Below we’ve got a discussion of the starting pitching situation as well as the best hitters to use for Monday’s 15-game all-day slate on DraftKings.

Pitcher Rankings

After the jump we’ll take a look at each of my top 10 projected pitchers for the evening.

1. Matt Harvey – $6,200

Please note that my projections are based on rest-of-season ZiPS projections which I cut down to a per-game basis and then adjust for matchup and ballpark. That’s the reason Harvey is tops in my projections today as the projections factor in performance from previous seasons so heavily. But I think it’s wise not to dismiss the projections and to avoid over-reacting to Harvey’s rough start. As Eno Sarris recently discussed, Harvey’s underlying numbers aren’t that different than they’ve been in years past. I still think he’s going to get right sooner rather than later, and when he does he’s going to provide big DFS value for several starts before his price rebounds. I understand if you can’t stomach him in cash, but GPP away.

2. Jeff Samardzija – $12,200

Samardzija’s 2.54 ERA is undeserved, but he’s been just fine with a 3.46 xFIP. He’s got an unimposing matchup today against the Braves who have a 74 wRC+ vs. RHP, but the matchup lacks upside as the Braves don’t strike out a ton. The Shark is a pretty safe play, but at his price point he’s a little over-priced, but not so much so that you have to avoid him.

3. Jose Quintana – $11,700

Quintana has an ERA he doesn’t really deserve as well, but also like Samardzija he’s been just fine with an xFIP in the mid-threes. He’s got plenty of upside in his matchup against the Mets who have the second highest strikeout rate in the league vs. LHP. He should probably be priced right at $11,000 instead of $700 over that, but he’s a steady pitcher in a solid matchup worth using even at that price.

4. Carlos Martinez – $7,400

Martinez has the exact same xFIP as Matt Harvey except his ERA is basically the same as that xFIP thanks to his BABIP being over 100 points lower than Harvey’s inflated mark and his strand rate being 6.6 percent lower. He’s got a nice matchup today against the Brewers who have the highest strikeout rate in the league vs. RHP. Martinez has lost some points off his strikeout rate this season and his swinging strike rate is down as well. But his velocity is just fine, so there’s a chance he rebounds in that department. At his price point he’s got plenty of value potential, and he obviously feels a lot safer than Harvey down in that price range.

5. Justin Verlander – $10,900

No need to pay five figures for a guy with a 3.98 xFIP. He also has a terrible matchup against the Angels who are above average in wRC+ and strikeout less than any other team vs. RHP.

6. Nathan Karns – $9,500

Karns has the pleasure of facing the Padres tonight who have the second lowest wRC+ and fourth highest strikeout rate vs. RHP. Karns’ biggest issue is walks with a 9.4 percent walk rate, but the Pads have the third lowest walk rate vs. RHP, so the matchup is even better for Karns than most. The only issue is price. He’s not over-priced, but his salary is right on the nose and he doesn’t offer a ton of value potential, so he’s probably a better cash play than he is a GPP option.

7. Collin McHugh – $6,400

McHugh’s 5.13 ERA isn’t ideal, but better days are surely ahead. He’s got a .382 BABIP which makes little sense given that his hard hit rate allowed is exactly what it was last year and better than it was two years ago when he had BABIPs of .310 and .259, respectively. His matchup is average in every way as the D’Backs rank mid-pack in both wRC+ and strikeout rate vs. RHP, and the ballpark in Arizona certainly isn’t favorable. But there’s definitely value potential at his price point, and he’s an interesting GPP option.

8. Alex Wood – $7,200

I’m a big Alex Wood fan generally but not today. He had this start pushed back a few days with an injury which is always concerning, and the matchup with the Cubs is a brutal one, especially at Wrigley. Pass.

9. Edwin Escobar – $4,700

Escobar is actually my #12 projected pitcher of the day, but the guys projected #9-#11 aren’t options either because of a bad price of a bad matchup. Escobar will be making his first major league start, and what he’s done at Triple-A this season doesn’t inspire confidence. In five starts there this year he has a 4.68 ERA and 4.74 FIP. But ZiPS has him being not too far below average with a projected ERA of 4.15. And he’s got a good matchup today against Houston who has the sixth lowest wRC+ and highest strikeout rate in the league vs. LHP. You can fit just about anyone else you want into your lineup if you roster Escobar at this price point, so he’s a GPP option.

10. Jhoulys Chacin – $6,100

I’m skipping further down the list here to my #16 projected pitcher simply because there’s is some strikeout upside in Chacin’s matchup and thus some value potential. The Tigers are a tough matchup for right-handers but have the tenth highest strikeout rate against them, so Chacin, who has a solid 3.58 xFIP, is another GPP option.

Hitting Options

Baltimore Orioles – The O’s will face knuckleballer Steven Wright today, and Wright is off to an excellent start this season. But the knuckler has definitely had some good fortune with only 5.3 percent of his fly balls allowed leaving the park. That’s sure to rise at some point, and the O’s have a good shot at pushing that mark upwards as they rank third in slugging vs. RHP and seventh in slugging at home. Chris Davis is arguably the top play of the day, and Hyun-Soo Kim would be an excellent value if he hits in the two-hole for the third straight game. Pedro Alvarez, Matt Wieters and Adam Jones are also good values. Manny Machado can also be a part of any O’s stack.

Stack suggestion: Adam Jones (expected lineup slot: 1), Hyun-Soo Kim (2), Chris Davis (3), Manny Machado (4), Matt Wieters (6)

Boston Red Sox – On the other side of that game, the Red Sox will face RHP Tyler Wilson who has a 4.61 xFIP in 78.2 big league innings. He’s got a bit of a split, but he’s been almost as bad against righties as he has against lefties. The Sox lead the league in wRC+ vs. RHP, so they’re in a great spot today against Wilson. Because the Sox have hit so well, there is little value on the team, but David Ortiz and Travis Shaw are probably the two guys most worth spending on.

Stack suggestion: David Ortiz (4), Hanley Ramirez (5), Jackie Bradley, Jr. (6), Travis Shaw (7)

Cleveland Indians – Cleveland ranks eighth in wRC+ vs. RHP and gets RHP Colby Lewis today. Lewis is rocking a 3.38 ERA, but his xFIP is 4.56 despite allowing 1.41 HR/9 thanks to an 83.6 percent strand rate. His ERA is certainly going to rise when more base runners start scoring via a method other than the home run. Jason Kipnis is the best option on the team today and has a decent price tag. Francisco Lindor and Carlos Santana are also options, though both switch-hitters tend to be better against lefties. Value options include Jose Ramirez and Lonnie Chisenhall.

Stack suggestion: Carlos Santana (1), Jason Kipnis (2), Francisco Lindor (3), Mike Napoli (4), Jose Ramirez (5)

Colorado Rockies – I’m ignoring the Reds at Coors since they rank dead last in wRC+ vs. RHP, but the home team is in play. The Rox will face Dan Straily who really struggles against left-handers with a career 5.13 xFIP vs. LHH. Carlos Gonzalez and Charlie Blackmon are both excellent options as a result, and Gerardo Parra is a good cheaper option.

Stack suggestion: Charlie Blackmon (1), DJ Lemahieu (2), Carlos Gonzalez (3), Gerardo Parra (5)

Pittsburgh Pirates – Pittsburgh ranks third in the league in wRC+ vs. LHP (126), and they’ll face LHP Justin Nicolino today. Nicolino is brutal against right-handers with more career walks than strikeouts vs. RHP and a 5.55 xFIP. Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte are both excellent options today, and Jung Ho Kang is a nice cheaper option.

Stack suggestion: Andrew McCutchen (2), David Freese (3), Jung Ho Kang (4), Starling Marte (5), Francisco Cervelli (6)

Player Rankings

Catcher

1. Matt Wieters – $3,400
2. Brian McCann – $3,200
3. Blake Swihart – $3,600
4. Tony Wolters – $3,500
5. Dustin Garneau – $3,200
6. Francisco Cervelli – $3,600

First Base

1. Chris Davis – $4,000
2. David Ortiz – $5,500
3. Joey Votto – $4,700
4. Pedro Alvarez – $3,000
5. Carlos Santana – $4,300
6. Freddie Freeman – $3,300

Second Base

1. Jason Kipnis – $4,300
2. Daniel Murphy – $4,400
3. Robinson Cano – $4,800
4. Jose Altuve – $5,500
5. Starlin Castro – $2,700

Third Base

1. Kris Bryant – $4,700
2. Matt Carpenter – $5,100
3. Travis Shaw – $4,500
4. Kyle Seager – $3,800
5. Jose Ramirez – $3,500
6. Jung-Ho Kang – $3,800
7. Chase Headley – $2,800

Shortstop

1. Carlos Correa – $4,700
2. Manny Machado – $4,900
3. Francisco Lindor – $4,700
4. Marco Hernandez – $3,300
5. Javier Baez – $2,900
6. Cristhian Adames – $2,600

Outfield

1. Bryce Harper – $4,600
2. Carlos Gonzalez – $5,200
3. Charlie Blackmon – $5,000
4. Hyun-Soo Kim – $3,200
5. Andrew McCutchen – $4,800
6. Jacoby Ellsbury – $4,000
7. Jackie Bradley, Jr. – $4,700
8. Starling Marte – $4,700
9. Gerardo Parra – $4,100
10. Brett Gardner – $3,700
11. Adam Jones – $3,300
12. Lonnie Chisenhall – $2,900

Starting Pitcher

1. Jose Quintana – $11,700
2. Matt Harvey – $6,200
3. Carlos Martinez – $7,400
4. Jeff Samardzija – $12,200
5. Nathan Karns – $9,500
6. Collin McHugh – $6,400
7. Edwin Escobar – $4,700