I don’t know who he is either, but one wonders if the Cardinals have finally found a TE they can use. He looked solid in Week 1 picking up four catches, 82 yards and a touchdown. Now, he gets to face a Bears team that struggled somewhat last year against TEs (7.4 targets and 60.4 yards per game).
Crockett Gillmore | $2,500 | Ravens – I’m back here again this week. Sure, Gillmore only had two catches for 25 yards last week. But, that was more than 20% of the Ravens offensive output in the air. The Ravens head to Oakland who was just shredded by the Bengals and Tyler Eifert. So, if you want to head into the dumpster this week, Gillmore could run into 50 yards and a TD if everything goes well.
Thursday Game – Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
We had a barnburner last Thursday and we have the chance for a snoozer this week. Denver didn’t look great against the Ravens, but that was to be expected as the Ravens certainly knew Gary Kubiak and his offense. We also saw Peyton Manning struggle throwing the ball down the field. Paired with a tough road environment and a Chiefs defense that is solid the Broncos may continue to have issues scoring points.
Travis Kelce ($5,100) seems to be matchup proof at this point for two reasons. First, he’s an athletic freak. Second, the Chiefs just don’t want to throw to WRs regularly. He’s Gronk-lite at this point. He gets a Broncos defense that gave up the second most targets to TEs last year (8.1) so the opportunities should be there again.
On the other side of the ledger, we have Owen Daniels ($3,300) who is not an option this week against a tough defense with a QB who looked every bit his age last week.
Good luck in Week 2!
DraftKings Tight End Scoring
10 Receiving Yards = +1PT (+0.1PT per yard is awarded)
Reception = +1PT
Receiving TD = +6PTs
100+ Yard Receiving Game = +3PTs
Fumble Lost = -1PT
2 Point Conversion (Pass, Run, or Catch) = +2PTs
Offensive Fumble Recovery TD = +6PTs
The full DraftKings scoring system is here.