2015 Fantasy Football: Week 5 Buy/Sell
BUY – Devonta Freeman – RB – Atlanta Falcons
You’re not going to be able to trade for Freeman right now, but he makes my buy list because it is impossible not to buy into what he is doing for the 4-0 Atlanta Falcons right now. Back-to-back three touchdown weeks, back-to-back games with five catches out of the backfield as well; he is doing it all. The Falcons are putting it all together and Freeman is no exception to that. The first two games of the season, as the backup, the production from Freeman was not there. He ran for just 43 yards on 22 carries through the first two games as the backup, but he has entered the starting role and taken over. Tevin Coleman appears to be on track to return this week from his rib injury he suffered the second week of the season, but it is going to be hard to take the ball out of Freeman’s hands with what he has been able to accomplish in his audition as the lead back.
BUY – Allen Hurns – WR – Jacksonville Jaguars
Most people look into the stats for Hurns and see that his big game against the Patriots in week three was really due to one long touchdown catch he had in garbage time and that week four could have just been a fluke. Allen Robinson is the number one receiver for Blake Bortles and the Jaguars, which has led to less attention for Hurns. He has had at least 60 yards receiving in each game this season, and he will likely continue to be a very good option as a flex, or even WR2 depending on BYE weeks and such. The Jaguars are still not a very good football team, which means they are still trying to come from behind, therefore throwing the ball a lot. Bortles has averaged 39 pass attempts per game through the teams first four games of the season, which means a good amount of targets will continue to come his way.
BUY – Gary Barnidge – TE – Cleveland Browns
Through the first two games of the season with Johnny Manziel at quarterback, Barnidge had just four catches for 55 yards and no touchdowns. Travis Benjamin was the go-to receiver for the Browns over that span, making him a very popular waiver addition during that span. However, since Josh McCown has returned and taken over at quarterback, it has been Gary Barnidge that has led the Browns in receiving over the last two games with 180 yards and two touchdowns. The Ravens have been one of the best defenses in the league defending the tight end, so this could be a big swing game in the momentum of his recent success.
SELL – Carson Palmer – QB – Arizona Cardinals
There seems to always be something about Carson Palmer that goes downhill by the time the season ends. I don’t like to not give players the proper chance because they have a history of injuries, which seems to be the only thing that has stopped Palmer in recent history. The reason I have Palmer as a sell candidate is because I believe there would be someone out there that is buying into him as a top QB in fantasy this season. I have seen a lot of trades on Twitter and around the fantasy world that have people trading Andrew Luck away because they are panicked through four games of the season. However, there’s no doubt that Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady are the best quarterbacks in fantasy. They’re in a class of their own. As of today, Palmer is ranked as the third highest QB in the league, and if I were a Palmer owner, I would sell high and see what I might be able to get for himbecause I believe a little regression is coming.
SELL – Cam Newton – QB – Carolina Panthers
Much like Carson Palmer, Newton and his Carolina Panthers have been fantastic through four games this season. However, I’m not a firm believer in Newton or the Panthers just yet. They might be 4-0, but their four wins have come against the Jaguars, Texans, Saints (without Drew Brees), and Buccaneers. It’s been a fairly easy road for Newton so far, but that is all going to come to an end after their bye week this week. Seattle, Philadelphia, Indianapolis, Green Bay and Tennessee are their next five games after the bye week, and you could make the case for all five teams being better than any of the teams they have played in their first four (jury is still out on the Titans). The QB play around the league hasn’t been terrific so far, so it’s understandable if you want to hang on to Newton and ride him as long as you can, but be cautious with what might be coming from the former number one pick.
SELL – Melvin Gordon – RB – San Diego Chargers
It’s very apparent that the Chargers are a pass first offense. Their offensive line has struggled all season long, and Gordoon has yet to eclipse 100 yards rushing in a game. It’s going to be hard to sell a running back right now that has yet to have more than 88 rushing yards per game, doesn’t have a rushing touchdown this season, and has less total yards from scrimmage than his backup, Danny Woodhead. There will likely be a game where Gordon gets the bulk of carries and bursts onto the scene, like Todd Gurley did in essentially his first full game as the starting running back in St. Louis, and I believe that will be the time to sell high on Gordon. I believe Gordon is going to be a fine running back in the National Football League, and will even be a high draft pick one day in fantasy, but I don’t believe it’s his time yet given the struggles of the Chargers offensive line and the pass heavy offense that he’s in.