2015 Fantasy GolfChris Garosi

Daily Fantasy Golf Strategy: The Open Championship

It’s time for the Open Championship (the British Open on this side of the pond) and it’s time for DraftKings to give away another million dollars. We are heading to the Old Course at St. Andrews in Scotland for the 144th Open Championship. I’m back again to provide daily fantasy golf picks for DraftKings’ PGA game. For companies with an ongoing fantasy golf tournament in the workplace, it’s quite likely that a corporate golf day will go down a storm amongst the employees there; perhaps DTB’s corporate events are worth looking into.

One important note this week, lineup lock is at 1:32am ET on July 16th so you can’t wake up early and put some lineups together.

It’s a great week to check out DraftKings as they have some top notch contests. Come on over and take a look.

Tour Stop

The Open Championship returns for the 29th time to St Andrews, Scotland to tee it up at the Old Course at St. Andrews. The Old Course plays at 7,297 yards (that’s 6,672 meters should you need that data) The Old Course last hosted the Open Championship in 2010 and has hosted every five years since 1990.

So, there isn’t a lot of course history to go on as is generally the case for the Open Championship. But, it’s a major. It’s a tough track where hazards are punitive. I want the best of best and I want players who stay out of trouble because once you are in a trap, no amount of scrambling skill will get you out unscathed.

The weather looks like Scotland in the summer. It’s cool. It’s a bit rainy and there is a chance of some wind (especially Friday). The weather may end up one of the biggest influences this week so it will be important to keep an eye on it Wednesday night.

Scorecard breakdown: Two (2) par threes, eleven (14) par fours and two (2) par fives. Back in 2010 when the Open was held here last, Louis Oosthuizen played the par 4s in 13 under for the week. Amazing! The next best score on par 4s that week as 8 under.

Field

It’s a major, everyone who is anyone is on the list (well, except for Rory McIlroy who injured himself during his downtime and will be out for weeks.

The full field can be found here.

Thanks to GolfOdds.com for the odds this week. If you’d like to see a second set of odds, check out the Betting Zone’s odds here – just click on this week’s tournament on the left hand pane.

Past Tournament Results

We will provide a few different looks at past tournament results. Past British Open results are important, but the tournament rotates courses so they aren’t as useful as normal. The style of course (links) remains so you can still gather information from past results.

So, we’ll provide a look at the results from the 2010 Open that was also played on the Old Course as well as recent British Open results.

We will also look at the results from the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship which is held in October each year and challenges the players to three links courses – Carnoustie, Kingsbarns and yes, the Old Course at St. Andrews. So, while results there are a perfect fit for the Old Course, some part of those scores are on this course and you have to succeed on the links.

Finally, we’ll look for those players who succeed at other links tournaments such as the Scottish Open and Irish Open. We might even sneak a peek at the results from the U.S. Open this year at Chambers Bay.

2014 Winner: Rory McIlroy cruised (led outright after each round) to a two-stroke victory over Sergio Garcia. Garcia closed fast with a final round 66, but it wasn’t enough.

In 2010, the last time the Open was played at the Old Course, South African Louis Oosthuizen won by seven strokes as he took advantage of the par 4s all week. This was also the tournament where Rory McIlroy shot an opening round 63 followed by a “wind-aided” 80 on Friday.

Also, to stress how important non-American players are going to be, in 2010 the top 10 had only two Americans while the top 20 did include seven Americans. In 2005, there were two Americans in the top 10 and only five in the top 20. Interestingly, Sean O’Hair was the only American in the top 20 in the last two trips to the Old Course. He is, unfortunately, not in the field this week.

Top 20 - Last Three British Opens
Top 20 – Last Three British Opens
Last Two British Opens at the Old Course
Last Two British Opens at the Old Course
Top 20 - Last 3 Dunhill Links Championships
Top 20 – Last 3 Dunhill Links Championships

Statistical Review

This week, it’s going to be simple. You need guys who drive the ball a long way. You need studs . The type of player we are looking for is similar to that which we wanted to see at Chambers Bay for the U.S. Open

If you look at the leaderboards from the past you see premium players. These are thoroughbreds and you’ll want as many on your squad as you can find.

This week, I’ll focus on:

Driving Distance – The winner’s on these courses are generally those who can drive the ball long off the tee. There aren’t any trees to hit into and you can avoid some of the bunker complexes if you can bomb it.

SG: Tee to Green (SG:T2G in my notes below): Again this week, we will look at SG:T2G because it’s the easiest way to find premium players.

Putting – Putting (especially lag putting) will be important this week as many of these greens are huge because they serve as the greens for two holes simultaneously. So, as always, we’ll look at Strokes Gained Putting (SG:P) and also take a look at three putt avoidance as a proxy for good lag putting.

And that’s probably it – there isn’t a reason to confuse yourself this week. Premium players who drive the ball well will find the leaderboard. Oh, and Europeans…we’ll need to do some work on European stars as well. The names won’t likely be familiar but their games are just as good.

As with Chambers Bay, I’d also love to be able to analyze mental toughness and creativity. The players are going to get in trouble so they are going to have to have the “closer mentality” to be able to forget problems and the improvisational skills to take what the course (and the weather) gives them.

As always, you should examine Strokes Gained: Putting and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green every week with SG: Tee to Green much more important this week.

DraftKings Expert Picks

Make sure to read to the bottom as I’ve put the golfers that DraftKings added to the pool on Monday at the bottom all in one spot so you can easily identify them.

Rory McIlroy | $12,700 – He’s out due to injury.

Jordan Spieth | $12,000 – About the only things you can say badly about Spieth is that he’s never played this course and spent the week prior to the British Open playing the John Deere Classic instead of practicing at the Old Course or preparing at the Scottish Open. That’s all I’ve got. He’s made the cut in his two trips to the British Open, but his best finish is T36. He’s certainly the best player in golf right now as he showed at the John Deere as he ran down everyone over the last three days of the tourney and picked off tour veteran Tom Gillis in a playoff. Fade him at your own risk – he’ll likely be heavily owned in the Milly Maker so I can see staying away from him there.

Dustin Johnson | $11,400 – If the weather holds off, Johnson has a shot at running away with the tournament. He’s first in driving distance on the PGA Tour, might in SG:T2G and a reasonable 91st in 3-putt avoidance. The issue is will the weather hold off? It doesn’t look like it as the wind certainly doesn’t look like it’s going away. He was T14 when the British was last at the Old Course and has made five of six cuts (with two top 10s) at the British overall with his only miss in his debut in 2009.He did pick up a T2 at the U.S. Open his last time out though it was one of the more painful second place finishes in golf.

Justin Rose | $10,900 – Rose is eight of 13 in cuts made at the Open, but has only one top 10 in those 13 trials. In fact, he’s missed the cut in three out of the last five years. He missed the cut in his only venture to the Old Course for the Open in 2010. He’s been a bit better at the Dunhill, but hasn’t teed it up there since 2008.

Adam Scott | $10,700 – Scott is third in driving distance and sixth in SG: T2G which lines him up nicely. However, he is one of the worst putters on any tour as he struggles with the move away from an anchored putter. But, he’s had success at the Open in the past with 11 cuts made in 15 trips including top five finishes each of the last three years. He was T27 in 2010 and T34 in 2005 in the last two times the Open has been played at the old course (he missed the cut in his debut in 2000 also at the Old Course). He proved me wrong in his last outing at the U.S. Open with a T4 (tied for his best finish of the year). He’s certainly worth consideration this week.

Henrik Stenson | $10,200 – Mmmmm….Stenson. Stenson is 62nd in driving distance and seventh in SG:T2G and 15th in SG:P. He does struggle with 3-putt avoidance so these bigger greens could be an issue. Stenson is eight of ten in cuts made at the Open with three top ten finishes. He was T39 last year, but did have a T3 in 2010 at the Old Course with a T34 in 2005 at the Open on the Old Course. He’s taken the last few weeks off, but he was solo second his last time out and also picked up a T27 at the U.S. Open.

Louis Oosthuizen | $9,900 – I think there will be a lot of folks on Oosty because (a) he won here in 2010 and (b) he was T2 at the U.S. Open this year on a links-style course. I’ll probably fade him a bit (though not completely) as I think he’ll be over-owned. He’s 44th in driving distance and 27th in SG:T2G, but he’s struggled with his putting. However, he seems to be the South African Rickie Fowler and just gets up for the big events. He’s always an injury just waiting to happen. Again, I’m not completely off of him, but I plan to be lighter on him than the field.

Jason Day | $9,800 – I’m happy for Day that they have determined the cause of his vertigo and they have found some medication that works. But, I’m likely not going to be on the Day train as the vertigo still concerns me as does his work at the Open (four of four cuts made, but no finish better than T30).

Rickie Fowler | $9,700 – Fowler’s win at the Scottish Open will probably add 5% to his ownership on DraftKings. And that shouldn’t frighten you off. He profiles well here as he’s 47th in driving distance and 54th in SG: T2G. He also sits 35th 3-putt avoidance. Sure, he missed the cut at the Memorial and then flamed out at the U.S. Open, but it looks like the time off has allowed him to right the ship. He’s four for five in cuts made at the British and finished T14 in 2010 at the Old Course.

Phil Mickelson | $9,600 – Mickelson’s record at the Open is excellent with 17 cuts made in 21 appearances with three top 10 finishes. Indeed, he won just two years ago. His record at the old Course isn’t quite as good. Since 1995 he’s finished T40, T11, T60 and T48. He played last week at the Scottish Open and put up a T31 so he’s in links form. But, at this price, I’d want someone who can win and I’m not sure Phil is that guy.

Sergio Garcia | $9,500 – Sergio is actually my number one statistical profile for the week as he’s 25th in driving distance (second on the European Tour), fourth in SG:T2G, 24th in 3-putt avoidance (seventh in 3-putt avoidance greater than 25 feet). He’s been a master at Open layouts with 14 of 18 cuts made and eight top 10 finishes including a T2 last year. He was T14 in 2010, T5 in 2005 and T36 in 2000 in his three trips to the Old Course for the Open. He’s been the top 25 in four of his last five tournaments worldwide and had a T18 at the U.S. Open. The biggest problem with Sergio is that he just can’t seem to finish on Sunday. I can almost guarantee he’ll contend and I can almost guarantee he won’t win.

Bubba Watson | $9,400 – Watson’s been putting much better this year, but that may not be enough to salvage a poor Open record (three of six cuts made with the best finish a T23). He’s got the driving distance (sixth) and game (fifth in SG:T2G) to make it work, but his work on links courses (including his missed cut at this year’s U.S. Open) doesn’t impress me.

Paul Casey | $9,200 – I may own far too much Casey this week and I’m not ashamed. He’s eight of 12 in made cuts at the Open with two top 10s with one of those a T3 at the Old Course in 2010. He’s won at the Irish Open. He has four top 10s at the Dunhill. He’s English. He has so much going for him. He’s also 47th on the PGA Tour in driving distance and 11th in SG:T2G. He placed T39 at the U.S. Open this year and lost in a playoff at the Travelers a week later.

Martin Kaymer | $8,800 – Kaymer is the king of lag putting (or so they say) and that skill will come into play this week. He’s only 50th in driving distance on the European Tour, but his record at the Open is solid. He’s six of seven in cuts made with only one top 10 (oh, what’s that you say, it was at the Old Course in 2010? No way). He struggled recently missing the cuts at the Irish Open and U.S. Open (as well as the BMW International), but rebounded with a solo fourth at the French Open. He’s also performed quite well at the Dunhill with a win and two other top 10s in his seven trips there.

Tiger Woods | $8,600 – Perhaps for the first time this year, I won’t dismiss Tiger. He’s won at the Old Course the last two times it was held here. He played relatively well at the Greenbrier (he put up more rounds under 70 – three – than he had in the rest of the entire year combined – two). He’s been in Scotland practicing all week and he’s noticed some changes. I’m not saying he’s going to win, but he’s a definite option in GPPs this week.

Hideki Matsuyama | $8,500 – Matsuyama is criminally underpriced. He’s 33 rd in driving distance and second in SG: T2G. His putting stats are poor, but I think he can overcome that issue this week. He’s played the Open the last two years and has a T6 and T39. He also picked up a T18 at Chambers Bay at the U.S. Open this week. He’s missed only one cut all season long (The Farmers in early February). He hasn’t finished outside the top 25 since January at the Sony Open. Matsuyama is a premium player in my eyes and priced too low for his skills.

Patrick Reed | $8,400 – Reed is 78th in driving distance, 34th in SG: T2G and he’s really shone with his putter (18th SG: Putting and 29th in 3-putt avoidance). So he has some tools to work with. He missed the cut in his only trek to the British Open last year. But, he’s shown well at majors with a T14 this year at the U.S. Open and a T22 at the Masters. He’s 18 for 20 in cuts made this season with three top 10s including a win back in January.

Brandt Snedeker | $8,300 – Snedeker’s form is choice as he’s run off four straight top 10 finishes on Tour (including a solo eighth at the U.S. Open). His driving stats don’t match too well (113th in driving distance, 81st in SG: T2G), but his putting (fifth in SG: Putting) has been outstanding. He missed his first three cuts at the Open, but has put together three straight cuts made since including a T3 and a T11.

Brooks Koepka | $8,200 – Koepka is an American, but he’s made his way to notoriety on the European Tour. He bombs the ball (tenth in driving distance) and 41st in SG: T2G. He’s also eighth in SG: P. He’s played the Open twice with a missed cut and a T67 (last year). He’s made six cuts in a row worldwide including a T18 at the U.S. Open and T22 at the Scottish Open last week. He seems to like the links.

Branden Grace | $8,100 – Grace is a bit of a vexing player for me this week. Everything points to him being a popular player in all formats this week. So, I’d like to pivot (to Shane Lowry for example), but I can’t seem to quite Grace in the process. He’s four for four in cuts made at the Open, but has never finished higher than T36 (last year). He’s done quite well at the Dunhill with three of four cuts made including a win in 2012.He was T17 last week at the Scottish Open and picked up a T4 at the U.S. Open this year. He’s 52nd in driving distance on the PGA Tour (but 18th on the European Tour which I’ll give more credence to this week). He’s got a links profile and the game is in good form.

Shane Lowry | $8,100 – Lowry is three for three in cuts made at the British including a T9 last year and a T37 in 2010 at the old Course. He’s made five straight cuts worldwide including a T9 at the U.S. Open. He was T31 last week at the Scottish Open. He’s also had some success at the Dunhill Links tournament as he’s made five straight cuts there and top 10 finishes the last two years. He’s a links player and is in his element and doubly so if the weather turns ugly.

Lee Westwood | $8,000 –Westwood is out of form and that is enough for me not to recommend him this week. His best finish over his last seven stroke play events is a T38 at the BMW PGA Championship in England. If you believe in Westwood, you are trusting his Open pedigree with 14 of 20 cuts made and a solo second at the Old Course in 2010 (his other two results at the Open at the Old Course are missed cut in 2005 and T64 in 2000). And you trust his work at other links tourneys like the Dunhill Links where he’s 10 of 11 in cuts made with six top 10s. He’s a great contrarian play as his form is pretty poor.

Jimmy Walker | $8,000 – Walker is a Texan so he knows wind. He drives the ball well (18th in driving distance), sits 26th in SG: T2G and first in SG: Putting. He was T26 last year at the Open after missing in his debut the year before. His form is a bit off with a T58 at the U.S. Open and then a solo 82nd at the Scottish Open last week. You’re banking on his profile if you want to roster him this week.

Matt Kuchar | $7,900 – Kuchar jumps onto the radar this week with his impressive outing at the Scottish Open last week. Pair that with his T12 at the U.S. Open and his recent run of three cuts made at the British Open puts him in an excellent light. I’m not sure how many will be on him this week, but his success on links (or links-style) courses makes him a sneaky option.

Charl Schwartzel | $7,900 – Much cheaper than his buddy Louis Oosthuizen, he’s had some success at the Open. He’s five of ten in cuts made, but he’s made four of the last five with his only top 10 achieved last year. He’s seventh in driving distance on the European Tour (31st on the PGA Tour). He’s only four of ten at the Dunhill, but has two top six finishes in the last four years. He may be the third most owned South African, but could offer the most value.

Luke Donald | $7,700 – Donald is seven for 14 in cuts made at the Open with two top 10 finishes. He was T11 at the Old Course in 2010, T52 in 2005 and missed the cut in 2000. Donald is four for four at the Dunhill Links tournament with no finish worse than T23 (though his last trip there was in 2011). He’s not a long hitter, but has a solid standing in SG: T2G (66th). However, he’s played quite well lately with back to back T7s (including last week at the Scottish Open) to cap off a run of six straight cuts made. He was T58 at the U.S. Open and also picked up a T18 at the Irish Open. He’ll fly under the radar this week, but there is top 20 upside here.

Jim Furyk $7,700 – Furyk is 12 of 19 in cuts made at the Open and was solo fourth here last year. However, his record at the Old Course is decidedly worse as he finished T41 in 2000 and then missed the cut in 2005 and 2010. He’s in off a T42 at the U.S. Open, but this isn’t a course that fits his game. I’ll pass and choose some Europeans from this price range.

Graeme McDowell | $7,600 – McDowell has really struggled this year and he’s chalked it up to a struggle to balance golf with his family as he’s become a first-time father last year. But, he’s acknowledged it and feels as though his game is coming around. McDowell did move up nine spots this week on the strength of some early, solid work at the Scottish Open as he opened with back to back 66s. He’s also made 8 of 11 Open cuts and has two top 10 finishes in the last three years. He’s also got two top 5 finishes at the Dunhill Links so he can certainly stripe links courses. You’d have to believe that his form continues to turn to roster him this week.

Byeong-Hun An | $7,600 – An is 11th in driving distance on the European Tour. He was T26 last year at the Open. He won at the BMW in last May, but did miss the cut at the U.S. Open and finished T70 last week at the Scottish Open. He may not be quite ready to be on the leaderboard this year, but it’s coming soon.

Francesco Molinari | $7,500 – Molinari is 19th in SG: T2G (though a distant 173rd in driving distance). He’s also sixth in 3-putt avoidance at 25 feet or greater which is a reasonable proxy for lag putting skill. He’s made four of seven cuts at the Open and missed his only time at the Old Course in 2010. He’s made three cuts in a row at the Open and has back to back top 15 finishes. If you toss out the withdrawal at the Valero in March, he’s made 10 straight cuts worldwide. He has four top 10s in his last seven tournaments. He was only T51 at the Irish Open this week, but a solid T27 at the U.S. Open.

J.B. Holmes | $7,500 – Holmes has the length (fifth in driving distance) to overcome this course. He’s also an excellent 12th in SG: T2G so he should be able to make it to the greens without too many issues. The green is where his issues lie, but he’ll have his chances to score. He’s only made two of six cuts at the Open, but one of those cuts was a T14 at the Old Course in 2010 (hey now!). He also picked up a T27 at the U.S. Open this year so he should be primed for a big week.

Victor Dubuisson | $7,500 – Dubuisson has struggled in his forays to America, but that’s all the more reason to take him this week. He’s played the Open twice and made the cut once (last year) and ended up T9. But, if you take a look at his European Tour results (especially lately), a different picture emerges. He’s made there straight cuts on the European Tour with a T20, T12 and T10 (at last week’s Scottish Open). He’s also performed well at the Dunhill Links with a T5 and a T27 among his four trips to the tournament.

Keegan Bradley | $7,400 – Bradley has started the last three Open Championships and has been fantastic with two top 20s. He’s 14th in driving distance and SG: T2G so he’s got a good profile for this week. He was T27 at Chambers Bay this year and has made five straight cuts on the PGA Tour.

Zach Johnson $7,400 – How can a guy who just contended at the John Deere Classic up until the last hole, be overpriced at $7,400? Because he doesn’t like the course. He said “It’s my least favorite in the (Open) rotation. I feel like it’s one where you just gotta hit it left and you gotta hit it 290 in the air and it just doesn’t favor me.” Well, then. If he doesn’t like his chances, I don’t like his chances. And his results back that up – he’s played the Old Course twice with a missed the cut and T76 to show for it.

Tommy Fleetwood | $7,300 – It’s not clear why Mr. Fleetwood is languishing down here, but I’ll take it. Color me one of the happiest guys to see Fleetwood this far down the salary list. He’s has three top five finishes in his four trips to the Dunhill. He owns the lowest scoring average of any player at the Dunhill with three or more trips there. He missed the cut last year in his only British Open appearance, but since missing the cut at the Memorial he’s finished T27 at the U.S. Open, T11 at the BMW International Open and a T10 at the Scottish Open last week. He’s won once on the European Tour. In 2013. At the Johnnie Walker Championship. In Scotland.

Bernd Wiesberger | $7,300 – Weisberger’s move (up 16 places in the last week) is mostly about his win at the Open de France Alstom last week. He took last week off to prepare for the Open. He started 2015 on fire with no finish lower than T6 in his first four tournaments. He’s cooled off since then, but he’s picked up a T2 and a win in his last five tournaments around the world. He missed the cut at Chambers Bay. He’s made the cut in one of two British Opens with his best finish a T64 two years ago.

Gary Woodland | $7,300 – Woodland is a bomber (11th on tour in driving distance) who has had some success here (three for three in cuts made though no finish better than T30). I could see him cut through the wind when it comes.

Stephen Gallacher | $7,200 – Galllacher is an excellent driver of the ball (22nd overall on the European Tour). But, he’s just priced too high for my liking as he’s nine spots higher than he should be based on his odds to win. He’s almost missed the cut in four of his last five events including last week at the Scottish Open. He’s had success at the Open with four straight cuts made and had a T23 at the Old Course in 2010, but that’s not enough for me.

Ernie Els | $7,200 – Old man value number one. Els loves this course. He’s made 20 of 24 cuts at the Open including 13 top ten finishes. He’s had some success at the old course, but that is in the past (T11 in 1995, T2 in 2000, T34 in 2005 and missed cut in 2010). He won here just three years ago at the British Open. He’s also done well at the Dunhill Links with 11 of 13 cuts made and a T17 in 2013. All of that history is nice, but his current form is not the best. He missed the cut at the Travelers the last time out and was T54 at the U.S. Open. He could rekindle that magic this week, you just never know.

Joost Luiten | $7,100 – Joost put up his best finish of the season last week with a T4 at the Scottish Open. He was also T39 at the U.S. Open this year. He’s two of three in cuts made at the Open where he missed the cut last year. His best finish is a T45 at the Open. He’s not a long driver of the ball (85th on the European Tour), but his form at the Scottish gives you hope that he can continue the run.

Padraig Harrington | $7,100 – You may forget that Harrington won in March of this year at the Honda. He’s struggled ever since with his best finish a T43 at the Irish Open. He’s 12 of 18 at the Open Championship, but hasn’t had a finish better than T39 since back to back wins in 2007-2008. He’s also won twice at the Dunhill and has six top 10 finishes at that tourney.

Kevin Kisner | $7,000 – Kisner jumped 15 spots in a week and it’s all about recent form. Kisner is making his Open Championship debut this week and he’ll need to succeed with his putter if he’s going to have a shot at the weekend. He’s made nine cuts in a row with five top 10s, so he’s solid form and the putting skills to perform well.

Ryan Palmer | $7,000 – Palmer has made the cut both times he’s played at the Open. He’s also 12th on the PGA Tour in driving distance and 15th in SG: T2G. He’s made four cuts in a row on Tour including a T31 last week at the Scottish Open. He was mediocre at the U.S. Open settling for a T52, but he has the skills to succeed on the Old Course and prepped last week in Scotland. An interesting pivot play.

Alexander Noren | $7,000 – He is out due to injury.

Harris English | $7,000 – English has the profile to make some noise this week, but he looked awful last week and his form seems to be cratering at the wrong time. He is two for three in cuts made at the Open (with a T15 two years ago), but I don’t like him this week.

Marc Warren | $6,900 – Warren is a local. Well, far more of a local than you are. The Scotsman is 14 spots lower in salary than the oddsmakers say he should be. He’s made the cut the last four years at the Dunhill. He’s only played the Open the last two years with a missed cut and T39 in those two trips. He missed the cut at the Irish Open, but was T27 at the U.S. Open and a tidy T4 at last week’s Scottish Open.

Graham DeLaet | $6,900 – If you’ve read me previously, you know that I can’t ever figure DeLaet out. He’s playing relatively well with five straight cuts made including two top 25s and a season-best solo fourth at the Travelers. He drives the ball well (32nd) as well as sitting 54th in SG: T2G. He’s only played here twice with a solo 83rd (!) and a missed cut the last two years. If you feel his form can carry him, then dive all in. I’ll avoid him as I do every week irrespective of what the numbers say.

Chris Kirk | $6,800 – He’s out due to injury.

George Coetzee | $6,800 – Coetzee is three of four in cuts made at the Open and has two top 20 finishes. He’s also three of four in cuts made at the Dunhill Links including two top 25 finishes. He’s a links man and could be one for this week as well.

Eddie Pepperell | $6,800 – I’ll be honest. I didn’t know a ton about Pepperell until 24 hours or so ago. As I was studying the Euros for this week, I stumbled upon Pepperell and his recent T4 finish at the Scottish Open. I looked further and saw he was T2 at the Irish Open this year (where he lost in a playoff to Soren Kjeldsen – who is also worth a look this week at just $6,300). So, links course seem to agree with him. Plus, he has a blog so he can’t be all bad.

Ross Fisher | $6,800 – Fisher comes in having made three straight cuts and six of his last seven. He was T7 at the Scottish Open last week and has made 8 of ten cuts there overall. He’s also nine of ten at the Irish Open including a win. He hasn’t been quite as successful at the Dunhill (seven of nine cuts made), but with just one top 10. He’s a fine links player though he’s only four of seven at the Open. He picked up a T37 at the Old Course when it hosted the Open in 2010. He’s a solid choice this week based on recent form and some success on the links.

Tim Clark | $6,600 – He is out due to visa issues.

Retief Goosen | $6,600 – Old man value number two. He’s 15 for 18 in Open cuts made, though he hasn’t played the tourney since 2012 and hasn’t had a top 25 (solo sixth) since 2010 (which was of at the Old Course). He was T5 at the Old Course in 2005 and T41 in 2000. He’s had a strange season as he’s shown some glimmer of his former life (like the T4 a couple of weeks ago at the BMW), but he missed the cut at the U.S Open so you’re hoping he finds the fountain of youth in Scotland.

Charley Hoffman | $6,600 – The Texan isn’t getting a lot of respect, but if the wind picks up, the Hoff could succeed. He’s an excellent driver of the ball standing 37th in driving distance and 36th in SG: T2GHe’s two for four in cuts made at the Open including a T35 in 2007 at Carnoustie (which is in Scotland of course). He missed the cut at the U.S. Open his last time out, but had put together a string of seven made cuts.

Morgan Hoffmann | $6,600 – The other Hoff is also a great driver of the ball (41st in driving distance) and has putted quite well (32nd in SG: Putting, 13th in 3-putt avoidance and 11th in 3-putt avoidance > 25 feet). However, he makes his first trip to the British Open at any venue. He’s made three straight cuts including a T27 at the U.S. Open so he’s done a bit of work on links-style courses.

David Howell | $6,400 – Howell is fully 46 spots lower in salary than he should be based on his odds to win. He’s six for 12 in cuts made at the Open with only one top 10 though not a single one of those 12 starts was on the Old Course. So, we turn to the Dunhill to see him 10 of 14 with five top 10s including a win in 2013. He’s had an up and down season with 11 cuts made in 17 tournaments. But his worst finish of the year is a T49 and he has six top 10 finishes this year including a tidy T10 at the Scottish Open last week.

Tyrell Hatton | $6,400 – Hatton is 0 for 3 at the Open including missing the cut last year. He played in 2010 at the Old Course in his debut and of course missed the cut. However, his form is excellent with five of his last six cuts made including a T4 at the Irish Open and a T22 at the Scottish. It seems like he might have figure out the links courses this year so give him a whirl in a lineup or two.

Robert Streb | $6,400 – Streb makes his debut at the Open, but has the game to take it by storm. He’s 39th in driving distance, 32nd in SG: T2G, 33 in SG: Putting, 38th in 3 putt avoidance and 31st in 3 putt avoidance greater than 25 feet. He’s even T14 in par 4 scoring average. He has one of the best profiles this week. He’s playing extremely well with seven straight cuts made on Tour including a T42 at the U.S. Open. He’s got five top 20s in that run. It’s about form and believing in the profile for Streb.

Steven Bowditch | $6,400 – Bowditch and Streb are linked to me for some reason. I’m not sure why, they are. Bowditch’s only appearance at the Open was back in 2003, so it’s basically his debut as well. He’s got a nice profile as well with a 20th standing in driving distance, 72nd in SG: T2G and solid if not spectacular in putting. No one will be on him this week as he broke many a heart with his missed cut at the John Deere. Fear not, he’d run off five straight cuts made prior to the hiccup last week including a win at the Byron Nelson.

Scott Hend | $6,400 – Hend is long hitter (tenth on the European Tour in driving), but that’s about all I have to recommend him. You can find a cheaper version of Hend down below in the person of Pelle Edberg ($5,900).

Soren Kjeldsen | $6,300 – Kjeldsen is three of six in cuts made at the Open with a top finish of T27 in 2009 at Turnberry in Scotland. He was T37 at the Old Course on the last time he played the Open. Perhaps more impressively, he’s nine of 13 at the Dunhill Links (though he’s struggled recently. He’s made eight straight cuts on the European Tour including a win at the Irish Open and a T41 at the Scottish Open.

Pelle Edberg | $5,900 – Who? Exactly. Edberg is sixth in driving distance on the European Tour so he’s going to have a shot to make some noise this week. Sadly, that may be all he has going for him as he missed the cut last week at the Scottish Open and has only made one cut in his last six tourneys (and that was a T70 which doesn’t really count). He’s played the Open twice (not since 2008) and does have a T12 in 2007 at Carnoustie. He’s also never made the cut in four trips to the Dunhill Links so he’s quite the longshot.

Golfers Added to the Pool on Monday

Rafael Cabrera-Bello | $7,300 – He jumped 20 spots in the odds to win in the last week. His game is volatile, but he seems to be on a bit of a heater with five top 10 finishes in his last six tournaments. Cabrera-Bello struggled on the weekend at the Scottish Open, but he started off hot with 67-66. He’s played the Open the last three years with a T21 sandwiched around a missed cut last year and a T81 three years ago.

Richie Ramsay | $6,800 – Ramsay is only one for four in cuts made at the Open, but that doesn’t really encapsulate the man. He missed the cut last week at the Scottish Open, but that doesn’t really speak to his skills. Prior to that missed cut last week, he’d made seven of eight cuts on the European Tour including a win in Morocco and five other top 15 finishes. He’s also played quite well at the Dunhill Links tournament. He’s made five of six cuts there and had a T2 last year. I do like him quite a bit this week.

James Morrison | $6,800 – Not that Jim Morrison. And not that Jim Morrison either. This James Morrison is a golfer. He’s had some success at the Dunhill with two cuts made in five trips though both of those were top 25s. In his only trip to the Open, he finished T23 in 2012. He missed the cut at the Scottish last week, but that broke a run of three straight top 25 finishes on the European Tour. He also won a couple of months ago at the Open de Espana so he’s got some pedigree.

Russell Knox | $6,700 – Makes his debut at the Open. T10 last week at the Scottish Open. Short hitter (142nd), but T21 SG: T2G and also happens to be Scottish. And also happens to scorch par 4s (fourth on the PGA Tour).

Kevin Streelman | $6,500 – Streelman is two for three in cuts made at the Open, but never better than T54. His form is poor coming in which makes him one to ignore this week.

Danny Lee | $6,400 – Hottest golfer on the planet not named Jordan Spieth? Maybe so. Backed up his first PGA Tour win with a T3 at the John Deere. Not much else to go on as he makes his debut here and missed the cut at the U.S. Open this year.

Jaco Van Zyl | $6,400 – Makes his debut. Has a great name. Was T9 at the Dunhill in 2011. Was T53 last week at the Scottish Open.

Raphael Jacquelin | $6,200 – Is actually five of nine in cuts made at the Open and performed admirably at the Scottish last week (T2 with a final round 70). He’s had five top 20s in the last six years at the Scottish Open. He had struggled mightily prior to his last two tourneys however. He’s made nine of 14 cuts at the Dunhill and has two top 20s in the last three years there. Could make an interesting punt play if you want to go stars and scrubs.

David Hearn | $6,200 – Hearn made his debut last year and put up a perfectly fine T32. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open and then put up a T2 at the Greenbrier two weeks later.

Greg Owen | $6,200 – Owen is four of seven in cuts made at the Open with a best finish of T22 in 2006. He was T6 his last time out at the Greenbrier. He’s put up some results at the Dunhill (three of five cuts made, but most of his success is long ago).

James Hahn | $6,000 – Hahn is 60th in driving distance on the PGA Tour. He makes his debut here off a T6 at the Greenbrier his last time out. He did win at the Northern Trust Open in February of this year so he can go low.

Rikard Karlberg | $6,000 – Karlberg put up his best result of the season last week at the Scottish Open with a T10. He was also T21 at the Irish Open this year. His wife has caddied for him in the past.

Daniel Brooks | $5,900 – Brooks led at the Scottish Open going into Sunday but faltered to a final round 73 and a T7 finish. He’s only made five of 20 cuts this season so there doesn’t seem to be a reason to roster him outside of his form at the Scottish.

Tom Gillis – $5,900 – Gillis is a great story and nearly picked up a huge win for himself at the John Deere, but I’d be extremely surprised to find him on the weekend.

Hiroshi Iwata – $5,900 –
Iwata has been to the Open twice and missed the cut twice. He is seventh on the Japanese Tour in driving distance (though that’s only a pedestrian 288 yards). He’s actually tied for sixth in par 4 performance on the Japanese Tour so he does have some skills for this tournament. He is currently 87 th in OWGR so he’s not a scrub. No one, I repeat no one will be on him so he might be worth a look in a lineup. He was born in Miyagi, Japan so that’s great for all of you Karate Kid fans. Second fun fact – the Japanese Tour web page offers a profile for each player. It contains the usual birthdate, birthplace, age, height, weight and…..blood type. Huh. Who knew?

DraftKings Scoring

Roster size: 6 Golfers

POINT SCORING

Golfers on each team will accumulate points as follows:

  • Per Hole Scoring
    • Double Eagle (DBL EAG): +20 PTs
    • Eagle (EAG): +8 PTs
    • Birdie (BIR): +3 PTs
    • Par (PAR): +0.5 PTs
    • Bogey (BOG): -0.5 PTs
    • Double Bogey (DBL BOG): -1 PT
    • Worse than Double Bogey (WORSE DBL BOG): -1 PT
  • Tournament Finish Scoring
    • 1st: 30 PTs
    • 2nd: 20 PTs
    • 3rd: 18 PTs
    • 4th: 16 PTs
    • 5th: 14 PTs
    • 6th: 12 PTs
    • 7th: 10 PTs
    • 8th: 9 PTs
    • 9th: 8 PTs
    • 10th: 7 PTs
    • 11th–15th: 6 PTs
    • 16th–20th: 5 PTs
    • 21st–25th: 4 PTs
    • 26th–30th: 3 PTs
    • 31st–40th: 2 PTs
    • 41st-50th: 1 PTs
  • Streaks and Bonuses
    • Streak of 3 Birdies of Better (MAX 1 Per Round) (3+ BIR STRK): +3 PTs
    • Bogey Free Round (BOG FREE RD): +3 PTs
    • All 4 Rounds Under 70 Strokes (ALL 4 RDS UND 70): +5 PTs
    • Hole in One (HOLE IN ONE): +10 PTs

Scoring Notes: Ties for a finishing position will not reduce or average down points. For example, if 2 golfers tie for 3rd place, each will receive the 18 fantasy points for the 3rd place finish result. Playoff Holes will not count towards final scoring, with the exception of the “finishing position” scoring. For example, the golfer who wins the tournament will receive the sole award of 1st place points, but will not accrue points for their scoring result in the individual playoff holes.

Player Lock Notes: All golfers lock at the time the first golfer tees off on day 1 of an event.

Full rules are located here for DraftKings golf.

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