Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: May 7, 2013
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DraftKings.com Team of the Day
Normally I’m a fan of trying to find pitching bargains so that I can afford more consistent hitters. The logic was that I needed to have enough money to buy the guys who go oh-fer less often. But I’ll be honest, this strategy has not served me well so far this season. I’m down basically a quarter of what I started the year with.
So I’m flipping it around. I’m spending big on pitching and trying to find bargains with the bats. I’ll probably still suck.
SP: Matt Harvey, $10,200 – What a year this kid is having. He has a sub-2.00 ERA, sub-3.00 xFIP and SIERA, a stellar 22.7% K%-BB%, and a ridiculous 13.1% swinging strike rate. And the matchup with the White Sox is a great one. The Sox currently rank 29th in wRC+ against righties.
SP: Anibal Sanchez, $9,800 – Sanchez is well on his way to a career year. He has posted a sub-4.00 ERA in four straight years, but he has never broken 3.50. His strikeout rate is at an elite level thanks to a spike in swinging strike rate. He’ll also have a nice matchup tomorrow because he’ll get to face a pitcher as Detroit is visiting the National League in Washington.
As for bats, I’m picking on a few starters tomorrow, Tim Lincecum and Wily Peralta. Lincecum is one of the worst starters at holding runners on, so I’m going with a couple of Phillies who will hit from the left side who can steal some bags, Jimmy Rollins (SS – $4,000) and Ben Revere (OF – $3,400). And Peralta has really struggled this year, so I’m going with another couple of guys who will hit from the left side against the righty who can hit for some power, Lance Berkman (OF – $4,400) and Mitch Moreland (1B – $3,200).
At catcher I’m going with Miguel Montero ($3,800) because he’ll be facing Josh Beckett. Beckett uses his curveball a lot (17.7% over the last three years) but has a negative pitch value on his curveball. Montero has posted results 47% better than league average on curveballs since the start of 2012.
At second I’m going with Jose Altuve ($3,900) mainly because I love the little guy and because I’m sure C.J. Wilson will put him on for free at least once. Kyle Seager ($3,900) will be my third baseman because I like the favorable lefty-righty matchup against a bad pitcher in James McDonald. And Seth Smith ($3,400) rounds out my outfield because he’s a righty masher facing righty Zach McAllister.