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2013 Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: June 2nd 2013

Daily Fantasy Baseball Fix

Today I will be playing the Daily Dollar (great for beginners) If you are new to @DraftKings Daily Fantasy Baseball, you can claim your Deposit Bonus here!

Before I get into my @DraftKings team of the day, here are some weather notes for tomorrow’s games. –Note rain percentages aren’t definitive and are best used as a reminder to check the weather status again on game-day before selecting a player from that game.

Potential rain concerns:

It’s been an incredibly rainy weekend. Cleveland and Tampa Bay didn’t get going till midnight Saturday morning for their Friday game and rain in St. Louis Friday Night caused a double-header on Saturday. Rain delays should be approached with slightly less trepidation on Sundays than on other week days. Sunday is the last day of a series and typically if the two teams don’t play another series at the given venue, there will be a lot of effort involved in getting the game played that day.

Delay Potential exists for: New York Mets @ Miami Marlins: Scattered thunder storms (50-60%), although the retractable roof in Miami may aid matters. Another game that may get delayed is Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh. That game, like the Mets and Marlins game, is a divisional matchup, thus creating a potential postponement opportunity. That game has 50% chance of isolated thunder storms.

Fortunately there are multiple games available for the Daily Dollar challenge, so I was able to avoid these two.

My lineup:

Pitcher: Jeremy Bonderman | $5,000 @ Minnesota: Wait what? Jeremy Bonderman? Isn’t he the semi-failed former Detroit Tigers pitching prospect? Indeed he is. It takes a certain amount of craziness and “gamble” to win these challenges. Unfortunately the landing spot for the thirty-year-old righty isn’t as soft as we would hope, given it’s against a former division rival. Bonderman hasn’t thrown an inning in the majors since 2010. This choice is not for the faint of heart.

Pitcher: Tyler Lyons | $7,400 vs. San Francisco: Lyons has been absolutely magnificent so far in 2013. The young lefty has allowed just six hits and two earned runs over 14 innings. He holds a 9:2 K/BB as well. Lyons faces off Sunday against Chad Gaudin who is being called upon to start thanks to the doubleheader that caused changes in each of the rotations for these two teams. While Lyons may experience a bit of regression in this start, he’s surely going to get a cheap win against Gaudin.

Other options: If you decide to go with the safer, more expensive pitcher route, it doesn’t get much better than Matt Harvey ($12,600) @ Miami. Harvey has been pitching out of his mind this season, and a matchup with the paltry Marlins won’t slow him down one bit. The rainout risk lurks however. Cleveland SP Zach McAllister ($6,900) vs. Tampa Bay is an interesting option given the fact the Rays were held in check by Ubaldo Jimenez in devastating fashion last night. McAllister also has the benefit of facing off against scuffling Rays starter Jeremy Hellickson. For similar reasons to Matt Harvey, Yu Darvish ($12,600 vs. Kansas City is an excellent choice as well.

Catcher: Brian McCann | $3,400 vs. Washington: The biggest risk for Sunday games is at the catcher position. Top catchers frequently are given Sunday as their day off, due to it usually being a day game following a night game. Luckily McCann got the night off on Saturday, so it’s a guarantee that he will be behind the plate for the Braves. McCann gets to face unproven Nathan Karns, a righty with no prospect pedigree. Karns gave up five hits and three earned runs while striking out three and walking two in a 4.1 inning start against Baltimore last time out.

Other options: Ryan Doumit ($3,500) vs. Seattle: Doumit is a bit of a risky start, because you might need a last minute substitute since his playing time is so sporadic. If he starts, he’s a good handcuff pick especially if you start Bonderman. Doumit runs very hot and cold, and right now he’s hot. He has 10 RBI in his last six games. He’s 8-24 with two home runs as well over that span.

First Base: Prince Fielder | $5,800 @ Baltimore: Fielder also runs very hot and cold. Fielder hit a home run yesterday, and today faces struggling Orioles pitching phenom Kevin Gausman. Gausman has struggled specifically with the home run. Gausman has allowed four of them in just nine innings pitched at the major league level thus far.

Other options: Chris Davis ($5,600 vs. Detroit): Also eligible at first base, he will be in the outfield section though. Paul Goldschmidt ($5,600) has been an absolute monster this season. His 45 RBI leads the Diamondbacks, and is one of the best marks in the league. He also has 13 home runs to go with a .332 batting average. Also, Goldschmidt cranked his first career grand slam in last nights’ triumph over the hapless Cubs. Goldschmidt also is 2-6 with a double in his career off Edwin Jackson.

Second Base: Nick Franklin | $2,100 @ Minnesota: While still not eligible in ESPN fantasy leagues at the keystone, Franklin does qualify in Draft Kings daily fantasy format at second base. Franklin isn’t likely to put up a host of points, but with his plate patience and ability to hit lefties (faces Minnesota lefty Scott Diamond), a good seven points is a reasonable expectation.

Other options: Matt Carpenter | $3,800 vs. San Francisco: Because I could bat lefty and get a hit off Chad Gaudin. Seriously, the dude can’t get a lefty out if his life depended on it. A .376 wOBA in a very small sample against lefties in 2013, and a .190 wOBA against righties shows that. As does his career .367 wOBA against lefties, against a .316 wOBA. Carpenter has amazing contact ability and impressive plate discipline for a young player. Expect Carpenter to be one of the hand-full of Cardinals who shine against Gaudin.

Third Base: Miguel Cabrera | $6,900 @ Baltimore: Also known as the luxury pick we are allowed when choosing Jeremy Bonderman as one of our pitchers. Cabrera’s stat-line in 2013 has been absolutely absurd. Despite Austin Jackson missing a great deal of time so far this season, the Tigers have been getting base at an incredible rate in front of Cabrera. His 65 RBI currently pace the league; and don’t look now, but he’s homered in three of his past four games. Gausman has given up four homers already. I like Miggy’s chances to go yard for a third straight game.

Other options: Since we can’t all be as fortunate to budget for Miguel Cabrera in our lineup, here are some less pricy options at the hot corner. Ryan Zimmerman ($4,200) @ Atlanta can be quite streaky, as owners of him during his three home run outburst against Chris Tillman can attest to. Zimmerman has modest numbers against Atlanta lefty starter Paul Maholm in his career. He’s 7-24 (a .292 batting average), but all were singles. Maholm has struggled mightily as of late. He has just 13 strikeouts in his past 23.2 innings pitched, and has had two blowup starts during that span. Maholm’s hits allowed each of the past four games: ten, seven, eight, and eight. Milwaukee Brewers third baseman Aramis Ramirez ($4,400) @ Philadelphia hits very well in his career against Cliff Lee. Aramis hits .313 in 16 at-bats against Lee, with three home runs. His slash line looks like this: .313/.353/.938. Although Lee has been excellent this season; that slash line from Aramis looks awfully tempting.

Shortstop: Jhonny Peralta | $3,200 @ Baltimore: Jhonny Peralta has been an elite shortstop at the plate in 2013. There are no two ways about it. He’s hitting .328 with six home runs, 27 runs scored, and 25 RBI. He hit a home run last night, and might have hit one on Thursday too if not for being ejected for arguing balls and strikes. That game actually broke a 10-game hit streak for Peralta, during which he saw his batting average rise from .317 to .337. Peralta also had five multi-hit games during that streak. He’s certainly capable of starting a new one effective immediately against struggling O’s hurler Kevin Gausman. He is unquestionably the best choice today.

Outfield: Carlos Gonzalez | $6,200 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Gonzalez has incredibly large home-road splits, as do most Rockies. His resume against Dodgers SP Hyun-Jin Ryu couldn’t look any better either, as he’s 1-1 with a home run against the hefty lefty.

Outfield: Chris Davis | $5,600 vs. Detroit: What will happen when the hottest hitter in baseball faces off against a huge regression candidate in Rick Porcello? Porcello couldn’t have been better against the Pirates last time out. He gave up just three hits in eight innings while striking out a season high eleven. A fall back down to reality is in order against one of the best offenses in the game.

Outfield: Michael Brantley | $3,900 vs. Tampa Bay: Brantley owns scuffling Rays righty Jeremy Hellickson in his career. Brantley hits .375/.444/.1000 against Hellickson in eight at-bats. What better medicine is there for Brantley who is just 2 for his last 20?

Other options: Nick Markakis | $4,200 vs. Detroit: Markakis is enjoying quite a renaissance season in Baltimore.  Though the end of May, Markakis currently sits with a .306 batting average, 34 runs scored, seven home runs, and 33 RBI. He’s been stellar. Markakis has enjoyed excellent success in his career against Rick Porcello. He hits .462/.500/.769 against him in 13 career at-bats.

News and Notes around the MLB:

Nationals superstud outfielder Bryce Harper has hit the disabled list with a right knee injury he sustained while stealing a base May 26th against the Phillies. The move is retroactive to May 27th, making him eligible to come off the disabled list on June 11th against Colorado. With so many injured players around baseball right now, owners could be left in a predicament. Players like Aaron Hill, Matt Kemp, Jose Reyes, Hanley Ramirez, Curtis Granderson, Austin Jackson, Ian Kinsler, Giancarlo Stanton and Chase Utley are all way too good to be dropped in 10-team mixed leagues to make room for Harper on their DL. In such cases where an owner has multiple or even just two names on this list, making a two for one or three for one trade is a must. Owners shouldn’t worry about giving up too much value either, in a desperate situation like this.

Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Eric Chavez was placed on the disabled list after an MRI revealed a small tear in his right oblique muscle according to Steve Gilbert of MLB.com. He is expected to be out 3-5 weeks. Owners using him as a temporary injury fill-in at third base, should obviously be looking elsewhere. Chavez is a must drop in all formats except deep NL-Only. Some possible third base replacements are Nolan Arenado (20.1% owned), Jeff Keppinger (12.3% owned) (who is quietly heating up with a .400 OBP over the past 15 days), and Mike Aviles (1.3% owned).

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2013 Fantasy Baseball Daily Fix: June 3, 2013

2 Comments

  1. June 2, 2013 at 5:02 am

    Is Strasburg going to be DL? Should I make offer to an owner who has multiple players on DL n what should I offer. Offer hamels ty

    • June 4, 2013 at 4:55 am

      Thanks Jose for your question and the read. Personally, I’m quite worried about Strasburg. I would not offer Hamels for Strasburg because i believe that Hamels’ issues are timing and mechanics related whilst Strasburg’s are injury related. This answer may surprise you, but i think Hamels is an excellent buy low right now.