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2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 11 Wide Receivers

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Welcome to Wide Receiver Wednesday at the Daily Fix! Each Wednesday of the NFL regular season @RyNoonan will provide you with several receiving options that are strong plays that week at DraftKings. Monday through Friday the Fix writers will provide you with a Daily Fix that covers each position, with a weekly roundup on Friday.

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The Wide Receiver position is loaded with options in this new, ever-prolific passing era of the NFL, so options abound. I’ll break it up into tiers, essentially, WR1’s, 2’s, 3’s and FLEX/deep options.

Your WR1 and WR2’s are no-brainer starts in your normal fantasy leagues. I’ll highlight them if they have an exceptional matchup or price. We’re likely going to find some inexpensive plays here week in a week out as well, due to the depth at the position. We’ll need to dig a little deeper as we’re entering bye weeks, but I hope to continue picking winners for you.

Scoring and other settings can be found here.

For reference, you’ll continue to see me use both aFPA (Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed) from 4for4.com and DVOA (Defensive-Adjusted Value Over Average) from FootballOutsiders.com. These stats become more reliable each week as have real data points to reference instead of only a hybrid of data mixed with pre-season expectations.

WR1

Antonio Brown – PIT @ TEN ($7,800)

If you’re going to spend on receiver, there’s just no one I like more than Antonio Brown. I’ve been using Brown often and have been rewarded for it. After a lighter-than-expected output last week against the Jets, Brown’s price dipped $900 this week, and that’s a gift. The Titans are bottom of the pack against the pass, and while we know Roethlisberger and the Steelers won’t continue to only score via the pass, Brown’s workload is as safe as it gets. I’ll have a few shares off Julio Jones ($7,000) again as well, but my big dollar play at the position is once again Brown.

A.J. Green – CIN @ NO ($6,000)

Rarely does anything positive come from a Thursday Night Football game, especially one that results in a divisional loss, but A.J. Green will benefit this week from the extra time off. We all know that Andy Dalton was terrible last week, but that’s never prevented him from getting the ball to Green throughout his career, why should it now? Green faces a Saints defense that’s friendly to receivers, 27th in pass DVOA, and the expected game flow sets up nicely for Green as well. Even off of an injury, this is a nice price for one of the league’s top play-makers.

WR2

Kelvin Benjamin – ATL@ CAR ($4,900)

He’ll be popular again this week. After Week 10’s 22 fantasy points and incredibly soft $4,200 price, I anticipated a giant spike to Benjamin’s price. Not so much. Still under $5,000 this week, Benjamin faces an Atlanta Falcons club that’s worst in the league against the pass. Yes, the drops continue to plague him, but the targets aren’t going away, especially in the end zone. This price is too soft, again.

Keenan Allen –OAK @ SD ($4,500)

Everyone LOVES what they just saw last, so often times we’ll find players that are coming off of a bye to be a bit under-utilized. I expect that’ll be the case with Allen this weekend. Yes, the Chargers love to spread it around, but Allen is seeing 23.7% of the Chargers targets. That’s more than he saw last year and it’s good for 15th best in the league, ahead of guys like Maclin, Benjamin, Gronkowski, and Graham. I like this spot for Allen, who’s in my top 20 yet is priced here as the 38th wide receiver this week.

Jordan Matthews – PHI @ GB ($4,500)

This plays more into the hands of the narrative I referenced above. What we saw from Matthews on Monday night was electrifying and dripping with fantasy goodness. We’ve heard it often of late but it rings true; this former second stringer turned starter duo has a nice rapport built through practice reps and we’re seeing it play out on the field. Matthews won’t throw up a 35-point week again, but he won’t need to much more than 16 to make this a bargain.

WR3

Pierre Garcon – TB @ WAS ($4,000)

Here’s another team that has likely benefited greatly from the bye week. A full week of practice for RGIII and company should serve them well, as will the Buccaneers secondary. Desean Jackson has continued to do what he does at an even higher efficiency than in years past, but I trust Garcon more, strange as that may seem. When we factor in price, it’s impossible to not like Garcon (45th highest salary) in this spot. Regardless of how you’d classify the two teammates, you have to like facing Tampa Bay who is 32nd vs. WR1’s and 30th vs. WR2’s this season.

Cordarrelle Patterson-MIN @ CHI ($3,800)

Patterson was a bit disappoining last time out, (where have you’ve heard that before?) laying a bit of an egg after a solid 6/86 on 12 targets the week prior. I like this spot for both Patterson and his safer-yet-more-expensive teammate Greg Jennings ($5,000) but I plan on having some exposure to both players this week against a Bears team that’s struggling in every facet right now.

FLEX/Lottery Tickets

This is the glutton for punishment section of the show. I don’t expect that I’ll use many players south of Patterson’s $3,800, or even Allen/Matthews at $4,500, but if you’re punting, then you’ve got a few home run GPP options down near minimum price.

Michael Floyd ($3,200), Kenny Britt ($3,100) and Justin Hunter ($3,100) have been death to many daily fantasy lineup’s this season, myself included. The fact remains that, talent-wise, these three are enticing players with the ability to push a strong lineup into the top 5% of a contest if they hit. Matchup wise, I like Hunter the best of this bunch. The Steelers have been susceptible to big plays in the passing game and the fundamentals are still encouraging for Hunter when you look at his snaps/route totals.

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