Daily Fantasy Hockey Strategy: February 19, 2016
Welcome to The Fantasy Fix daily fantasy hockey strategy. Below you will find rankings and projections for tonight’s NHL action. Building a winning lineup isn’t easy, so we’ll do our best to guide you in the right direction and help you win some serious cash. With that, let’s take a look at some matchups you should be targeting tonight.
As always, make sure to check out LeftWingLock for goalie confirmations.
All shot attempt numbers discussed are at even strength and score-adjusted unless otherwise noted.
Teams To Target
Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens
[cointent_lockedcontent article_labels=”hockey”] Note: This post will contain no talk of P.K Subban being traded.
It’s really not an easy time to be a Habs fan. The team has struggled to put together any sort of winning streak and it’s almost certain they will be sellers at this year’s Trade Deadline. The same can be said about the Flyers—who currently sit 7th in the Metropolitan Division but are just six points out of the final playoff spot. Picking a team to stack from this game might be a bit challenging, since both teams are below-average when it comes to scoring goals, but the safer play of the two teams is definitely Philadelphia.
The top line of Claude Giroux, Wayne Simmonds and Brayden Schenn will be heavily owned across all DFS platforms, especially on a short slate. It’s best to fade them in GPPs, but in cash games, you need some sort of exposure to this line. If you want to fade the top line, a nice mini-stack to consider is Jakub Voracek and Nick Cousins. They play on opposite power plays, but there’s an excellent chance that Cousins’ line will see a lot of Montreal’s third line, which is ideal since the Habs bottom six just isn’t that good. Whichever line you decide to go with, add Shayne Gostisbehere to it and call it a night. The rookie defenseman is currently on a thirteen game point streak and will most certainly make it fourteen by the end of the night.
As for Les Canadiens, the best line to target is their third line. Don’t be fooled—the Flyers are still a terrible team on the ice and their bottom six is really nothing special. If you want to be contrarian, a mini-stack of Paul Byron and Dale Weise is the way to go. Weise is seeing some time on the second power play unit and Byron is a great gamble if you’re looking for a short-handed goal. As far as choosing a defenseman goes, Andrei Markov and 2013 Norris Trophy winner P.K. Subban are the only two players to consider. They both play on the top unit and could have a field day with the Flyers 27th ranked penalty kill.
Calgary Flames v. Vancouver Canucks
Every part of me loves the Calgary Flames tonight. The Flames are a much better team when they play at home and tonight they will be facing a Vancouver team that is playing their second game in as many nights. The one advantage Vancouver has over Calgary is goaltending. Jonas Hiller is expected to start this game, and even though the Canucks don’t have much scoring outside of the Sedin twins, they could very easily score a few in this one.
Let me make stacking the Flames easy for you: Sean Monahan, Johnny Gaudreau and Dougie Hamilton. Seriously, that’s all there is to know about the Flames. Gaudreau is a monster when it comes to playing at home, Monahan is going to feed him the puck quite a bit tonight, and Hamilton joins the pair on the top power play unit. Mark Giordano is an alternative to Hamilton, but his price tag is just too high for my liking.
For the Canucks, Henrik Sedin and Daniel Sedin are the only two players to roster from this Vancouver team. They will see a lot of Giordano/Brodie, but that doesn’t scare me. The Flames are a below-average team defensively and opportunities for the twins to score will be there. Defenseman Ben Hutton joins them on the power play and is very reasonably priced across all DFS sites.
Columbus Blue Jackets v. Buffalo Sabres
There are lots of reasons to love the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight. John Tortorella’s club has played better since he took over the team earlier this season, and tonight, they take on a Buffalo team that is ranked 17th in GA/60 (2.34) and 20th in CF% (48.1%) on the road.
The line to stack tonight is definitely Boone Jenner, Bandon Dubinsky and Cam Atkinson. The Sabres “best” defensive line is their top line, so look for Tortorella to play Dubinsky’s line against Buffalo’s second line. Jack Eichel and company haven’t been terrible, but they are a mismatch for Columbus’ top line. If you don’t want to stack the entire line, a mini-stack of Jenner/Atkinson is the only way to do it. Both play together on the power play and Jenner is still listed at C on DK, which in this case, works out pretty good. Ryan Murray joins them on the second unit and is an absolute steal on FD and FantasyDraft.
In goal, Joonas Korpisalo is the second best option of the night (behind Corey Schneider). The Blue Jackets netminder has allowed two or fewer goals in five of his last six starts and is averaging over 32 saves a start. His value on FD isn’t that great, but on DK and FantasyDraft, he’s a steal.
Rankings are price sensitive
Forwards 1. Henrik Sedin—Vancouver Canucks–$5100 2. Lars Eller—Montreal Canadiens–$3100 3. Sean Monahan—Calgary Flames–$5900 4. Brayden Schenn—Philadelphia Flyers–$4500 5. Boone Jenner—Columbus Blue Jackets–$5100 6. Claude Giroux—Philadelphia Flyers–$6800 7. Jack Eichel—Buffalo Sabres–$5700 Wingers 1. Cam Atkinson—Columbus Blue Jackets–$5000 2. Sven Andrighetto—Montreal Canadiens–$3100 3. Johnny Gaudreau—Calgary Flames–$7000 4. Wayne Simmonds—Philadelphia Flyers–$6600 5. Daniel Sedin—Vancouver Canucks–$6300 6. Evander Kane—Buffalo Sabres–$6300 Defenseman 1. Shayne Gostisbehere—Philadelphia Flyers–$5600 2. Ryan Murray—Columbus Blue Jackets–$3700 3. Dougie Hamilton—Calgary Flames–$4900 4. P.K Subban—Montreal Canadiens–$6200 5. Mark Giordano—Calgary Flames–$6600 6. Andrei Markov—Montreal Canadiens–$4300 Goalie 1. Corey Schneider—New Jersey Devils–$8200 2. Joonas Korpisalo—Columbus Blue Jackets–$7100 3. Thomas Greiss—New York Islanders–$7800 4. Michael Neuvirth—Philadelphia Flyers–$7300
Forwards 1. Ryan O’Reilly—Buffalo Sabres–$4400 2. Henrik Sedin—Vancouver Canucks–$6000 3. Brandon Dubinsky—Columbus Blue Jackets–$5800 4. Sean Monahan—Calgary Flames–$7800 5. Claude Giroux—Philadelphia Flyers–$7900 6. Lars Eller—Montreal Canadiens–$3800 Wingers Left Wing 1. Boone Jenner—Columbus Blue Jackets–$5800 2. R.J Umberger—Philadelphia Flyers–$3400 3. Johnny Gaudreau—Calgary Flames–$8800 4. Daniel Sedin—Vancouver Canucks–$7400 5. Brayden Schenn—Philadelphia Flyers–$6300 6. Max Pacioretty—Montreal Canadiens–$6700 7. Paul Byron—Montreal Canadiens–$3200 Right Wing 1. Sven Andrighetto—Montreal Canadiens–$3000 2. Elias Lindholm—Carolina Hurricanes–$4200 3. Wayne Simmonds—Philadelphia Flyers–$7500 4. Cam Atkinson—Columbus Blue Jackets–$5900 5. Brendan Gallagher—Montreal Canaidens–$6000 6. Jiri Hudler—Calgary Flames–$5800 7. Jakub Voracek—Philadelphia Flyers–$7700 Defenseman 1. Shayne Gostisbehere—Philadelphia Flyers–$5200 2. Andrei Markov—Montreal Canadiens–$3800 3. Mark Streit—Philadelphia Flyers–$4000 4. Ben Hutton—Vancouver Canucks–$3900 5. Mark Giordano—Calgary Flames–$6100 6. P.K. Subban—Montreal Canadiens–$6000 7. Ryan Murray—Columbus Blue Jackets–$3100 Goalie 1. Corey Schneider—New Jersey Devils–$8500 2. Joonas Korpisalo—Columbus Blue Jackets–$8200 3. Michael Neuvirth—Philadelphia Flyers–$8700 4. Thomas Greiss—New York Islanders–$8900
Forwards 1. Boone Jenner—Columbus Blue Jackets–$10,600 2. Brayden Schenn—Philadelphia Flyers–$8900 3. Lars Eller—Montreal Canadiens–$6400 4. Sean Monahan—Calgary Flames–$12,100 5. Claude Giroux—Philadelphia Flyers–$14,000 6. Paul Byron—Montreal Canadiens–$5500 7. Henrik Sedin—Vancouver Canucks–$10,300 Wingers 1. Sven Andrighetto—Montreal Canadiens–$6100 2. Cam Atkinson—Columbus Blue Jackets–$10,400 3. Dale Weise—Montreal Canaadiens–$7500 4. Ryan O’Reilly—Buffalo Sabres–$12,600 5. Johnny Gaudreau—Calgary Flames–$14,500 6. Wayne Simmonds—Philadelphia Fleyrs–$13,600 7. Daniel Sedin—Vancouver Canucks–$13,200 8. Max Pacioretty—Montreal Canadiens–$14,300 Defenseman 1. Shayne Gostisbehere–$11,600 2. Dougie Hamilton—Calgary Flames–$10,000 3. Andrei Markov—Montreal Canadiens–$8700 4. Mark Streit—Philadelphia Flyers–$8700 5. Ben Hutton—Vancouver Canucks–$6900 6. Ryan Murray—Columbus blue Jackets–$7200 7. Mark Giordano—Calgary Flames–$13,500 8. P.K. Subban—Montreal Canadiens–$12,700 Team G 1. New Jersey Devils–$16,600 2. Columbus Blue Jackets–$14,000 3. Carolina Hurricanes–$13,600 4. New York Islanders–$15,800 [/cointent_lockedcontent]