2014 Fantasy Baseball: The Rookie Report, June 24
There haven’t been a ton of changes on the rookie front, of late. Mostly, the rookie class is performing to expectations.
Name | Team | PA | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jose Abreu | White Sox | 266 | 39 | 21 | 57 | – | 0.270 | 0.320 | 0.598 | 0.388 |
George Springer | Astros | 258 | 32 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 0.241 | 0.345 | 0.459 | 0.355 |
Rougned Odor | Rangers | 112 | 12 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0.291 | 0.321 | 0.466 | 0.342 |
Chris Owings | Diamondbacks | 250 | 26 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 0.282 | 0.319 | 0.466 | 0.342 |
Xander Bogaerts | Red Sox | 305 | 36 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 0.264 | 0.348 | 0.401 | 0.335 |
Yangervis Solarte | Yankees | 262 | 26 | 6 | 29 | – | 0.263 | 0.345 | 0.404 | 0.334 |
Josmil Pinto | Twins | 158 | 19 | 7 | 16 | – | 0.222 | 0.323 | 0.407 | 0.326 |
Nick Castellanos | Tigers | 252 | 20 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 0.269 | 0.306 | 0.406 | 0.312 |
Billy Hamilton | Reds | 266 | 36 | 4 | 23 | 31 | 0.273 | 0.309 | 0.396 | 0.310 |
Jon Singleton | Astros | 74 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0.200 | 0.284 | 0.415 | 0.303 |
Mike Olt | Cubs | 174 | 15 | 10 | 25 | – | 0.149 | 0.230 | 0.364 | 0.263 |
Kolten Wong | Cardinals | 171 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 0.228 | 0.282 | 0.304 | 0.263 |
As expected, Jose Abreu and George Springer are pacing the field. And they’re doing it in completely different ways. Springer doesn’t swing as often as Abreu does – 48% versus 55.6% – but he also makes much less contact – 71.6% versus 86.0%. Abreu’s swing percentage is that much higher, despite the fact that he sees 7% less fewer pitches in the zone than Springer. So far, Abreu’s gotten by on contact ability, while Springer’s lived off of making hard contact. Different approaches. Good results on both sides.
Springer’s teammate, Jon Singleton resides somewhere in between Springer and Abreu. He takes the bat off of his shoulder more frequently than Springer, and his contact rate is a little higher, although it’s nowhere near Abreu’s. At this point, Singleton has very much been “all-or-nothing.” His production should even out a bit going forward, but his strikeout rate – which sits at 33% – is worrisome.
Lastly, Billy Hamilton has actually been better than expected in 2014; at least, in my opinion. I wasn’t sold on Hamilton’s bat. My opinion doesn’t matter to Hamilton, however. Since April 7 – ignoring Hamilton’s horrid opening week – he has slashed .288/.321/.416, smashing four homers and stealing 31 bases. Hamilton’s largest question mark coming into 2014 was his ability to get on base. It’s fair to say he’s answered that question pretty well.
Name | Team | G | GS | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB% | ERA | FIP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dellin Betances | Yankees | 31 | 42.0 | 45.2% | 7.1% | 38.1% | 1.50 | 0.92 | |
Masahiro Tanaka | Yankees | 15 | 15 | 106.2 | 28.5% | 4.1% | 24.5% | 2.11 | 2.76 |
James Paxton | Mariners | 2 | 2 | 12.0 | 30.2% | 4.7% | 25.6% | 2.25 | 3.59 |
Collin McHugh | Astros | 11 | 11 | 65.1 | 26.8% | 9.3% | 17.5% | 2.76 | 2.96 |
Yordano Ventura | Royals | 14 | 14 | 84.1 | 20.7% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 3.20 | 3.36 |
Roenis Elias | Mariners | 16 | 16 | 98.2 | 21.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.74 | 4.03 |
Jake Odorizzi | Rays | 15 | 15 | 77.2 | 27.4% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 4.29 | 3.15 |
Carlos Martinez | Cardinals | 32 | 2 | 43.2 | 19.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.33 | 3.48 |
Trevor Bauer | Indians | 8 | 8 | 47 | 23.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 4.4 | 4.51 |
Marcus Stroman | Blue Jays | 9 | 4 | 28 | 17.8% | 4.7% | 13.2% | 5.14 | 3.69 |
Heading into 2014, I wasn’t a fan of Jake Odorizzi. He lacked the ability to miss bats. He had a good strikeout rate at Triple-A, but according to scouts that was mostly due to his polish, not the quality of his stuff. And so, upon promotion, his strikeout rate plummeted from 25.2% to 18%.
Odorizzi threw all of that of the window. Riding three pitches with swinging strike rates greater than 11%, he’s striking out over 27% of the batters that step in the box – the sixth highest rate among qualified starters.
In April, Odorizzi was having a ton of trouble turning over lineups, which, not coincidentally, wasn’t allowing him to go very deep into games. He’s been much better since the calendar turned to May, though. In ten starts, he’s thrown 54 innings, which is a little less than we hope for, but still an improvement. In those ten starts, Odorizzi has a 3.17 ERA, which is backed up by a 2.61 FIP. He sure looks like he’s going to prove quite a lot of people wrong, myself included.
Last on the list today, Carlos Martinez. Martinez was forced into the rotation thanks to injury concerns in St. Louis. I’ve remarked before on Martinez’ struggles versus left handed batters. In the bullpen, Mike Matheny – when he wants to – can limit the amount of lefties Martinez faces. He can’t help him with those matchups when he pitches as a starter, so Carlos could be exposed a little going forward if he stays in the rotation for a little while.