2015 Fantasy Football: Week 6 DFS Running Backs
Expensive, but worth it
Matt Forte – $7,100 at Detroit – Detroit is just a mess, and even though Forte’s situation isn’t the best he’s still scored over 14 points in four out of five games. He also has at least 105 total yards in four games, too. Detroit’s giving up almost 4.5 yards a carry, 10 yards a catch and seven scores to running backs already, as well as 34 redzone touches to RBs, second most in the league.
Devonta Freeman – $7,000 at New Orleans – Freeman’s price is the highest it’s been on the season, but until he stops producing he’ll be worth paying up for. He’s scored over 35 points in each of his last three games. New Orleans is also giving up almost 4.5 yards a carry to opposing backs, and it’s allowed four teams’ running backs to gain over 100 yards on the ground.
Reasonably price with high upside
Mark Ingram – $6,000 vs. Atlanta – Ingram had the worst game of his season Sunday with 74 total yards. He’s still been very consistent this season, and his matchup this week couldn’t be much better. Atlanta’s been the third-worst defense this season against running backs, allowing nine touchdowns and almost 800 total yards to running backs. Ingram’s averaging over four catches and 40 receiving yards on the season, so even if the Saints trail for a lot of the game he should still be on the field and have a chance to accrue points.
Dion Lewis – $5,800 at Indianapolis – It wouldn’t surprise me if the Patriots score over 60 points Sunday night. In each game this season Lewis has at least 16 points, 67 total yards, four catches, and 30 receiving yards. He’s scored three times. He’s the fourth-leading scorer in points per game, yet he’s priced 12th among running backs. The Colts are allowing 138 total yards to running backs. This game should be a shootout, and regardless of the game-flow Lewis will score a ton of points.
Cheap GPP Plays
LeGarrette Blount – $4,400 at Indianapolis – I wrote last week that the Pats can support two running backs, and that is still true. Again, this game should be high-scoring and it won’t matter how much the Pats are winning by they’ll still be going for the Colts’ throats. Last year in this game Jonas Gray scored four times and had over 200 yards. That could be Blount this week – probably not the yardage, but the touchdowns could come in bunches.
Shane Vereen – $4,200 at Philadelphia – Vereen played a season-high in snaps and produced 25 fantasy points, his best output of the season. He’s mostly game-flow dependent, and in the three games he’s played over 40 percent of snaps he’s scored in double-digits. This should be a close affair and/or high-scoring. Combine that with the Giants’ receivers’ injury woes and you could see a lot of Vereen Monday night.