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2014 Fantasy Football Daily Fix: Week 8 Wide Receivers

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Welcome to Wide Receiver Wednesday at the Daily Fix! Each Wednesday of the NFL regular season @RyNoonan will provide you with several receiving options that are strong plays that week at DraftKings. Monday through Friday the Fix writers will provide you with a Daily Fix that covers each position, with a weekly roundup on Friday.

Not into the ‘Daily‘ thing yet? Let’s talk. It’s a ton of fun, you get to start new each week and pick your squad, and DraftKings has a great promo going right now where they’ll match your initial deposit up to $600. Do it. Oh, and you get a free year’s subscription to our premium content as well in the #FrontOffice.

The Wide Receiver position is loaded with options in this new, ever-prolific passing era of the NFL, so options abound. I’ll break it up into tiers, essentially, WR1’s, 2’s, 3’s and FLEX/deep options.

Your WR1 and WR2’s are no-brainer starts in your normal fantasy leagues. I’ll highlight them if they have an exceptional matchup or price. We’re likely going to find some inexpensive plays here week in a week out as well, due to the depth at the position. We’ll need to dig a little deeper as we’re entering bye weeks, but I hope to continue picking winners for you.

Scoring and other settings can be found here.

For reference, you’ll continue to see me use both aFPA (Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed) from 4for4.com and DVOA (Defensive-Adjusted Value Over Average) from FootballOutsiders.com. These stats become more reliable each week as have real data points to reference instead of only a hybrid of data mixed with pre-season expectations.

WR1

Demaryius Thomas – SD @ DEN ($7,900)

‘Yeah, you’re so smart. Thanks for telling me that Demaryius Thomas is worth starting this week. Great article.’

Thanks, but here’s the thing. DT is a solid value this week as well.  I love the cost per projected point for Thomas. With a projected fantasy score of 23 points on Thursday, Demaryius comes in around $326 per point. That’s a steal for a WR1.

Jordy Nelson – GB @ NO ($7,800)

Nelson is the top wideout for me this week, with a sensational matchup against the Saints and their 30th ranked pass defense according to DVOA.  Nelson has been the total package this season catching both short and deep routes and taking them to the house and leading the league in end zone targets. He’s a beast. I like him to outperform Demaryius Thomas this week and he’s $100 cheaper.

WR2

Vincent Jackson – MIN @ TB ($5,100)

Jackson is the prototypical GPP wide receiver. He’s almost never what you’d consider safe or reliable, but his ability to explode could propel a lineup to victory. Jackson gets a nice price for us coming off the bye and faces a Vikings team that’s 26th in the league against WR1’s according to DVOA. I exploited the Vikings here last week, and that paid off with my Sammy Watkins play. Let’s go back to the well with Vincent Jackson.

Kelvin Benjamin –SEA @ CAR ($5,000)

The Kid is money. Last week was Benjamin’s lowest target total all season, yet he still managed to score 15.1 fantasy points on DraftKings.  Benjamin and the Panthers face the Seahawks this week, but don’t let that scare you. Look for Carolina to use Benjamin over the middle to take advantage of a soft spot in the Seattle defense and keep Benjamin away from Richard Sherman. He’ll only get better as the season progresses, and Cam Newton will be better than that most weeks. Even at a modest 14 point projection, Benjamin comes in at $299 per point.

Michael Floyd – PHI @ AZ ($4,900)

Fish in a barrel here again with Michael Floyd. My 14th ranked wide receiver for the week, Floyd comes in at 26 according to DraftKings pricing. That’s a steal. I love this matchup for Floyd and the Eagles are a welcomed sight for any passing offense having given up the 5th most aFPA to wide receivers this season. He and Benjamin should be at least $500 more this week.

WR3

James Jones – OAK @ CLE ($4,300)

James Jones will likely be on all my teams. The Raiders remain the pass-heaviest team in the league at 66% with Jones being the most targeted and established weapon on the team. I’ve been pleasantly surprised with the play of young Derek Carr, and he’s likely to take advantage of the Browns inability to cover their opponents’ top option. They’re in the bottom three of DVOA against WR1’s this season. Since his quiet start (3 target/1 touchdown performance in Week 1), Jones has been targeted an average of eight times per contest over the past five outings.

FLEX/Lottery Tickets

Tavon Austin – STL @ KC ($3,000)

Last week was my first real stinker in this spot, Brian Hartline. I’m coming back with two options this week to make up for it. First is Austin. Suddenly, the Rams are trying to get Austin more involved in the offense, including lining him up like a tailback and giving him carries. He’s the type of athlete that just needs a few touches to make a difference, and after getting just two per game through the first few weeks, Austin has gotten seven and eight respectively the past two games. Look for his snap total to increase this week with the release of Austin Pettis, and hopefully the touches will follow.

Robert Woods – BUF @ NYJ ($3,000)

With the backfield unsettled and a trip to New Y..errrr Jersey to face a strong Jets defensive line, look for the Bills to throw this weekend. After a breakout performance this past weekend, you can expect lots of attention to be paid to Sammy Watkins by the Jets defense. When the Patriots went all out to stop Watkins in Week 6, Woods saw 10 targets and scored. Look for a repeat on Sunday.

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