2014 Fantasy Baseball: The Daily Double Switch for August 11th
Welcome back to the Daily Double Switch here at the Fantasy Fix. For those who aren’t yet Daily Fantasy baseball players at DraftKings, head over there via this link and join. DraftKings gives you $50,000 to draft eight hitters (one at each position) plus two pitchers. When you join they will double your initial deposit, up to $600, so it’s a great time to jump in.
Let’s take a look at today’s slate, and see where we can exploit the matchups! You can find me on twitter @RyNoonan if you have player specific questions.
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Game times and Weather
On Monday we have our typical shortened slate, but it’s still mostly full (11 games) but with the early start in Philadelphia, we only have 10 games to use for our lineups. As of this morning we’re looking at 40-50% chances of rain in the DET@PIT, MIL@CHC, and LAD@ATL games. As I typically advise, stay away from the pitching here if possible. They are the players that are impacted most when weather is an issue.
There are so many ways to skin this proverbial Daily Fantasy Sports cat, and a very popular way to construct your DraftKings team is by stacking your roster with multiple players from one or two teams. Today, doesn’t offer any obvious stacks to me, but I’d look to mini-stack the Yankees and Tigers. The Yankees should throw out a pretty left-handed heavy lineup tonight against Bud Norris and the Orioles, while the Tigers and their right-handed hitters face Pirates lefty Jeff Locke.
We may only have 10 games on deck today, but we’ve got a lot of intriguing pitchers to choose from. With roughly seven weeks left to play, it’s hard to remember the last time that the Cy Young winners seemed so obvious. There are a number of players that could make a case with their performance, but Clayton Kershaw and Felix Hernandez ($14,200) are runaway winners. King Felix is going to cost you today, but the likelihood that he gets you 20+ points today is high. Spending big on Felix means we’ll need to find some major discounts elsewhere, but I can’t find one that I love who’s on the mound tonight. The next tier, Sonny Gray ($9,200), Julio Teheran ($8,900) and Jesse Hahn ($8,800) are strong plays, but I’ll save a few bucks and play Jake Arrieta ($8,000) against the Brewers, weather permitting. I’ll be watching Shelby Miller ($6,100) tonight to see if he’s made enough improvements that make him viable down the stretch. I don’t have the courage to start him tonight. Maybe you do.
I liked Russell Martin ($3,800) a lot more when he wasn’t so pricy. He has a history of success against Verlander, and that’s worth your attention. Stephen Vogt ($2,900) was a regular here on the Daily Fix last month, and his play over the past few days, combined with that price, will bring him right back.
Anthony Rizzo ($4,900) has to be one of the most improved players in the game this season. His elite price tag fits, because he has become an elite performer. I like Garrett Jones ($3,400) to homer tonight. Random, but he’s taken Shelby Miller yard a few times before, and walks and long balls are Miller’s undoing most times out.
Jonathan Schoop ($2,900) has returned big profits for me over the past few weeks, and he’s still under $3,000. He faces left-hander Chris Capuano today, and I like the Orioles chances of hanging a crooked number up today against the soft-tossing lefty. Early season star Brian Dozier ($4,200) is heating up again, averaging 11 FPPG over his past 10 games.
We have a plethora of options at the hot corner today. The biggest bat of them all, Miguel Cabrera ($5,200) will be in my lineup today. Historically, he mashes lefties and Jeff Locke should be no different. Another right-handed hitting Orioles starter could make sense, and that’d be Manny Machado ($4,300) here. I won’t fault you for playing Josh Harrison ($4,400) here or in the outfield because he’s about as hot as they get right now.
The artist formerly known as Stephen Drew ($2,700) is tough to start, but the Yankees are doing it, so when the matchup is right we have to consider him. His lifetime 1.357 OPS against Bud Norris is worth a look at that price. The top option at shortstop today is Starlin Castro ($4,600) but that price will likely keep him out of my lineups today.
We’ve got options galore here as well today. Justin Upton ($4,300) is my play of the day. I like his chances to produce a quality line today against newly-acquired Dodgers starter Kevin Correia, whom he’s seen quite often in the past. Both Jacoby Ellsbury ($4,200) and Carlos Beltran ($4,200) fit in our Yankee stack and are hitting well of late. Rajai Davis ($3,800) and Nick Castellanos ($2,700) are different players when facing left-handed pitching, and come at deep discounts today. If you’re starting Starlin Castro as shortstop, then Chris Coglan ($4,400) makes a lot of sense here. It’s a small sample, but he’s 5/6 in his career against Brewers starter Yovani Gallardo.
Good luck today! We’ve been winning quite a bit lately, so find me on twitter and let’s celebrate your success!