2017 Fantasy BaseballFantasy Baseball

2017 Fantasy Baseball: Total Points– Third Basemen

The daily fantasy sports revolution has come and with it the total points revolution has come with it. Total points are a more accurate representation of the player and therefore the thinking and studious fantasy player will be more successful in that format. A large part of the success comes in not necessarily focusing on the very best player, but in the gaps between tiers of players.

 

Third base is one of the deeper positions on the fantasy diamond. So, one could punt third base and still end up getting a very good player. We will not evaluate points per game in this edition, but that is always a consideration as well. Each platform uses its own system, so we will also use our own. Obviously, the platform you use will determine the exact value of each player. Statistics are accurate as of Thursday September 7. Walks, stolen bases, and hit by pitches will be combined into a positive category. Strikeouts, caught stealings, and grounded into double plays will be combined into a negative category.

 

Total Bases= 1 point each                              SO= -1 point each

Runs= 1 point each                                         CS= -1 point each

RBI= 1 point each                                           GIDP= -1 point each

BB= 1 point each

SB= 1 point each

HBP= 1 point each

 

The Elite

 

TB Runs RBI Positive Negative TP
Jose Ramirez 296 93 69 60 -80 438
Nolan Arenado 305 85 112 54 -119 437
Anthony Rendon 242 70 91 86 -83 406
Kris Bryant 253 95 59 104 -119 392
Manny Machado 275 75 91 57 -111 387
Mike Moustakas 267 71 81 30 -93 356

Fantasy experts will tell you how important it is to prepare for the fantasy draft and there is a special kind of high that comes during the draft of seeing your preparation come to life. Still, the results here prove that all of the preparation in the world can’t prepare you for what will actually happen. Half of these guys were nowhere near the top six. Heck, I doubt most of them were.

DFS is more about the now than about the long view. You can pay attention to trends and if you are quicker on the draw than your competitors then you win. The same is also true in traditional leagues. The winner is not necessarily the guy who “won the draft” but the guy who wins the waiver wire. Moustakas may or may not have been drafted in your league, but the guy that picked him up picked up a gem. The same is true of Jose Ramirez.

The Rank and File

TB Runs RBI Positive Negative TP
Justin Turner 212 64 62 72 -59 351
Jake Lamb 237 79 97 87 -153 347
Alex Bregman 227 76 56 71 -100 330
Travis Shaw 243 71 86 61 -133 328
Evan Longoria 235 66 77 53 -114 317
Kyle Seager 226 59 73 55 -99 314
Eduardo Nunez 211 58 58 44 -72 299

The cold hard reality is that even for the guys that are here every year (Longoria and Seager) finishing this low is not disappointing. They are performing about as well as they normally perform. The key is that there are so many guys performing as well if not better than they are. The only real surprise is probably Shaw. He was mediocre as a Red Sox, but has blossomed in the National League.

Nunez’s performance is not a particular surprise given that he has produced in part-time duty in the past. He obviously has benefitted by moving to a playoff contender in Boston. Still, this whole list proves how deep third base is. That is especially true when you consider some of the names on the next list.

The Rest

TB Runs RBI Positive Negative TB
Marwin Gonzalez 207 57 78 52 -99 295
Nick Castellanos 240 64 80 45 -144 289
Josh Donaldson 180 51 64 71 -102 266
Adrian Beltre 163 44 66 42 -51 264
Todd Frazier 172 64 62 84 -125 257
Maikel Franco 196 56 62 41 -103 250
Jedd Gyorko 186 48 64 51 -111 238

Donaldson and Beltre are different breeds when it comes to a list like this. When Beltre was healthy he was a daily machine. Donaldson is that way to a lesser extent, but when you consider their per game production they are both top ten third basemen. Gonzalez has also been good on a per game basis. He certainly has been one of the bigger surprises on the season.

You could consider Frazier and Franco to be disappointments. People in Philadelphia would echo that sentiment, but this is also an example of how deep the position is. Consider where 250 and 257 points would get them at just about any other position. Heck, Castellanos has taken a significant step forward and he is still in the third group. It shows how deep you can go before spending your money on a third baseman.

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