2013 Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: June 23rd 2013
Before I get into my @DraftKings team of the day, here are some weather notes for tomorrow’s games. –Note rain percentages aren’t definitive and are best used as a reminder to check the weather status again on game-day before selecting a player from that game.
Potential Rain Concerns:
OAK @ SEA: 50-60 percent chance of rain during gametime. This one could easily be cancelled thanks to it being a divisional matchup; best to stay away here.
As I mentioned in yesterday’s Daily Fix, I will be using a pitching heavy strategy with emphasis on platoon split guys for batting. Perhaps I won’t use Dillon Gee anymore though, thanks @TheRealTal for that.
Pitcher: Jeff Samardzjia: vs. Houston: $11,700: Samardzija couldn’t be a safer option tomorrow going up against the paltry Astros who struggle mightily against right handed pitching, ranking in the bottom third of the league in OPS. After a first pitch strike, Samardzija is absolutely lethal with a 1.83 xFIP, a 37 percent strikeout rate and a 4.6 percent walk rate. I like those numbers against an Astros team that is filled with right handed hackers.
Pitcher: James Shields: vs. Chicago White Sox: $11,200: Here’s another guy with a delicious matchup. The White Sox, like the Astros, are filled with right handed hackers that pretty much swing with their eyes closed. The big picture question with Big Game James is “Can he keep his current home run per fly ball below his career mark of 11.7%”. Let’s take a look at the park factors for Kauffman and Tropicana (we will focus on lefties because Shields is a right handed pitcher)
|Year||Kauffman HR Index for L||Tropicana HR Index for L|
|2009||88 (2nd lowest in MLB)||97 (10th lowest)|
|2010||90 (3rd lowest)||95 (10th lowest)|
|2011||90 (T-3rd lowest)||95 (10th lowest)|
|2012||90 (T-3rd lowest)||95 (10th lowest)|
So with incredible consistency, Kauffman Stadium is much better for right handed pitchers for HR allowed than is Tropicana. It also bears noting that Shields is in a much weaker division for offense, and that Target Field (Twins), and Comerica Park (Tigers) are both very tough on left handed power. The Twins are actually tied with the Royals for the third lowest park factor for left handed home runs on average for the last three years. Shields should continue to be elite this season. Roll with him against the paltry White Sox, coming into Kauffman Stadium.
Other Pitchers to consider:
Nate Eovaldi @ SF: $6,100: Eovaldi is a blossoming young right hander who throws absolute gas. Strangely enough though, he has been unable to parlay his excellent velocity into an excellent strikeout rate, as it’s only sat at an average of 15.4 percent the past two season in the majors. He’s a good start though against a banged up Giants team that was just dominated by Jacob Turner. Plus, as you will see shortly with my lineup, you might need a cheaper second starting pitcher option because my offense stinks.
Jarrod Parker @ SEA: $7,400: Whatever Jarrod Parker changed it’s working very well. His peripherals during this hot stretch still don’t look very good at all, and he’s been aided by inducing weak contact (notice I refuse to call it luck), as evidenced by a .169 batting average on balls in play. There’s blowup potential here if Jarrod Parker’s command slips at all during this hot stretch, but for now, ride it out.
My hitting is based on platoon split guys, and today also based very much on price thanks to my extremely expensive pitching.
Catcher: Jarrod Saltalamacchia: $3,000 @ DET
First Base: Adam Lind: $4,600 vs. BAL
Second Base: Rickie Weeks: $4,000 vs. ATL
Third Base: Pedro Alvarez: $3,900 @ LAA
Shortstop: Angel Sanchez: $2,000 @ KC
Outfield: Matt Joyce: $4,700 @ NYY
Outfield: Corey Dickerson: $2,000 @ WAS
Outfield: Zoilo Altmonte: $2,800 vs. TB
Saturday News and Notes from MLB
The Justin Upton-less Braves were held to a four hit shutout thanks to combined efforts from Brad Hand, Burke Badenhop, Mike Gonzalez, John Axford, and Francisco Rodriguez. Kind of amusing ain’t it?
Washington Nationals pitcher Dan Haren got lambasted again, this time by the Rockies. Corey Dickerson went 2-4 with a double, and D.J. LeMahieu went 3-5 with a HR and 2 RBI. LeMahieu is starting to become relevant in all formats especially because he has nine steals on the season. He’s hitting .284 to go along with those nine steals, and is available in 97% of ESPN.com standard leagues. With the dearth of talent at second base, he’s worth an add, unless of course Anthony Rendon is still available in your league. He went 1-4 with a double He’s hitting .333/.407/.536 this season and is still available in 50% of ESPN.com standard leagues.
San Francisco mascot, err, third baseman Pablo Sandoval went 1-3 with a solo home run during his rehab stint on Saturday. He is expected to come off the disabled list when eligible on Monday. He should be activated in all formats.
Staying in San Francisco, outfielder Angel Pagan had an MRI that revealed a small tear in his hamstring. According to Amy Gutierrez of CSN Bay Area, he may require surgery, but is seeking a second opinion on the matter. Surgery or not, he’ll miss significantly more time and is pretty much a must drop if he’s burning a roster spot (non-DL) in a ten or twelve team mixed league.
According to ESPN’s Buster Olney, Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Aaron Hill is expected to finally join the team on Tuesday.
New York Mets first baseman Lucas Duda has been sent to the disabled list for a left intercostal strain. Amusingly, Zach Lutz was recalled and not Ike Davis. Lutz is completely irrelevant in fantasy, and Duda should be dropped in all formats except deep mixed leagues and NL-Only.