2015 Fantasy GolfChris Garosi

Daily Fantasy Golf Strategy: PGA Championship

I’m back from my vacation and it’s time for the PGA Championship and it’s time for DraftKings to give away another million dollars. We are heading to Whistling Straits in Sheboygan, Wisconsin for this year’s edition of the final major. It’s the third time we’ve traveled to Whistling Straits as this major was also contested here in 2010 and 2004. I’m back again to provide daily fantasy golf picks for DraftKings’ PGA game.

It’s a great week to check out DraftKings as they have some top notch contests. Come on over and take a look.

Tour Stop

The PGA Championship returns for the third time to Sheboygan, WI to tee it up for the fourth major at the Whistling Straits on the Straits Course. The Straits Course plays at 7,514 yards to the tune of a par 72 so, it’s a tad bit long (it can play as long as 7,800+ yards should the PGA want to go that route).

The course has over 1,000 bunkers and there is fescue everywhere as well, so the golfers will find trouble no matter how efficient they are. Again, it’s a major so we want the best of best this week, but this is the “easiest” of the four majors year in and year out as we’ve seen players like Rich Beem, Shaun Micheel, and Y.E. Yang as winners in the last 15 years.

The weather calls for a chance of rain on Thursday afternoon with some chance for thunderstorms. It also looks like it will be quite windy (though not British Open windy) most of Thursday and Friday afternoon. The rest of the week looks alright, but there could be a delay on Thursday. As always, check back later in the week to see if there is a tee time advantage to be had.

Scorecard breakdown: Four (4) par threes, ten (10) par fours and four (4) par fives. In looking at the 2010 and 2004 results, you can contend in just about any way you can imagine. Score well of par 3s, 4s or 5s and you can do well – you don’t have to be a master of just one.

Field

It’s a major; everyone who is anyone is on the list.

The full field can be found here.

Thanks to GolfOdds.com for the odds this week. If you’d like to see a second set of odds, check out the Betting Zone’s odds here – just click on this week’s tournament on the left hand pane.

Past Tournament Results

We will provide a few different looks at past tournament results. Past PGA Championship results have some merit. But, like the British Open, the tournament rotates courses so they aren’t as useful as normal. This is a links style course (like both the British and U.S. Opens this year) so we’ll look at those results as well. And of course, the Straits Course held both the 2010 and 2004 editions of the PGA Championship so we’ll look at them too.

Moreover, this is a Pete Dye course so his diabolical mind seems to fit some players’ games. We’ll look at the 2012 results from the PGA as it was also played at the Pete Dye course (Kiawah Island) and had a decidedly non-American leaderboard with only eight of the top 20 finishers calling the States home. In fact, five of the top six were European players. We’ll also review players who succeed at tournaments which are held at Dye-designed courses. Those tourneys are the Heritage, THE PLAYERS, the Travelers Championship and the Zurich Classic

And finally, don’t forget to check the 2012 BMW Championship leaderboard as it was played at Crooked Stick (another Pete Dye course) just a month after the 2012 PGA Championship at Kiawah. Oh, hey look who won that one – Rory McIlroy.

2014 Winner: Rory McIlroy picked up his second PGA Championship win in three years as he defeated Phil Mickelson by a stroke.

In 2010, the last time the PGA was played at the Whistling Straits, German Martin Kaymer won in a playoff over Bubba Watson while Dustin Johnson wondered what could have been.

And like the British Open, the last time out at Whistling Straits, the leaderboard was peppered with non-Americans. So, don’t make a lineup without a European or Asian or South American player or two. Or maybe an Aussie.

Kiawah and Crooked Stick (2012) - Top 20 finishers (Dye Courses)
Kiawah and Crooked Stick (2012) – Top 20 finishers (Dye Courses)
Last two PGA Championships at Whistling Straits - Top 20 finishers
Last two PGA Championships at Whistling Straits – Top 20 finishers
Last 3 PGA Championships - Top 20 finishers
Last 3 PGA Championships – Top 20 finishers

Statistical Review

This week, it’s going to be simple. You need guys who drive the ball a long way (though not exclusively). You need studs. The type of player we are looking for is similar to that which we wanted to see at Chambers Bay for the U.S. Open and St. Andrews for the British Open.

If you look at the leaderboards from the past you see premium players. These are thoroughbreds and you’ll want as many on your squad as you can find.

This week, I’ll focus on:

Driving Distance – It’s a long course and length of the tee helps. It isn’t the only thing you need as shorter hitters have certainly contended.

SG: Tee to Green (SG:T2G in my notes below): A shortcut to find premium players, this stat will be important again this week.

GIR: I’ll also take a gander at GIR percentage as those who can get to the green seem to have done well in the past at Whistling Straits.

And that’s probably it – as with the British Open we won’t attempt to confuse ourselves too much with statistical analysis. It’s a major. It’s a tough course. Elite players will more than likely fill the leaderboard on Sunday.

As always, you should examine Strokes Gained: Putting and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green every week with SG: Tee to Green much more important this week.

DraftKings Expert Picks

Jordan Spieth | $12,500 – Do you want to fade him? Sure, you can come up with reasons. He hasn’t played here previously. He had his worst finish since the Byron Nelson last week (sure it as a T10). I mean, what else can you find? His last five tournaments have ended with a T3, WIN, WIN, T4 and T10. With the soft pricing this week, you can put together a good lineup with Spieth leading the way.

Rory McIlroy | $11,700 – The call on Rory comes down do you believe he’s healthy. If you believe he’s healthy, play him everywhere. He’s won two of the last three PGAs including the 2012 event at Kiawah. He followed that up with another win at the BMW four weeks later at another Pete Dye Course. He was T3 at Whistling Straits in 2010. He won at the Wells Fargo and then missed back to back cuts before a T9 at the U.S. Open. If you don’t think he’s healthy, then there isn’t a reason to roster him.

Dustin Johnson | $11,200 – Everyone knows that DJ was in line to head to a playoff the last time the PGA was at Whistling Straits, and then he suffered a penalty when it was determined he grounded his club in a “bunker.” The bunker is now gone, but DJ is still here. He ended up T5 at the 2010 PGA, was also T8 at the 2013 event, and had a T6 in the 2012 BMW Championship. His last two results have been some of the worst of the year with a T49 at the British where he went out well, and then failed on the weekend, and a T53 at the Bridgestone. He’s the longest driver on tour, but is only 120th in GIR. I think I will be underweight a bit on DJ this week based on his current form and his poorer results at the Zurich and THE PLAYERS.

Jason Day | $10,800 – Day is a favorite of mine and it seems that he’s back to full health after a scare at the U.S. Open. Since missing the cut at the Memorial, he’s gone T9, T4, WIN and T12 last week at the Bridgestone. Sure, he missed the cut at THE PLAYERS this year but was T4 at Zurich. His profile fits (third in driving distance, 26th in SG:T2G, and 32nd in GIR). He’s been in the top 15 in two of the last three PGA tournaments and has had some success at the PGA in the past including a T10 at Whistling Straits in 2010.

Adam Scott | $10,200 Scott put up his worst stroke play event finish last week with a T45 which may scare a few players off of him. Which is good news for you. Scott was T4 at the U.S. Open and T10 at the British this year. He’s the best profile this week as he’s fourth in driving distance, 11th in SG:T2G and eighth in GIR. He’s finished in the top 20 in the last four PGA Championships (including a T11 at Kiawah). He was T9 in 2004 at Whistling Straits and T39 in 2010.

Justin Rose | $10,000 – I’m going to be overweight Rose this week – I think he has his game firing on all cylinders as he has three straight top six finishes including a T6 at the British Open. He also posted a T27 at the U.S. Open this year. His profile fits well with his 14th spot in driving distance, seventh in SG:T2G and 13th in GIR. He has missed the cut both times the tourney was at Whistling Straits, but I think his current form trumps that course history issues. He was T3 at Kiawah in 2012 so he can play Dye courses.

Bubba Watson | $9,900 – Watson missed the cut at the British Open, and then went with back to back solo seconds at the RBC Canadian Open and Bridgestone. He crushes Dye courses – he’s won twice at the Travelers with five top 10s total. He’s also won at the Zurich Classic with three straight top 20s. He was solo second at Whistling Straits in 2010. He was also T11 at Kiawah and T12 at the BMW at Crooked Stick. He’s a Dye guy and should be in contention this week. His profile fits as well as he’s second in driving distance, first in SG:T2G and 39th in GIR.

Rickie Fowler | $9,800 – It’s a major so we have to eye Fowler. His profile isn’t the best with a 40th in driving distance, 37th in SG:T2G and a distant 125th in GIR. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, but won at the Scottish Open, went T30 at the British Open and then put up a solo second and T10 the following two times out. He was T3 last year at the PGA, but missed the cut in 2012 and finished a distance T58 in 2010. So, he’s not shown too well on Dye courses, but has some solid form coming in so if you want to roster him you like his current run and his “laser-focus” on majors.

Henrik Stenson | $9,700 – Stenson is quickly becoming the Swedish Sergio Garcia. He looks like he should contend in every single tournament, especially in majors. But, he’s not shown it as he was T40 at the British and T27 at the U.S. Those are fine finishes, but not for the prices he’s been at. And he’s certainly not discounted this week. He’s got back to back third place finishes at the PGA, but he missed the cut in 2010 at Whistling Straits. His profile fits (37th in driving distance, fifth in SG:T2G, and first in GIR). All of that is nice, but I’m going underweight this week.

Phil Mickelson | $9,600 – Mickelson has two top 15 finishes at Whistling Straits in the two PGAs held here. He was also T2 at the BMW at Crooked Stick in 2012. He’s won three times at other Pete Dye courses. The problem is that most of this success is a long time ago. He was T64 at the U.S. Open and T20 at the British. His poor showing at the Bridgestone (T63) gives me pause and I’m going to look elsewhere for some old man value. Lefty will stay on the shelf this week.

Sergio Garcia | $9,300 – Ok. Fine. You were right. He can’t win the big one. He won’t win this one and there isn’t a reason to roster him this week. I’ll fade him (probably completely) in my lineups this week. He has performed well in the majors this year never finishing outside of the top 20 and putting up a T6 at the British. His profile fits with a 23rd ranking in driving distance, sixth in SG:T2G and a 40th ranking in GIR. He’s in off a T37 at the Bridgestone, his worst finish of the season since a T46 in Qatar in January. He missed the cut both times Whistling Straits hosted the event as well as the Kiawah event in 2012. He has only two top 10 finishes in his last eight PGA Championships.

Louis Oosthuizen | $9,100 – Is Oosty the Rickie Fowler of 2015? He was T19 at the Masters, and then T2 at the U.S. Open as well as the British Open. He’s on quite the run at majors this year. He missed the cut at Whistling Straits in 2010 and has made only three of six cuts at PGAs though he’s had a bit of success in his last two trips including a T21 at Kiawah. He’s 31st in driving distance, 31st in SG:T2G and 33rd in GIR so his profile fits.

Tiger Woods | $8,900 – Required Tiger mention. Don’t go there. I hope he comes back. I’d like to see the old Tiger. I don’t think we will this week.

Martin Kaymer | $8,800 – Kaymer won here in 2010 so he has to be considered. He also won at THE PLAYERS in 2013 so he can make his way around Dye courses. He missed three cuts in a row and then picked up a solo fourth at the France Open, T12 at the British and a T45 last week at the Bridgestone. So, his form is solid and has good course history. He’s 70th in European Tour driving distance, but 11th in GIR so he could do some damage again this week.

Zach Johnson | $8,400 – ZJ doesn’t fit the profile of a successful player this week and that’s one of the reasons I’m not focusing too much on the stats as Johnson has had a ton of success at Dye courses in the past including 10 of 11 cuts made at THE PLAYERS and eight of ten at the Travelers. He’s in fantastic form with a win at the British that was preceded by a solo sixth at the Travelers and T3 at the John Deere. His T33 last week at the Bridgestone wasn’t his best work, but he was T3 at Whistling Straits the last time so he’s shown he can get it done on this course.

Matt Kuchar | $8,300 – Kuch was T10 at Whistling Straits in 2010 and so he finds his way to the list. He also won in 2012 at THE PLAYERS. He comes in off a T25 at the Bridgestone, but also had some solid showings on links courses this year including a T12 at the U.S. Open and a T2 at the Scottish Open though he struggled at the British to a T58.

Jimmy Walker | $8,200 – The Texan drives the ball well (16th overall in driving distance) and is 49th in SG:T2G while a more pedestrian 72nd in GIR. He missed the cut in his first trip to the PGA (in 2010 at Whistling Straits) though he was T21 at Kiawah and had a T7 last year. I’ll probably be a bit underweight on him as his last few results haven’t been outstanding and he’s not shown well in the majors this year (best finish T30 at the British). He’s got the game to do alright here, but I like the value around him a bit better.

Jim Furyk | $8,100 – The American Sergio Garcia? Perhaps. He won at the RBC Heritage and put up a T42 at the U.S. Open and T30 at the British Open. He’s put up back to back top five finishes at the RBC Canadian Open and the Bridgestone though he choked victory away last week with a Sunday 72. He missed the cut at Whistling Straits in 2004, but was T24 in 2010. He also picked up a T42 in 2012 at Kiawah. He’s short off the tee, but third in SG:T2G and 30th in GIR. He’s also had some success at Dye courses over the years so he could be a sneaky play especially for those who dismiss him because he can’t win.

Hideki Matsuyama | $8,000 – Matsuyama is a premium player who is priced below the average golfer this week. He hasn’t missed a cut since early February at the Farmers. He put up a T18 at the U.S. Open and a matching T18 at the British Open to follow up his solo fifth at the Masters. He’s in off his worst finish (T37) since his missed cut so there may not be as many players on him as one might assume. He’s 52nd in driving distance, fourth in SG:T2G and 18th in GIR so his profile fits. Vegas has him seven spots higher in odds than his salary says he should be. He hasn’t teed it up at Whistling Straits previously.

Brandt Snedeker | $7,900 – Sneds was T33 at the Bridgestone last week. He missed the cut at the British, but was solo eighth at the U.S. Open. He was T39 at Whistling Straits in 2010, but missed the cut in 2012 at Kiawah. He’s had success at some of the Dye courses like TPC at River Highlands and a win at the RBC. Those are shorter Dye courses, but the tricks are just the same.

Brooks Koepka | $7,800 – Koepka profiles well here as his sixth in driving distance, 34th in SG:T2G and 19th in GIR. He’s also on quite a run with six straight top 25 finishes including a T18 at the U.S. Open and a T10 at the British. He finished up last week T6 at the Bridgestone and makes his debut here with a chance for another top 10.

Charl Schwartzel | $7,700 – Schwartzel posted a T18 at Whistling Straits in 2010 and a T59 at Kiawah in 2012. He put up a T15 last year the PGA. He’s had some limited success at other Dye courses (makes cuts, doesn’t threaten the leaderboard). He’s 28th in driving distance, but only 87th in SG:T2G and 172th in GIR. He finished seventh at the U.S. Open this year, but struggled at the British to a T68. I think he ends up somewhere in between those two results at the PGA.

Marc Leishman | $7,600 – Leishman sits nine spots higher in salary than his odds to win imply. He’s made the cut in all four trips here, but his worst finish was in 2010 at Whistling Straits where he ended up T48. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, but bounced back for a T2 at the British. He’s 49th in driving distance, 66th in SG:T2G and a poor 105th in GIR. So, he’s got a few things working against him and I’d stay away at this price.

Patrick Reed | $7,600 – Reed has three straight top 20 finishes on Tour including a T20 at the British Open and a T15 at the Bridgestone last week. He was also T14 at the U.S. Open this year. He’s not done terribly well at Dye courses over the years and his debut at the PGA Championship last year ended in a T58. He’s a high volatility option this week who could finish in the top 15 or bomb out on Friday.

Hunter Mahan | $7,500 – Mahan used to own Dye courses. Through the 2012 season, he had the lowest stroke average on Tour on Dye courses with a minimum of 50 rounds played. He won at TPC River Highlands in 2007. He was T39 at Whistling Straits in 2010. However, those days seemed to have passed him by. He hasn’t had much success since and he comes in to the tournament in less than stellar form as he missed the cut at the U.S. Open and was T49 at the British. He finished solo 72nd at the Bridgestone last week. He’s 59th in driving distance and he was T7 last year at the PGA so perhaps he regains a bit of that Dye-magic and builds on last year’s success at a PGA venue.

Shane Lowry | $7,500 – I don’t know what to do with Lowry this week. I’ve always liked him and his game is built for links courses like this one. However, I worry about the hangover from his miraculous victory at the Bridgestone. Make no mistake; he’s a superior player with the game to contend here. If you think he’s going to have to shake some cobwebs out, then avoid him. If not, play him everywhere as he’s got the game to work at Whistling Straits.

Luke Donald | $7,400 – Donald was T24 at Whistling Straits in 2004, missed cut in 2010 and T32 at Kiawah in 2012. He was on a solid run before laying an egg at the RBC Canadian Open. However, he burns Dye courses and should be a good option to bounce back this week – a great under the radar option.

Paul Casey | $7,400 – Casey was T12 at the PGA when Whistling Straits last hosted in 2010. He missed the cut at Kiawah in 2012, but he was struggling overall back then. He was T39 at the U.S. Open this year and T74 at the British so he hasn’t shown up at the majors this year. But, his T17 at the Bridgestone gives me some hope as his profile is good for this course (37th in driving distance, 10th in SG:T2G and fifth in GIR).

Billy Horschel | $7,400 – Horschel’s profile fits with a 46th in driving distance, 71st in SG:T2G and 10th in GIR. He’s only played the PGA twice and his only cut made was last year where he ended up T58. He’s shown a bit of ability on Dye courses including a win in 2013 at the Zurich. I don’t think a lot of folks will be on Billy Ho, but he could offer some value in GPPs.

Keegan Bradley | $7,400 – Bradley finished T17 at the Bridgestone last week as he bounced back from missing the cut at the British. He put up a T27 at the U.S. Open earlier this year so he’s shown he can play on links style courses. He has mixed results at other Dye courses, but has shown the ability to go low. He won the PGA in 2011 and finished T3 in 2012 at Kiawah (another Dye course). He also profiles well as he’s 11th in driving distance, 12th in SG:T2G, and 66th in GIR. He could be a sneaky pivot down here.

Steve Stricker | $7,300 – Stricker is another player who has had prior success at Dye courses especially at some of the bigger tournaments. He was T18 here in 2010 and was T7 in 2012 at Kiawah. In fact, he’s been in the top 20 at the PGA the last three years. He’s also 10 for in cuts made the Zurich with no finish worse than T26 (though he missed the cut this year). I doubt many players will be on him this week, but he could post a top 20 as he returns to his Wisconsin roots.

Lee Westwood | $7,300 – Westwood’s form looks to be improving and almost no one will be on him this week so if you believe he can build on his T17 at the Bridgestone. He finished T2 at the BMW at Crooked Stick in 2012. He missed the cut in 2004 at Whistling Straits and didn’t play in 2010. He also missed the cut in 2012 at Kiawah. I’m not going to be on him, but he profiles well so you can see a way he can succeed.

Bill Haas | $7,300 – Haas missed the cut in 2010 at Whistling Straits, but did finish T32 at Kiawah in 2012. He’s not the longest driver (88th), but does sit 25th in SG:T2G and 36th in GIR so his profile could work.

Jason Dufner | $7,300 – Duf-man! He’s done quite well at Dye courses over the years as he was T5 at Whistling Straits in 2010. He also won the PGA in 2013 so he can succeed at the PGA-style venues. He’s not a long hitter (140th off the tee), but is 18th in SG:T2G and 49th in GIR this year. He was T18 at the U.S. Open, but faltered a bit at the British to a T58 this year, but knows his way around these setups.

Nick Watney | $7,300 – Watney isn’t exactly playing well with his best finish in his last six a T34 at the RBC Canadian Open. However, he’s shown some flashes on Dye courses (won at TPC Louisiana in 2007) and he was primed for a top five finish in 2010 at Whistling Straits before completely losing it on Sunday with an 81.

Kevin Kisner | $7,300 – Kisner has finally cooled off over the last few tourneys. He bounced back from a missed cut at the British to go T37 at the Bridgestone. His T12 at Chambers Bay gives me some hope for him this week, but it’s a tepid endorsement at best.

Branden Grace | $7,300 – Oh, man do I like Grace this week. The South African drives the ball a ton (24th on the European Tour, 22nd on the PGA Tour).He’s not the most accurate driver of the ball and that could hurt him though he is an excellent scrambler overall (22nd on the PGA Tour). He has made five of his last six cuts and been in the top 20 in all five of his weekends including a T4 at the U.S. Open, T20 at the British and T17 last week at the Bridgestone.

David Lingmerth | $7,300 – Lingmerth’s game is firing on all cylinders. He won at the Memorial and since then he’s picked up three more top six finishes in his next five tourneys including a T6 at the Bridgestone last week. He’s only played the PGA once and missed the cut in 2013. He hasn’t seen any success on the few trips to Dye courses, but his form is top notch.

Charley Hoffman | $7,200 – Texan, so he can play if it gets windy. Put up a T31 at Bridgestone last week. Missed cuts at both the British and U.S. Opens. Has a good profile as he’s 30th in driving distance, 45th in SG:T2G and 74th in GIR. Is only one of six in cuts made at the PGA.

Ian Poulter | $7,200 – His T17 at the Bridgestone last week gives me some hope he could contend this week. He has a solid record of making cuts at Dye courses, but rarely challenges for the lead. I’m going underweight on Poulter as I’m concerned about his form and his missed cut at Chambers Bay this year.

Jamie Donaldson | $7,200 – I’ve always like Donaldson and he was T7 at Kiawah in 2012 so he can play Dye courses. He’s made four cuts in a row, but hasn’t shown much at majors this year.

Graeme McDowell | $7,200 – Terrible form and missed the cut both times out at Whistling Straits. No thanks.

James Morrison | $7,200 – Morrison is 72 spots higher in salary than the oddsmakers think he should be. I’m not sure we’ve seen a disparity all year long. He makes his debut at the PGA this year, but he did pick up a T20 at the British this year. However, I can’t recommend a player who the oddsmakers see with little chance to win as he makes his first trip to the States this week.

Gary Woodland | $7,200 – A bomber who was T42 at the PGA at Kiawah in 2012. He’s got a pretty similar profile to our friend J.B. Holmes (below) with less success on courses like this. I’d go with Holmes if I want an inaccurate bomber this week.

Danny Willett | $7,200 – Willett missed the cut in 2010 at Whistling Straits, but he’d only been on the European Tour for two years as he made that start as a 22 year old. Since then, he’s won three times on the European Tour (including this year at the Omega Masters just a few weeks ago). He put up a T17 at the Bridgestone last week and bounced back from a missed cut at the U.S. Open to finish T6 at the British. He has the skill set to win here and if it gets windy, this Englishman has seen it before and can handle it.

Justin Thomas | $7,200 – I’d like to recommend Thomas more highly, but I’m tapping the brakes a bit. In his first look at Dye courses this year, he put up three top 25 finishes and a missed cut. He’s off back to back top five finishes in his last two tournaments. He drives the ball extremely well (19th) and also has a nice standing in SG:T2G (23rd) and GIR (44th). Heck, I’ll recommend him this week for a solid shot at a top 20 finish.

Byeong-Hun An | $7,200 – Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. We won’t be fooled again. Pass.

Ryan Palmer | $7,100 – Palmer profiles well (12th in driving distance, 32nd in SG:T2G, and 84th in GIR). He was T33 at Whistling Straits in 2010. However, his form is mediocre and laid an egg last week at the Bridgestone. He finished T30 at the British and T52 at the U.S. Open so I’ll be underweight for Mr. Palmer.

Kevin Na | $7,100 – Na was T58 in 2010 at Whistling Straits, but he’s a far different player (at least this year) than he was in 2010. He finished T15 at the Bridgestone last week, T46 at the U.S. Open and T58 at the British. He generally makes cuts at Dye tracks, but hasn’t won on any of them. His 22 nd in SG:T2G, but struggles off the tee and getting to the green.

Rafael Cabrera-Bello | $7,100 – Oddly, even though he’s cheaper than he was at the British, he’s too expensive for me this week. There are just too many other safer players in this neighborhood.

J.B. Holmes | $7,100 – Like Woodland, Holmes is a bomber who looks to be out of form. Holmes does have a T24 at Whistling Straits, but I’m concerned about his current form. He’s had some reasonable success at Dye-designed courses so I wouldn’t argue with you if you want to slot Holmes onto your roster.

Danny Lee | $7,100 – If current form is the key, then Lee has it as he makes his debut at the PGA. He’s had four top six finishes in his last five tournaments including a win at the Greenbrier and a T6 last week at the Bridgestone. He’s missed the cut at both the U.S. and British Opens this year, but his form is difficult to pass up.

Kevin Streelman | $7,000 – Streelman is a whopping 53 spots higher in salary than his odds to win say he should be. He’s as cold as ice on tour currently as he’s missed three of the last five cuts and his two cuts made in that time ended with 71st and 77th place finishes. He had a T12 in 2013 at the PGA, but has little else on his resume that makes you want to go out and play him this week.

Andy Sullivan | $7,000 – Young. English. Doesn’t play links courses well even with those things going for him so ignore the debutant.

Daniel Berger | $6,900 – Berger’s profile checks out, but his form is atrocious. I just can’t trust him this week even though he’s had some success on other Dye layouts.

Robert Streb | $6,800 – Streb stumbled a bit in the spring, but he’s righted the ship and looks primed for another run at a top 20. He put up a respectable T42 at the U.S. Open and followed that up with a T2, T14, T18 (British Open) and a solo fifth last week at the Bridgestone. His profile is good as well as he is 39th in driving distance, 29th in SG:T2G and 11th in GIR. Plus he can score everywhere and looks primed for a great debut.

Graham DeLaet | $6,800 – He withdrew (surprise!) so get him out of your lineups if he’s in.

Ernie Els | $6,800 – Old man value alert as Els has played Whistling Straits twice and put up a T4 and T18. He’s out of form, but it seems the course agrees with Easy Ernie.

Tony Finau | $6,800 – So, he’s a rookie. So, he probably won’t win (this year). But, he drives the ball a ton (eighth on tour), 33rd in SG:T2G and 48th in GIR. He was also T14 at the U.S. Open. He last played at the Quicken Loans and finished T39, his worst finish since a T68 at the Valero in March. Perhaps I’m a year too early on Finau, but he has the skills and has shown the mettle at the U.S. Open to contend again this week.

Russell Henley | $6,800 – Henley’s profile is good as he’s 40th in driving distance, 95th in SG:T2G and 78th in GIR. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, but was T20 at the British and followed that up with a T17 at the Bridgestone for his third straight top 20 finish on Tour. He’s missed the cut the last two years at the PGA in his only trips here, but he’s shown some skills on other Dye courses.

Steven Bowditch | $6,800 – The eyebrow (with apologies to Anthony Davis) made his PGA debut last year and missed the cut. However, since his win at the Byron Nelson in late May, he seems like a new man with four top 25 finishes, a respectable T30 at the British Open and a T12 last week at the Bridgestone. He’s a long hitter (17th in driving distance) though misses the green regularly (157th in GIR) so he’ll have to overpower the course if he wants to win.

Padraig Harrington | $6,800 – Harrington injured his knee playing tennis with his kids and even if he does tee it up, I have no interest in him and neither should you.

Charles Howell III | $6,800 – Howell III’s statistical profile fits the course well with a 19th spot in driving distance, 39th SG:T2G and 26th in GIR. He’s never had a ton of success at the PGA with only one top 10 in 14 trips. He was T48 in 2010 and T31 in 2004 at the PGA at Whistling Straits. He’s made three straight cuts in a row with a T11 in his last trip out at the Quicken Loans.

Bernd Wiesberger | $6,700 – Wiesberger missed the cut the first two times he played the PGA (including 2012 at Kiawah), but put up a nice T15 last year. He’s 39th in driving distance and 17th in GIR on the European Tour so his stats line up nicely. He’s cooled since his win at the Open de France, but did put up a T25 last week at the Bridgestone.

Tommy Fleetwood | $6,700 – Everybody (including myself) loved Tommy Fleetwood at the British Open. He was a mortal lock to make the cut. Of course, he didn’t and we all are off the wagon. I say, stop and hop back on. He’s still the same fantastic links player he was prior to the Open Championship. That hasn’t changed. He is 36th in driving distance on the European Tour and 10th in GIR. He’s missed back to back cuts, but has been at Whistling Straits practicing and he was T27 at Chambers Bay. He has the skills to succeed here and I think a lot of folks will be scared off from him because of the British.

Jason Bohn | $6,700 – Bohn is not a long driver (182nd on Tour), but he’s still 41st in SG:T2G and 22nd in GIR. He missed three of four cuts at Dye courses this year, so that gives me pause, though he does have a win at the Zurich in 2010. He’s playing well with three straight top 15 finishes on Tour. He’s played the PGA four times, made two cuts (though missed at Whistling Straits in 2010) and has no finish better than T34. You’re hoping the hot streak continues for Bohn and his accuracy prevails.

The United Kingdom – David Howell ($6,500), Marc Warren ($6,500), Ross Fisher ($6,500), Eddie Pepperell ($6,400), Stephen Gallacher ($6,400), Richie Ramsay ($6,000), Tyrell Hatton ($6,000) – All of these guys have the skills (and some have a track record of success) to make some noise. One of them will likely do so – I’m just not sure which one. If I were to rank them I’d probably go Warren, Howell, Fisher, Pepperell, Hatton, Ramsay, and Gallacher with Warren the clear leader.

Brendan Steele | $6,500 – Steele popped onto my radar due to his statistical profile (15th in driving distance, 16th in SG:T2G and 24th in GIR. He’s had three top 25 finishes in his last five tournaments. He hasn’t had any real success at majors and has only performed well at the Travelers (in the regular rotation of Dye courses), but the profile fits for this week and his ownership levels will be in the low single digits.

Joost Luiten | $6,500 – Finished T21 at Kiawah in 2012. Solid profile with 70th spot in driving distance, 24th in SG:T2G and 17th in GIR on the PGA. His stats are actually worse on the European Tour so take that for what it’s worth. T4 at the Scottish Open was followed up with a missed cut at the British. He burned everyone at the British so he will be lightly owned.

Ben Martin | $6,300 – Martin is short off the tee (114th in driving distance), but is 48th in SG:T2G and 25th in GIR. His swing coach qualified (see below), so he’s got that going for him…which is nice. His recent form concerns me a bit, but he was T4 at THE PLAYERS this year and T3 at the Heritage two years ago so he can do well on Dye courses.

Cameron Smith | $6,100 – If I’m a year early on Finau, I might be a half a decade early on Smith. I’m smitten with Smith and his all-around game, poise and maturity that he’s shown in his brief forays on Tour. He’s made five of his last six cuts in the U.S. and put up a T4 at the U.S Open. Oddly, he’s played three other Dye courses this year (Heritage, Zurich and Travelers) so it’s almost like he was prepping for Whistling Straits. I like him more than you do and I’ll be overweight on him, but I’d suggest you add him to a roster or two especially those stars and scrubs setups.

Camillo Villegas | $6,000 – Villegas is another player that I think few gamers will be on this week, but he has some things going his way. He was T25 last week at the Bridgestone. He was T8 in 2010 at Whistling Straits (and had a T4 in 2008 at the PGA as well). He has a mixed record at Dye courses, but has had some success.

David Toms | $5,900 – Toms has always played the PGA well as he has made 13 of 17 cuts and has four top 10 finishes including a T7 in2013. He was T33 at Whistling Straits in 2010 and T17 in 2004. He’s had success at the Travelers and the PLAYERS which are also played at Dye courses. He was top 20 in both of those tourneys this year. He’s in off his best finish of the season (solo fifth) at the Barracuda so you could do worse (much worse) down here in the depths.

Soren Kjeldsen | $5,700 – Kjeldsen has been on the radar for a few different tourneys this year, but he hasn’t made the list until now. He won the Irish Open at the end of May and put up a solo second the next week at the Nordea Masters. He missed the cut at the British which may give folks some pause this week, but he got back on the horse with aT12 at Bridgestone. He’s played the PGA three times in the past and missed the cut twice (including at Whistling Straits in 2010), but did put up a T6 in 2009.

Charles Frost | $5,400 – Frost is the swing coach for Ben Martin and Russell Henley. He also is the PGA professional at the River Course at the Kiawah Island Course, just a stone’s throw from the Ocean Course (which is at a different club from where Frost is the pro) where the 2012 PGA was held. I’m going to make a leap and assume he’s played the Ocean course and won’t be afraid of the Dye tricks. No PGA Tour professional has made the cut since 2011, but perhaps Frost has a shot this year.

DraftKings Scoring

Roster size: 6 Golfers

POINT SCORING

Golfers on each team will accumulate points as follows:

  • Per Hole Scoring
    • Double Eagle (DBL EAG): +20 PTs
    • Eagle (EAG): +8 PTs
    • Birdie (BIR): +3 PTs
    • Par (PAR): +0.5 PTs
    • Bogey (BOG): -0.5 PTs
    • Double Bogey (DBL BOG): -1 PT
    • Worse than Double Bogey (WORSE DBL BOG): -1 PT
  • Tournament Finish Scoring
    • 1st: 30 PTs
    • 2nd: 20 PTs
    • 3rd: 18 PTs
    • 4th: 16 PTs
    • 5th: 14 PTs
    • 6th: 12 PTs
    • 7th: 10 PTs
    • 8th: 9 PTs
    • 9th: 8 PTs
    • 10th: 7 PTs
    • 11th–15th: 6 PTs
    • 16th–20th: 5 PTs
    • 21st–25th: 4 PTs
    • 26th–30th: 3 PTs
    • 31st–40th: 2 PTs
    • 41st-50th: 1 PTs
  • Streaks and Bonuses
    • Streak of 3 Birdies of Better (MAX 1 Per Round) (3+ BIR STRK): +3 PTs
    • Bogey Free Round (BOG FREE RD): +3 PTs
    • All 4 Rounds Under 70 Strokes (ALL 4 RDS UND 70): +5 PTs
    • Hole in One (HOLE IN ONE): +10 PTs

Scoring Notes: Ties for a finishing position will not reduce or average down points. For example, if 2 golfers tie for 3rd place, each will receive the 18 fantasy points for the 3rd place finish result. Playoff Holes will not count towards final scoring, with the exception of the “finishing position” scoring. For example, the golfer who wins the tournament will receive the sole award of 1st place points, but will not accrue points for their scoring result in the individual playoff holes.

Player Lock Notes: All golfers lock at the time the first golfer tees off on day 1 of an event.

Full rules are located here for DraftKings golf.

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