2015 Fantasy Football: Top 10 Fantasy Wide Receivers
The Super Bowl is now behind us and it’s never too soon to start looking forward to next fantasy season. This is the third of a four part series in our pre-draft, pre-free agency top 10 lists. In this article we’ll be going over the wide receivers (PPR). The position that seems to increase in relevancy each and every year. With so many talented WRs, this was by far the hardest position to narrow down to just 10.
1. Antonio Brown
AB was far and away the best fantasy wideout in 2014. He totaled a ridiculous 129 receptions, 1,698 yards and 13 TDs. He was also the model of consistency. Brown had zero games with less than five receptions. Brown had zero games with less than 70 yards and 13 games with at least 90 yards. He also had only seven games in which he didn’t catch at least one TD. There is no reason to believe that AB won’t be just as good next season. For some reason, people do not want to believe in Brown. I ranked him second last year and this season he’s wrestled the top spot away from Megatron. The addition of Martavis Bryant should only make Brown that much better.
2. Calvin Johnson
Megatron is not in the top spot for the first time in a long time and it’s not at all because of him. We understand that Johnson had a disappointing 2014 campaign. His QB struggled, and he struggled through an ankle injury for much of the season. He still caught 71 passes for 1,077 yards and eight TDs in just 13 games. Not to mention he was clearly hobbled or exited early in two others. In those two games against the Jets and Bills he totaled three catches on three targets for 18 yards. I have no concern about him falling off or anything silly like that. He is the most gifted WR the league has ever seen and possibly the most gifted athlete. He finally has a legitimate WR2 opposite him and should bounce back in a major way in 2015. Expect him to put up 100 receptions, 1,500 yards and double-digit touchdowns.
3. A.J. Green
Green is among the most talented receivers in the game. In my personal opinion, his skill level is second only to Megatron. The former fourth overall pick is a 6-foot-4 freak athlete with remarkable hands and the ability to make something out of nothing. He’s extremely well-rounded. He’s a great route runner and can beat you short, deep and in the red zone. Green can catch a screen and make you miss or pull a jump ball down in double coverage. Despite a litany of injuries this season, including a toe injury he never fully recovered from, Green had an extremely productive season. Green was inactive for three games this season and was injured on the first drive in two others. In eleven games, Green caught 69 receptions, 1,041 yards and six TDs. Had he played 16 games at the same production level, he would have totaled about 100 receptions, 1,514 yards and nine TDs. And that is at less than 100 percent. Needless to say, despite all the hatred for Andy Dalton, Green should continue his torrid pace next season. We project him to catch close to 100 passes and double-digit TDs.
4. Dez Bryant
Bryant is an absolute monster. He is exceedingly physical and has a large 220-pound frame. He is also impressively fast for his size and has great hands. This season he pulled down a career-high 16 touchdowns. The two previous seasons he pulled down 12 and 13 TDs. He may be the most dominant red zone threat in the league at the WR position. Bryant caught 88 passes for 1,320 yards in 2014. He’s not a guy that’s going to catch 100 passes, however, his TDs give his fantasy value an incredible boost. We don’t expect a whole lot to change in the Dallas offense next season. Bryant should catch about 90 passes for 1,350 yards and 14 TDs.
5. Julio Jones
Jones is as talented as any wideout in the league. He is a physical mismatch very similar to Bryant. Jones stands 6-foot-3, 220-pounds. The difference between the two WRs is that Jones is a better deep threat and is a high volume reception guy but not quite as dominant a threat in the red zone. Nonetheless, if not for injury concerns, Jones would probably be up at least one spot. However, he has struggled with injury throughout his football career including multiple foot injuries. Last season in 15 games, Jones tallied 104 receptions, 1,593 yards and six TDs. As the year wore on it became abundantly clear that there were no longer two WR1s in Atlanta. Jones has separated himself as the top guy and Roddy White is the clear WR2. Jones has a ceiling as high as any wideout in the league.
6. Odell Beckham Jr
Despite missing the first four games of the season with an injured hamstring, Beckham exploded on to the scene and was named the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. In just 12 games he caught 91 passes for 1,305 yards and 12 TDs. Had he played a full season, those numbers would average out to approximately 121 receptions, 1,740 yards and 16 TDs. Those numbers were put up by a rookie! That’s incredible! With that said, many people have Beckham ranked in their top three or even higher. However, with only a 12 game sample size, I’m not ready to put him in the top five just quite yet. Even if those 12 games were tremendous.
7. Demaryius Thomas
The reason Thomas is down at seven on this list is because there are questions surrounding him and the Broncos’ offense. First of all, it’s still possible that Thomas isn’t playing in Denver next season. He’s a talented kid but he didn’t exactly light it up before Peyton Manning was his QB. If he doesn’t land with a great QB, that has to be a bit of a concern. Also, there are plenty of questions surrounding Manning. By the end of 2014 he had about as strong an arm as my little sister. He hadn’t exactly been throwing darts to begin with, but that got ugly. He is clearly breaking down. I would be very concerned about Thomas come fantasy playoff time if Manning breaks down again. However, if it really was just a bad quad and Manning is 100 percent for a full season, obviously Thomas belongs higher on this list. Nonetheless, I’m not a believer. I think Peyton’s all but done.
8. Jordy Nelson
Nelson edges out a few younger guys for the eighth spot. While I believe that guys like Kelvin Benjamin and Mike Evans are more talented, Nelson is in a much better situation. He has the best QB in the league in a pass-first offense. If Randall Cobb is to leave Green Bay, which is about a 50/50 chance at this point, it will be interesting to see how that effects Nelson. Will he explode with more targets heading his way or will he struggle with defenses giving him more attention? That remains to be seen. There is a good chance come summer time Nelson will have climbed up or fallen down this list. The Packers have a lot of decisions to make this offseason.
9. Kelvin Benjamin
I must admit, I am somewhat invested in Benjamin. I ranked him as my third WR in last year’s draft after Mike Evans and Odell Beckham and later suggested he’d be the Offensive Rookie of the Year. While he didn’t quite win the award, he hasn’t let me down yet. This kid has only scratched the surface of his talent. He was considered a raw prospect this season who still needed to develop as a WR. In Carolina he will do just that. With a whole offseason to build chemistry with a now healthy Cam Newton, it’s safe to expect Benjamin to make a big jump. Don’t be surprised if he looks like a whole new and improved player in 2015 (not that he was a scrub in 2014). The Panthers are expected to bring in a WR2 to play opposite KB, which would take a ton of attention and pressure of the former NCAA National Champion receiver.
10. Mike Evans
Last season I believed Evans was the most talented offensive rookie in the draft and should be the first wideout off the board. However, I didn’t expect him to have a great rookie campaign. Turns out he went on a ridiculous run late in the season and ended up having a great rookie season. If he wasn’t in arguably the greatest draft class for WRs ever, he would be getting way more attention than he is. Then again, the same can be said for quite a few 2014 rookie WRs. He’s a 6-foot-5, 231-pound freak athlete who can flat go up and get it. He scored 12 TDs this past season. Don’t expect that number to come down anytime soon. Evans will be a beast in the red zone but also has the speed to beat DBs between the 20s. He’s a special talent who’s only going to get better.
Just Missed the Cut
There are almost too many to name that just missed the cut. So I’ll just narrow it down and give you five.
1. Jeremy Maclin
2. Alshon Jeffery
3. DeAndre Hopkins
4. T.Y. Hilton
5. Emmanuel Sanders
Breakout Candidate
Jarvis Landry
Landry quietly had a great rookie season. As we mentioned before, it’s very easy to be overshadowed in this rookie class. After a slow start, Landry really came on strong. By the end of the season he had taken the Dolphins WR1 spot from Mike Wallace and may have even made him expendable. He has great chemistry with Ryan Tannehill and has the potential to be a PPR monster. In 2014, Landry totaled 84 receptions, 758 yards and five TDs. Next season I have him projected at about 100 receptions, 1,150 yards and nine TDs. I was not a fan of Landry heading in to the draft. After watching him for a year, I was clearly wrong.
Because Somebody’s Going to Ask
Randall Cobb
Cobb is a very good receiver. However, guys like Aaron Rodgers can make a lot of players look really good. The bottom line is, we really aren’t sure where Cobb is going to play next season. And if he’s not in the Packers offense, there will be serious questions about his fantasy value. Right now I’m taking a wait and see approach with Cobb.