2015 Fantasy Football: Week 12 DFS Running Backs
It looks like DraftKings is only including Thursday’s Chicago at Green Bay contest with the games on Sunday and Monday this week, so I’ll only focus on running backs from those teams.
Adrian Peterson – $7,300 at Atlanta – If you want to go pricy at running back I think Peterson’s your guy. He’s scored or has at least 100 total yards in five straight, and Atlanta is the fifth-worst defense against running backs having allowed 13 touchdowns to running backs already.
Chris Ivory – $5,800 vs. Miami – Coming off a five-point game, this is Ivory’s lowest price since Week 7. But Ivory has two things going for him: his opponent and venue. Miami’s allowing the second-most points per game to running backs, giving up 12 scores in 10 games and 163 total yards per game, too. He’s also scoring 22 points per game at home this year, with five scores, compared to 11 points per game and two scores on the road. I know a lot of that could be noise, but he’s averaging more carries, yards per carry, yards per game, and yards per reception at home.
T.J. Yeldon – $4,800 vs. San Diego – Yeldon doesn’t have much upside, but his consistency this season makes him an OK play in cash games if you need someone at a low cost. He’s scored in double-digits in seven of nine games this year, and one non-double-digit game was 9.7 points. He’s averaging three catches a game with five games having caught at least three balls. San Diego has to travel cross-country after a huge blowout for a 1 p.m. kickoff. Oh, and their run D is bad with 13 touchdowns allowed to running backs in 10 games and 173 total yards allowed to them each game.
Eddie Lacy – $4,700 vs. Chicago – Even after his second-best game of his season, Lacy’s price is the lowest it’s been this year. Lacy gained 100 yards on 4.5 per carry against a good Vikings’ run defense, and I’m betting on Green Bay rolling with Lacy’s hot hand this week. His upside, price and offense makes him a low-risk play this week. The Bears are right around average in fantasy points allowed to running backs, but the 1,032 rushing yards they’ve allowed to them is eighth-most in the league.
Javorius Allen – $4,600 at Cleveland – “Buck” did just fine in his first extended action of the season Sunday after Justin Forsett went down with a broken arm. Allen should continue to see a majority of touches in the Ravens’ backfield, and he totaled 115 yards Sunday. He struggled on the ground against a good Rams’ run defense, but he excelled in the air, catching five passes for 48 yards. Yeah, Matt Schaub is the quarterback now, but the Ravens will have to lean on the run game, and it’s not like they’ve got a great receiving corps here. Cleveland is the sixth-worst overall defense against running backs, having allowed 1,325 rushing yards to backs this year, which is almost 100 more than any other team.
Thomas Rawls – $4,500 vs. Pittsburgh – Probably by Thursday and I’d say for sure by Sunday we’ll know whether or not Marshawn Lynch will be out for the season after battling what is currently rumored as a sports hernia. If he is out, Rawls makes for a great play after posting 255 total yards last week. He has three 100-yard games this year out of four that he’s had double-digit carries. Pittsburgh’s tough against running backs, but Rawls is averaging six yards a carry and he’s proven he can put up serious points when he gets the rock.
Shaun Draughn – $3,800 vs. Arizona – We don’t know when Carlos Hyde will return, so as long as Draughn starts and his price is low, he’s got a chance to give you a good return on your investment. He’s put up decent yardage in both starts, and he’s caught eight and four balls, respectively. Arizona has a tough defense and tough reputation, but Seattle is the stingiest defense for running backs and Draughn put up 15 points against them last week.