Posts Tagged

Substitution Value

2014 Fantasy BaseballFantasy BaseballTotal Run Index

Every position is different, so this is where substitution value comes into play. Talking about data distribution can bring even the most enthusiastic baseball fan to sleep. Suffice it to say, the data at third base is a lot more condensed than at other positions. This is particularly true if

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2014 Fantasy BaseballFantasy BaseballTotal Run Index

Past is prologue. The past is the best predictor of the future, but there is no perfect predictor of the future. So, when I think about total run index (TRI) and its use in fantasy sports, I have to consider the limitations. For anyone that studies sabermetrics, there are two

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2014 Fantasy BaseballFantasy BaseballTotal Run Index

Last time we took a look at the substitution values for the catchers. But it couldn’t be more different than looking at first basemen. When you look at the median score for the first basemen, you see the highest median value of any position. This is particularly true when you

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2014 Fantasy BaseballFront OfficeTotal Run Index

Total run index actually began about five years ago when I began working on a metric I called the Hall of Fame Index. The idea was pretty simple. The idea was to use multiple statistical sources to get the consensus on a player. It culminated in a book I published

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2014 Fantasy BaseballFantasy BaseballTotal Run Index

The best position is in the eye of the beholder, but there is no deeper position than right field. According to TRI, there are sixteenright fielders with TRI scores above ten (including one not in the top 20 in ADP). So, that could end up affecting your decision on draft

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Fantasy BaseballTotal Run Index

We are approaching the half way point in the starting pitching rankings (there will actually be 50 starters in the top 250) and we are beginning to see a tightening in the data. That means that each player is a little less valuable simply because there isn’t a whole lot

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Fantasy BaseballFront OfficeTotal Run Index

In the last edition of the starting pitching countdown, I introduced a term that really isn’t all that new. I simply applied an official sounding term called “substitution value.” The whole idea behind substitution value is to look at a player’s value as not an absolute value (above replacement, average,

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