2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 7 Running Backs
The following values are my recommended running back plays for Week 7 at DraftKings – the best daily fantasy sports site on the Internet. Here are the scoring settings for running backs, and if you have any more questions about DraftKings or fantasy football in general ask us on Twitter @TheFantasyFix or @44AMiller.
DeMarco Murray – $9,600 vs. New York Giants – He’s the most expensive running back and one of only two above $8,300, but his consistent excellence makes him worth looking at. Obviously he’s gained over 100 yards on the ground in each game with six touchdowns, and he’s caught six passes each in his last two games, raising his receptions per game to 3.5. New York has been the sixth-friendliest defense to opposing running backs, and it’s allowed six scores to RBs.
Andre Ellington – $6,500 at Oakland – Ellington is averaging 16 rushes a game and almost four catches a game, so his workload is very encouraging. Oakland has allowed three 100-yard rushing games in five games, two of which belong to first-round studs Chris Ivory and Branden Oliver (sarcasm font needed). The Raiders are allowing five receptions per game to running backs, so expect another big game from Ellington in this PPR format.
Justin Forsett – $5,600 vs. Atlanta – Forsett is averaging 6.4 yards a carry this year, which is Jamaal Charles-ian. He’s averaged at least 4.7 yards per carry in every game this year, and his 23 catches rank fourth among backs. The Falcons are allowing the most fantasy points per game to running backs, five more points a game on average than the second worst team. They’ve allowed 11 touchdowns to running backs! They’re also allowing 4.4 yards per carry and almost seven catches a game to running backs.
Ben Tate – $5,300 at Jacksonville – As long as Tate is healthy Sunday he should eat against a porous Jaguars defense. Jacksonville has allowed six backs to score in double-digits in standard scoring. Tate doesn’t catch any passes and he’s splitting some time with Isaiah Crowell. But Tate should be a lock for 100 yards and a touchdown this week.
Eddie Lacy – $4,700 vs. Carolina – This is the make-or-break week for Lacy. Carolina ranks 31st in points allowed to running backs, and the Panthers are allowing 170 total yards to backs per week. Lacy isn’t catching as many passes as he did a year ago, but Carolina is tied for the third most receptions allowed to running backs. Like Smith below, he’s better used in a higher-payout game where you need to load up on high upside types.
Antone Smith – $3,800 at Baltimore – Smith is a better play for the higher-payout games and not 50/50 contests or other games with lower payouts. In five games he has both a touchdown and a play of at least 38 yards. He’s been the best back in Atlanta this year, and he’s averaging 9.7 yards a carry (!) and 22 yards a catch (!!). His still-low price makes him worth a shot in hopes he sees a usage increase. Baltimore’s a tough matchup, but Smith only needs one play to be worth his price.