Daily Fantasy Golf Strategy: Shriners Hospitals for Children Open
We are back for Week 2 of Daily Fantasy Golf at DraftKings. And this week, the PGA Tour heads to Las Vegas for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Let’s get down to business and make some money.
It’s a great week to check out DraftKings as they have some top notch contests for the final week. Come on over and take a look.
For this week’s tour stop we are off to Las Vegas, Nevada for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. The Shriners is held at the TPC at Summerlin – a par71, 7,255 yard course. The course designer is Bobby Weed who also designed TPC River Highland which hosts the Travelers Championship and the Valley Course at TPC Sawgrass which hosts the Web.com Tour Championship. He also spent his formative years working for Pete Dye so there is a fair chance there are railroad ties on the course somewhere.
It doesn’t look like we’ll have any weather issues as it’s October in Vegas. Check back Wednesday to see how the weather evolves.
Scorecard breakdown: We have a par-71 this week so we have four (4) par threes, eleven (11) par fours and three (3) par fives.
We have another full field with 144 golfers teeing it up Thursday.
The full field can be found here.
Thanks to GolfOdds.com for the odds this week. If you’d like to see a second set of odds, check out the Betting Zone’s odds here – just click on this week’s tournament on the left hand pane.
Past Tournament Results
Unlike last week, we actually have some history to go on as TPC Summerlin has hosted the Shriners every year since 1992.
This is a course where we’d have a shot to shoot par (not really). Every winner since 2010 has finished 20-under or better. It’s a course where you have to score early and often.
This week, I’ll focus on:
Par Breakers (PB) – the percent of time the score is under par. This stat tells us who scores the best (and the most). We want scorers this week.
Greens in Regulation (GIR) – Six of the top nine finishers last year finished in the top 10 in GIR which makes sense. You have to get to the green in a timely manner in order to score well.
I also always examine Strokes Gained: Putting (SG:P) and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green (SG:T2G) every week. This week, SG:P will be more important than SG:T2G as you need to be able to putt to finish off
DraftKings Expert Picks
Rickie Fowler | $12,200 – Fowler is the star of the show this week. He hasn’t played here since 2010 and like Rory and Rose last week, I’m just not sure how much his head is into it this week. He was 13th in Par Breakers last year so he can score with the best of them. I probably won’t have him in a ton of lineups, but you can’t completely fade him.
Brooks Koepka | $10,900 – Koepka finished T4 at last year’s Shriners and hopes to build off of that work. He ended last year at 10th in Par Breakers and 17th in GIR. This T41 finish last week left a bad taste in a lot of gamers’ mouths, but all the more reason to hop back on.
Kevin Na | $10,400 – Na won here in 2011 so that’s good. However, he missed the cut in 2014 and withdrew in 2015. He lost in a playoff last week so his current form looks good. He finished 33rd in Par Breakers and 138th in GIR. If you are rostering Na this week, it’s about current form and him being able to overcome the disappointment of the playoff at the Frys.
Emiliano Grillo | $10,200 – Do you know his name now? I imagine so as he’s now won back to back tournaments. He’ll be in some lineups for me this week – it’s tough to pass up a golfer this hot even if he’s making his debut at the Shriners this week.
Brandt Snedeker | $10,100 – Sneds finished T17 last week so we missed out on a solid week. So, do we believe he’s healthy now? He sure looked it so we can recommend him again. We wouldn’t go overboard however as he finished 55th in Par Breakers, but a distant 129th in GIR. After a five year layoff, he made his second start at the Shriners last year and put up a T10.
Ryan Moore | $10,000 – UNLV golfer! Moore also lives in Las Vegas. He has finished in the top 10 three times in his nine trips to the tournament. His last four starts include a win, a T9 and two missed cuts. So, high variability in the results screams GPP. He finished T10 at the Frys last week and was 38th in Par Breakers so he can score.
Jimmy Walker | $9,900 – If you play Walker this week, it’s about history over form. He hasn’t finished worse than T12 here in his last three trips (over four years). But, he’s struggled in the home stretch last season. He was under par in only one of his last six starts on Tour. Walker finished 11th in Par Breakers, but a mediocre 101st in GIR last year.
Tony Finau | $9,800 – I dig Finau. I do so take this with a grain of salt. Finau finished eighth in Par Breakers last year so he can go low and he was 57th in GIR. He finished T7 her last year. Can he win this year? Sure, why not?
Scott Piercy | $9,700 – It seems strange to see Piercy up here near the penthouse, but it’s based on his work here at the Shriners. He’s put up three top ten finishes in his last four trips to TPC Summerlin. He finished last year at 44th in Par Breakers and 80th in GIR so the profile works. So, maybe not so odd, huh? Oh, he was also born in and still lives in Las Vegas.
Jason Bohn | $9,500 – Bohn is probably going to anchor my cash game lineups this week. Bohn has three top 20 finishes in his last three starts here (over four years). He’s finished 20th in Par Breakers and 28th in GIR so his profile fits. He opened this year with a T3 at the Frys. Saddle up!
Webb Simpson | $9,400 – Simpson’s record at the Shriners is equally impressive to Bohn’s. He’s finished in the top five in the last two Shriners and has three top five finishes overall in four starts here. He’s also had success at one of the other Weed-designed courses (TPC River Highlands) where he’s never missed the cut. He finished 68th in Par Breakers and 53rd in GIR last season so his profile isn’t perfect, but it seems the course fits his game.
Charley Hoffman | $9,300 – UNLV golfer alert! You’ll see a number of them as we meander through the field. Hoffman finished 30th in Par Breakers, but 97th in GIR last year. And his record here hasn’t been great as he’s only made 50% of the cuts in his 10 attempts. The Vegas resident is a risky play based on his history at TPC Summerlin.
Patrick Rodgers | $9,200 – When Rodgers is on, he is ON! And it looks like he might be on. He started this season off with a T6 last week at the Frys. He finished last year at 29th in Par Breakers last year and 77th in GIR last year. He missed the cut here last year, but I’m riding him for his form.
Brendan Steele | $9,100 – Steele intrigues me because of his work at TPC River Highlands (which sounds odd). He’s made three of four cuts there with three top 15 finishes. That success hasn’t always translated to TPC Summerlin. He had back to back top 10s in 2011 and 2012 but has stumbled recently (T57 and T33) at the Shriners.
Hunter Mahan | $8,900 – Mahan’s profile doesn’t work – he finished last year 107th in both GIR and Par Breakers. He hasn’t teed it up at the Shriners since 2010 when he finished T50. He started off with a T32 at the Frys last week. So, I think I’ll be off him in most places this week.
Keegan Bradley | $8,800 – Bradley has a profile to work (35th in Par Breakers and 60th in GIR). He makes his debut here, but he has played the Travelers four times and made the cut each time with his best finish a T18. I imagine he’ll be underowned this week making him an attractive choice
Russell Knox | $8,700 – Knox is perfect in cuts made at the Shriners (though he’s only been here three times). He finished third last year here so he can play this course. Oddly, his profile isn’t the best as he finished last year 73rd in Par Breakers, but seventh in GIR. I do like him a bit more than most this week.
Nick Watney | $8,600 – Watney makes an interesting play this week. He has a solid profile as he finished 52nd in Par Breakers and 66th in GIR last year. His record here is pretty solid as well as he’s made eight of ten cuts with four top ten finishes. He’s been in the top 20 in four of the last five times he’s teed it up at TPC Summerlin. He’s also played TPC River Highlands five times in the last ten years and missed the cut once. In the four years he’s made the cut he’s finished T9, T9, T13 and T11 (last year).
Brendon Todd | $8,500 – Todd’s profile doesn’t’ exactly scream “start me!” as he finished 70th in Par Breakers and 118th in GIR. However, he did make the cut in his second of two trips here with a T12 in 2014. He finished T26 last week at the Frys and had three rounds in the 60s. He’s another guy who won’t owned making him somewhat attractive.
Chris Stroud | $8,400 – Stroud missed the cut his last time at the Shriners in 2012. But, prior to that he made four straight cuts (from 2007 through 2010) with three top 25 finishes. He ended last season on a sour note missing four straight cuts. But, he put up a T2 at the Dunhill links in early October and followed that up with a T10 at the Frys last week. So, he’s found some form and has the scoring (57th in Par Breakers last year) to make it work here.
Charles Howell III | $8,300 – This is Howell III’s time of year on Tour. Even though he’s not much of a scorer (153rd in Par Breakers last year), he did finish 38th in GIR. He has four top 10 finishes in 14 starts at the Shriners and has three top 20 finishes in his last four starts here. He started the year off right with a T17 last week at Silverado.
Will Wilcox | $8,200 – Yea, he may be on my list every week (until his salary invariably climbs to $15,000). As with every week, his profile works as he finished fourth in GIR and 17 th in Par Breakers last year. He was T10 at the Frys last week so let’s roll with him again.
Ryan Palmer | $8,100 – Palmer finished last season 54 th in Par Breakers and 75 th in GIR so he’s got a profile that can work here. However, his history here isn’t the best. He’s made four of eight cuts with only one top 10 (in 2010). His last time out here he missed the cut in 2014. It doesn’t look like he’s a great option.
Kevin Kisner | $8,100 – Kisner’s track record here isn’t great having made two of four cuts with a top finish of T29 back in 2011. But, 2015 was a breakout season for KK so maybe he’s a changed man though his profile (119th in Par Breakers and 95th in GIR) doesn’t make you want to take the leap.
Russell Henley | $8,100 – Henley finished last season at 31 st in Par Breakers and 69 th in GIR so he checks the profile box. His only trip here was in 2014 and he missed the cut. I like him a bit this week as that profile should work.
Jason Dufner | $8,000 – Dufner is another golfer with a solid profile, but no results here. He’s only played twice and not since 2007 where he finished T50. Pass.
Daniel Summerhays | $8,000 – Summerhays’ best finish at the Shriners was a T23 in 2014. He’s made the cut three out of four times at this tourney. He finished his 2015 season at 61st in Par Breakers so he can score a bit. His lack of course history gives me a bit of concern.
Kevin Streelman | $7,900 – Streelman is five for five in cuts made and has one top 10 (his second place finish last year). He also finished 25th in GIR though a troubling 128th in Par Breakers. He also won the Travelers in 2014 on another Weed-designed course.
Graham DeLaet | $7,900 – The Canadian played quite well last week until Sunday came and he cratered with a 77 to finish T32. But, if he’s healthy (and it seems he is), he’s an option this week.
Martin Laird | $7,800 – Laird won the Shriners in 2009 and backed that up with a T2 in 2010. He finished T18 last year so he’s had some success here. He fired an opening round 65 last week and then faded to a T64. So, can history overcome?
Patton Kizzire | $7,600 – Man, the Web.com Tour had some excellent names last year. He finished first in Par Breakers last year on the Web.com Tour and eighth in GIR. He also finished atop the Web.com money list by putting up eleven top 10 finishes. Those finishes also included two wins. He got married last week so that’s why he wasn’t in the Frys lineup.
Jonas Blixt | $7,500 – In Blixt’s only appearance here (2012) he finished in third place at 20-under. I don’t see anything in his profile that makes me believe he can repeat it. He started the new season off with a T48 at the Frys.
Kevin Chappell | $7,500 – Chappell was 48th in Par Breakers last year (and 103rd in GIR). He missed the cut last week and doesn’t have much of a history here so he’s a GPP option only for me.
Ben Martin | $7,500 – Martin won here last year so he’s got that going for him which is nice. He missed the cut in his other two starts at the Shriners. He finished 2015 in 40th place in Par Breakers and 34th in GIR so he’s got the profile to make a run at defending his title.
Sean O’Hair | $7,400 – O’Hair seems a bit out of his depth here, but perhaps everyone is enamored with his T15 at TPC Summerlin two years ago. His other two starts at the Shriners ended with a T58 and T63 so there is a lot of downside risk. His profile isn’t great either as he finished 53rd in Par Breakers and 144th in GIR.
Carl Pettersson | $7,400 – Pettersson’s profile doesn’t work as he finished 93rd in Par Breakers and 166th in GIR last season. He’s played here three times in the last five years and has two top 15 finishes in those three trips. So, how does that happen? He was T42 last year. He’s also had success at River Highlands (also designed by Weed) with two top 10s. Rostering King Carl means you trust his history.
Spencer Levin | $7,400 – Levin is five for five in cuts made and has three top 10 finishes. He put up a T10 last year so he’s still got it (at least here). He was 161st in Par Breakers, but 45th in GIR so he can get to the green in time, but he’ll need to score from there. He’s shown he can do it in the past.
Hudson Swafford | $7,400 – Wilcox-lite is back! He finished 23rd in Par Breakers and 38th in GIR last year. He’s made the cut in his two trips to the Shriners with solid results – T30 and T18. He was T17 at Frys last week so he’s off to a good start.
Chez Reavie | $7,300 – Reavie was the runner up to Emiliano Grillo at the Web.com Tour Champsionship. He carried that form into the Frys last week where he finished T17 and enjoyed a six-under 66 on Sunday. He hasn’t had much success here as he’s only made two of six cuts. He’s in form to succeed here so we’ll roster him in some places.
Lucas Glover | $7,200 – Finished T15 in 2004 and that’s about all that’s worth mentioning in his course history. He did put up a T17 to open the new season last week. He was 99 th in Par Breakers, but tenth in GIR so if he can string together just ONE putt he’s got a chance to succeed. He’s the worst putter on Tour so that’s a tall order.
Steven Bowditch | $7,200 – He missed the cut here last year. He missed the cut last week. His profile isn’t the best with a finish of 59th in Par Breakers and 158th in GIR. I may sit this one out.
David Hearn | $7,100 – Hearn has a profile that could work here as he finished 80th in Par Breakers and 47th in GIR last season. He’s made three of five cuts at the Shriners with two top 10 finishes (including last year’s T7). He missed the cut last week, but he’s got history on his side.
Tyrone Van Aswegen | $7,100 – Profile doesn’t work. Best finish T65 in his two trips to the Shriners. However, he rocketed to a T3 last week at the Frys after ending the Web.com Tour Championship with a T5. He’s firing on all cylinders so you’re hoping he continues his run if you want to roster him.
William McGirt | $7,100 – McGirt has made three of four cuts at the Shriners with a top finish of T16 in his 2011 debut. He probably doesn’t score enough to roster him (126 th in Par Breakers) this week, but he’s worth a sprinkle.
Jamie Lovemark | $7,000 – Lovemark finished T48 last week at the Frys and had a Saturday 65. He’s getting comfortable on Tour and attempting to cash in on his amateur potential. He finished second in Par Breakers and 51 st in GIR on the Web.com Tour last year. He’s a solid option this week.
Kyle Stanley | $7,000 – Stanley finished T10 here in 2011, but has missed the cut the last two years. He ended the Web.com Tour season playing well with two top 20s in his last three tournaments.
Ryo Ishikawa | $7,000 – Ishikawa’s profile is solid with a 56th spot in Par Breakers and 92nd in GIR. He’s played here the last two years, made the cut both years and had a second place finish in 2014. He missed the cut at the Frys last week, but he’s done quite well here over a short period of time.
Andrew Loupe | $6,800 – The 3rd Bass of golfers, Mr. Loupe looped Silverado last week to the tune of a Saturday 63. The rest of his rounds were a bit more pedestrian, but he still finished T10. He makes his debut here but looks like he’s in some solid form.
Cameron Smith | $6,800 – My man! I’m biased. And I know he missed the cut last week, but I’m back on the horse again this week – I’ll have him in a couple of lineups. The talent is too big to ignore.
Colt Knost | $6,600 – Knost has finished in the top 20 in each of his last two trips to TPC Summerlin including a T18 last year. He started this season off with a T41 at the Frys and has a solid profile (79th in Par Breakers and 63rd in GIR).
Pat Perez | $6,600 – Perez was 18th in Par Breakers and 48th in GIR, however he’s not shown well at the Shriners. He’s made only four of nine cuts and has missed the last two. He missed the cut at the Frys and at the Dunhill Links in early October. His profile screams yes, his history and current form say no.
Adam Hadwin | $6,500 – Hadwin finished T10 here last year in his debut. He’s Canadian. That’s all I’ve got.
Chad Campbell | $6,400 – UNLV golfer! Has two top 10 finishes in 12 trips and those were back to back in 2008 and 2009. His more recent work here isn’t as impressive as his last five trips since the back to back have resulted in only one top 25 finish. He finished 35th in GIR and 132nd in Par Breakers last year.
Rory Sabbatini | $6,400 – Sabbattin’s profile looks nice, but in his last six trips here he’s missed the cut five times and withdrew once. No thanks.
Jim Herman | $6,400 – Second in GIR makes me think about Herman. 105th in Par Breakers makes me think of someone else. He did finish T18 here last year. He did not impress last week finishing 72nd after bombing out with a 77 on Sunday.
Jonathan Byrd | $6,300 – Byrd won here in 2011. I thought you should know. He’s also eight for ten in cuts made.
Boo Weekley | $6,300 – Weekley has a T29 and a missed cut in his two starts at the Shriners. His profile says he should be a bit better as he was 63rd in Par Breakers and 55th in GIR.
Smylie Kaufman | $6,200 – Kaufman finished third in Par Breakers on the Web.com Tour and that’s enough for me to roster him in a couple of places. He won once last year on the Web.com Tour and had a total of five top 10 finishes in 20 events played.
John Huh | $6,100 – Huh is three for three in cuts made at the Shriners and has finished T13, T28 and T30. He looks like a nice, safe option down here near the bottom of the list.
Jason Kokrak | $6,000 – Kokrak is three for three in missed cuts here. So, that’s not very good. But, his profile seems like it should work here as he finished 42nd in Par Breakers and 67th in GIR. I’ll have him in a couple of stars and scrubs lineups just to see what comes from that profile.
Davis Love III | $6,000 – Love won here way back in 1993, but he has made the cut in 18 of 21 trips and has seven top 10 finishes including that win. You could do worse to plug him into a lineup or two.
Shawn Stefani | $6,000 – Stats profile works (20th in Par Breakers and 32nd in GIR). But that was also the case last week and he missed the cut. He made 22 of 26 cuts last season, but he really struggled down the stretch. We don’t recommend him this week.
Derek Fathauer | $5,800 –He played here last year, but missed the cut. But, Fathauer finished ninth in the Web.com Tour Championship which is contested on the Valley Course at TPC Sawgrass another Weed-designed course. Oh, and he won there in 2014. A sneaky play in a stars and scrubs lineup.
Derek Ernst | $5,800 – UNLV golfer! Ernst is one for two in cuts made with his T63 last year being the only cut made. He finished 159th in Par Breakers and 88th in GIR so there isn’t a lot to go on here.
Steve Marino | $5,700 – Marino’s profile works again as he was 13th in Par Breakers on the Web.com Tour last year and 40th in GIR. He’s missed three of four cuts at the Shriners, but his last time here was in 2010.
Andres Gonzales | $5,600 – UNLV golfer! And not the worst profile (at least down here at the bottom) as he finished 96th in Par Breakers and 81st in GIR. He’s made three of five cuts here, but has not finished better than T49 (last year).
Bronson Burgoon | $5,500 – Just love this guy’s name. That’s really all. Well, he was 25 th in Par Breakers on the Web.com Tour last year and sixth in GIR. So, he profiles well as well.
Wes Roach | $5,200 – Tied for 42nd here last year and finished 11th in Par Breakers on the Web.com Tour…intriguing….
Roster size: 6 Golfers
Golfers on each team will accumulate points as follows:
- Per Hole Scoring
- Double Eagle (DBL EAG): +20 PTs
- Eagle (EAG): +8 PTs
- Birdie (BIR): +3 PTs
- Par (PAR): +0.5 PTs
- Bogey (BOG): -0.5 PTs
- Double Bogey (DBL BOG): -1 PT
- Worse than Double Bogey (WORSE DBL BOG): -1 PT
- Tournament Finish Scoring
- 1st: 30 PTs
- 2nd: 20 PTs
- 3rd: 18 PTs
- 4th: 16 PTs
- 5th: 14 PTs
- 6th: 12 PTs
- 7th: 10 PTs
- 8th: 9 PTs
- 9th: 8 PTs
- 10th: 7 PTs
- 11th–15th: 6 PTs
- 16th–20th: 5 PTs
- 21st–25th: 4 PTs
- 26th–30th: 3 PTs
- 31st–40th: 2 PTs
- 41st-50th: 1 PTs
- Streaks and Bonuses
- Streak of 3 Birdies of Better (MAX 1 Per Round) (3+ BIR STRK): +3 PTs
- Bogey Free Round (BOG FREE RD): +3 PTs
- All 4 Rounds Under 70 Strokes (ALL 4 RDS UND 70): +5 PTs
- Hole in One (HOLE IN ONE): +10 PTs
Scoring Notes: Ties for a finishing position will not reduce or average down points. For example, if 2 golfers tie for 3rd place, each will receive the 18 fantasy points for the 3rd place finish result. Playoff Holes will not count towards final scoring, with the exception of the “finishing position” scoring. For example, the golfer who wins the tournament will receive the sole award of 1st place points, but will not accrue points for their scoring result in the individual playoff holes.
Player Lock Notes: All golfers lock at the time the first golfer tees off on day 1 of an event.
Full rules are located here for DraftKings Daily Fantasy golf.