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2020 NFBC ADP – Finding Value at Outfield part 2

Part one of the outfielder value search saw us unearth one outfielder being drafted 4-5 rounds later than some very comparable peers. Part two sees us finding two players who likely won’t quite put up the same numbers as their comparison player but won’t be far short of it at a much-reduced price.

Here are the trio’s 2019 numbers;

Name ADP PA R RBI HR SB AVG OBP SLG
Ramon Laureano 80 481 79 67 24 13 .288 .340 .521
Ryan Braun 243 508 70 75 22 11 .285 .343 .505
Avisail Garcia 247 530 61 72 20 10 .282 .332 .464

 

I’m a big fan of Laureano and despite is elevated current price, I’m sure I’ll end up rostering him somewhere this year. The one thing he has in common with the Brewers’ pair is they’re in a group of just 19 players who had 20 HRs, 10 SBs and a .280+ batting average. That’s a pretty elite group.

Laureano’s 2018 debut hinted at a potential 20/20 season despite playing just 48 games. His stolen base threat was also evident in the minors with 100 steals in 395 games. Last year Laureano spent some time on the IL, hence managing only 123 games which makes the prospect of a 20/20 season all the more credible.

Garcia and Braun have their values suppressed in part due to them being deemed “boring”. And in many regards, that is true. They carry no upside but in the 20th round, they will still carry plenty of value. Being on the same team, they could suffer somewhat from blocking each other’s playing time. Braun will see time at first base still and it’s not difficult to see both reaching 500 plate appearances again in 2020.

A common tactic in drafts now is to take players who have 10 SBs in them regularly, accumulating them rather than taking one or two of the elite SB threats and sacrificing another stat in the process. With Garcia and Braun both being drafted as sixth outfielders, you could conceivably pass on Laureano, draft a pitcher (such as Woodruff, Berrios, Yates or Chapman all of whom have comparable ADPs) and get Garcia and Braun in the 20th and 21st round. Pitchers being drafted near Garcia and Braun consist of Melancon, Jon Gray, Tanaka and Oberg.

I’d rather have one of the top pitchers with Braun and/or Garcia over Laureano and one of the latter mentioned pitchers.

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2020 NFBC ADP - Finding Value at Starting Pitcher part 1

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2020 NFBC ADP - Finding Value at Starting Pitcher part 2

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