What To Do With Ian Kennedy
We are long since removed from Ian Kennedy’s breakthrough 21-4 season with a 2.88 ERA back in 2011. Since then, Kennedy had an average at best season and this year he has been downright miserable, but still he is owned in over 60% of Yahoo! leagues.
It is time to dump Kennedy and there should not be much of a regret in letting him go. His strikeout rate of 19.1% is as low as it’s been since he came to Arizona and his walk rate is the second highest, giving him the worst strikeout-to-walk ratio since his Yankee days. It seemed as though Kennedy turned a corner in his second year with the Diamondbacks but the following two seasons have pointed to that year being far more of a fluke than a breakout.[am4show have=’p4;p7;p3;’ guest_error=’Front Office’ ]
He pitches in a bad ballpark, he gives up tons of home runs, and his peripherals point to him being very bad and not just a bit unlucky. ZiPS and Steamer are relatively bullish around Kennedy for the remainder of the year, consider what he has done in the first half. ZiPs has him going 4-4 with a 4.00 ERA over his remaining 13 starts while Steamer has him at 5-5 with a 3.99 ERA. Those systems seem to be taking into account Kennedy’s past and not necessarily how bad he has thrown the ball this season. Yes, some of his numbers are hurt by the 10 runs he allowed against the Cardinals in early June, but he has still allowed four or more runs in three of his past four starts.
This is a difficult place to be if you are a Kennedy owner. People know that he has talent, so if you hold onto him and he makes a few good starts you could potentially trade him before your fantasy deadline. However, if you are a fringe playoff team or not far from the lead in your roto league and you are risking your fantasy livelihood by having Kennedy start week in and week out then you are putting yourself in a dangerous situation.
At this point, I feel perfectly comfortable letting Kennedy go. In every league I am in I can look on the wire and find someone I am more confident in being a consistent starter for the remainder of the year rather than Kennedy. If an owner in your league is willing to give you more value than you can find on the waiver wire then take him up on a trade, but if you have been on the edge of whether to keep or dump Kennedy my recommendation is to dump him with no regrets. [/am4show]