2014 Fantasy Baseball: Total Run Index, Relief Pitchers 1-20
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, I hate closers. Of course, I don’t hate any individual that happens to be a closer. It isn’t their fault that the game has gone out of control as closers are concerned. This isn’t a new diatribe on my part, but it does bare repeating for the purposes of commenting on the fantasy condition.
Closers are now routinely paid more than ten million dollars a season once they become eligible for free agency. Like most players, they are paid based on their performance. This is where the similarities stop. The save statistic creates its own demand. Huge money dictates using a player in a specific role so that they accumulate said statistic. A normal player at a normal position gets paid based on performance and the best performers get to play.
Yet, when looking at relief pitchers we often see that the best relievers are not necessarily closers. This becomes a problem when we look at fantasy value. This gets especially muddy when you consider that more and more leagues are including holds as a statistic. So, do you overwhelmingly focus on players that are currently serving in the closer’s role or do you focus on the best reliever available.
Total run index can help. One of the things to consider when making you draft list is to figure out which closers are most likely to perform and which ones are likely to lose their jobs. Those lower on the TRI list are likely living on borrowed time. In the table to follow, we have the ranking in TRI, but we also have the role they are likely to open the season in. You can consider it as much as you want when forming your pre-draft list.
Likely Role |
2013 |
3 Year |
5 Year |
Comments | |
Craig Kimbrel |
Closer |
15.0 |
17.5 |
N/A |
With Mariano Rivera retired, he is now the unquestioned best closer in the game. |
Greg Holland |
Closer |
19.3 |
15.7 |
N/A |
Toiling with the Royals keeps him under the radar. He has been brilliant for several years. |
Joe Nathan |
Closer |
15.9 |
7.8 |
10.9 |
The Tigers are counting on him, but he is getting up there in years. |
Koji Uehara |
Closer |
21.3 |
11.5 |
10.8 |
He took over as closer only last year, but he has been among the best for several years. |
Kenley Jansen |
Closer |
14.1 |
10.5 |
N/A |
The Dodgers keep signing former closers, but he should still be the guy. |
Jonathan Papelbon |
Closer |
4.3 |
10.2 |
11.2 |
The Phillies keep trying to trade him because he is not as effective as he used to be. |
David Robertson |
Closer |
9.7 |
14.0 |
10.1 |
He has been toiling in Mariano Rivera’s shadow for a couple of years. |
Aroldis Chapman |
Closer |
8.4 |
9.6 |
N/A |
His situation is up in the air as the Reds could just choose to go with Jonathan Broxton |
Glen Perkins |
Closer |
9.9 |
9.5 |
4.4 |
He is a poor man’s Greg Holland and should continue to be productive. |
Nate Jones |
Closer |
8.5 |
8.3 |
N/A |
The White Sox improve at the closer’s position and add a potential third basemen. |
Joaquin Benoit |
Closer |
11.6 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
Benoit likely will close, but Huston Street is still around. |
Rafael Soriano |
Closer |
-0.2 |
3.0 |
6.3 |
Exhibit A as to why investing heavily in closers is a bad idea. |
Rex Brothers |
Closer |
8.8 |
6.2 |
N/A |
Took over last season for Betancourt, so he is still relatively unproven. |
Trevor Rosenthal |
Closer |
13.6 |
6.0 |
N/A |
Looked like a dominant guy last year. It remains to be seen if he can hold the job. |
Sergio Romo |
Closer |
3.2 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
The transition from Brian Wilson was fairly seamless. |
Rafael Betancourt |
Free Agent |
-1.3 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
Someone should sign this guy to be at least a setup guy. |
Steve Cishek |
Closer |
8.0 |
5.5 |
N/A |
Did fairly well in his first full season as the Marlins closer. |
Fernando Rodney |
Free Agent |
5.7 |
5.3 |
2.6 |
He could end up in Baltimore as their closer. |
Tyler Clippard |
Setup Man |
1.3 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
He is good enough to be a closer, but they paid Soriano. |
Jason Grilli |
Closer |
6.0 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
When healthy, he is among the best closers in the game. |
2 Comments
-Street is 100% the closer, not Benoit
-Nate Jones is 1 of 4 candidates to close
-Rodney will not end up in BAL. They’ve said so multiple times.
-Brothers will not be handed the job. Hawkins had a great 2013 and is right handed.
Thanks for the check up. My understanding was that Benoit and Street were both up in the air to the point where both have games finished clauses in their contract. I did read that about Rodney after publication. As for the others, I think those are fair assessments but I doubt Hawkins gets the closing job until/if Brothers fails.