Fantasy Basketball

Monday’s DFS NBA Plays 1/13

Source: Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images North America
Source: Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images North America

Monday gives us seven games to choose from, none of which involves the 76ers, so as daily fantasy NBA players we have to think a little bit harder tonight. Personally, I like days without Philly playing because I feel like it spreads out ownership. Vegas has all seven games listed and only two of them has an over/under that is above 200 right now. Toronto and Dallas are big favorites, so keep an eye on that. With all that being said, let’s get to the picks.

Milwaukee at Toronto (-11.5) Total: 185

Demar DeRozan has turned into a monster this season averaging 24/4/3/1 and 35 fantasy points per game. Those are great numbers for a guy that is consistently under 8k. Tonight, he looks to make it 4 out of his last 5 games putting up over 41 fantasy points. Against the Bucks earlier this season, DeRozan had a healthy stat line of 17/6/5/2 and 35 fantasy points. Even though the game has a low total and a big spread, I think he’ll be a safe play tonight for mid 30s.

Houston (-5.5) at Boston Total: 204.5

Dwight Howard has a matchup tonight unlike any other. Although Boston doesn’t rank among the worst at defending big men, Howard is going to be matched up against guys like Kris Humphries, Jared Sullinger, and Brandon Bass. All of those guys are undersized or don’t have better rebounding ability than Howard. Earlier this season, Howard ate against the Celtics putting up 10/12/2/2/3 in only 27 minutes of action. If the game stays in hand and Howard gets more minutes then you can expect more than 4 shots from Howard and close to 20 real points in this one.

Kris Humphries likely won’t be matched up against Howard one-on-one the whole game and that’s why I’m not letting him bother me. Humphries is priced at $4,700 on Draftkings even though he’s averaging 32 fantasy points per game in his last 6. He’s starting over Sullinger now and making the most of it. It’s almost like he has a famous ex that he’s trying to impress. When these two teams met up earlier this season, Humphries scored 6 points and had 6 rebounds to go with 2 blocks in just 14 minutes.

Phoenix at New York (-3) Total: 198

Against my better judgment, Iman Shumpert has somehow found his way into being a very nice value play. It’s tough to feel great about Shump due to him not being the best shooter, but he’s shooting well right now which is all that matters. In his last 6 games, he’s shooting 52.6% from the field including 55.9% from 3. In his last 7 games, he has gone for at least 22 fantasy points in each of them including a 43.5 and a 44-point game. To me, Shump is a very safe play for low 20s points for a price of only $4,600.

San Antonio (-6) at New Orleans Total: 199

It has already been ruled that Danny Green won’t be playing in tonight’s game, which should give Marco Belinelli more minutes if not the start against the Pelicans tonight. Like Shumpert, Belinelli is shooting great from the field shooting at a clip of 62.3% in his last 5 games. He has put up 20, 22.75, and 29 fantasy points in his last three games and can only do more with more minutes. With his price being cheaper than Shumpert ($4,400) and the opportunity for more minutes than usual, I like Belinelli over Shumpert if it came down to it.

Washington at Chicago (-3) Total: 181.5

Joakim Noah seems to be back to prime form and I’m ready to jump on his coat tails and ride him to victory tonight. He’s coming off a 49-point game and he has a low of 37.5 in his last 6 games. He’s averaging 44.1 fantasy points per game in his last 5 and is amazingly averaging 5.6 assists per game during that stretch. Noah has rebounded at least 10 in each of his last 8 games and I think that continues against a Wizards team with no dominant big man.

Orlando at Dallas (-12) Total: 198.5

Dirk Nowitzki has put on his big boy pants lately and is scoring at a great rate. Dirk has made 20 field goals in the last two games including 9 three pointers and 15 free throws. Because of this, Dirk has scored 105.5 fantasy points in those two games. His price has gone up to $7,800, but understandably so when he’s averaging 23/5/3/1 in his last 6 games. The blowout factor doesn’t scare me as much in this one due to Dirk averaging only 31 minutes during that great 6-game stretch of his. He doesn’t need a full 35 minutes to get his points.

Victor Oladipo should be strongly considered if Jameer Nelson is out tonight. He has performed at an average rate lately averaging only 27 fantasy points in his last 6 games, but the likes of Jose Calderon could change that all. The last few point guards against the Mavericks have done well for their skill set including Brian Roberts’ two games (7/8/3/2 and 9/7/1), Tony Parker (25/2/7) and Kendall Marshall (18/3/6). I like Oladipo the most if he’s starting at point guard tonight, so make sure to check that out as the day progresses.

Denver (-3.5) at Utah Total: 203

Randy Foye has seen his price shot up to $5,100 due to a great stretch of 5 games where he averaged 33.2 fantasy points. In his last three games, he has scored 18, 24, and 23 real points shooting above 47% from the field in each of the games. As long as Foye keeps up his great three-point shooting tonight he’ll have another mid 30-point game tonight.

If Gordon Hayward suits up tonight then I’m a huge fan of using him in your Draftkings lineups. In his two games against the Nuggets, Hayward is averaging 26/8/3 and over 44 fantasy points. If you add in the fact that he is crushing in his last three games then you’ll see why I like him so much tonight. He has put up 148.5 fantasy points in his last 3 games, taking 16 shots in each of them. It is that kind of aggressive play that has made Hayward a very good option this season.

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