Luck is a part of baseball and Latos is running into some good luck in his first start this week. Latos gets the Braves without two players that have owned him. Nate McLouth and Jason Heyward are both hitting .400 against the Padres ace but will miss the game because of DL stints. Combine that with excellent career numbers (2.28 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 5.7 K/9) against the Braves and hope for run support to get Latos the victory. 

In his second start Latos is set to face the Houston Astros. The Astros are one of the worst teams in the bigs and their lineup is a big reason why. Latos has already had a start against the Astros this season (L. 6.1 IP, 5 ER, 6 K, .947 WHIP) and had the bullpen been able to strand runners his numbers would have been good. Latos career numbers against the Astros are very good. In three starts (including the start this season) Latos has compiled a 2-1 record with a 2.01 ERA, a K/9 ratio of 8.9 and a WHIP of 0.537. Of the Astros regulars only Carlos Lee is hitting over .250. I feel like this is the week Latos gets back on track.

In his first scheduled start, Wilson has a matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays. Wilson has one regular season start against the Rays in his career. In that start Wilson gave up three earned runs in five innings. Those numbers are not special by any means but here is where the suggestion comes from. The big bats for the Rays have awful numbers against Wilson. Evan Longoria, B.J. Upton and Ben Zobrist are a combined 2-25 against him. Also the Rays hottest bat, Matt Joyce, has never faced Wilson and I always give the advantage to the pitcher when it’s the first encounter. 

For his weekend series start, Wilson has a matchup against the Indians. The Indians have a lot of left handed batters so the southpaw sees his first advantage there. If history is any indication of success Wilson has had one career start against the Tribe and went 6.0 IP giving up one earned run, striking out four and generating a WHIP of .667. When Austin Kerns is the player with the best numbers against you it’s a safe bet. 

Although Carmona has good career numbers against the Jays, those numbers can be misleading. Of the current Blue Jay regulars, only two (Aaron Hill and Rajai Davis) have more than 10 at-bats against Carmona. Hill and Rajai Davis are hitting a combined (.321) and having base runners for Jose Bautista and potentially Adam Lind coming off the DL could be disastrous for the Tribe.

In his second start of the week, Carmona will have the tough task of facing the newly healthy Rangers lineup. With a career 2-6 record and an ERA of 5.40 against the Rangers, this was an easy call. The biggest problem for Carmona is that both John Hamilton and Nelson Cruz are a combined 10-24 (.417) with two home runs and six RBI against Carmona. Elvis Andrus is also a pest to Carmona hitting .600 in his career against the Indians hurler. With runners on base for the big bats, the Rangers can really do damage to Carmona’s fantasy prospects. 

Davis’s career start against the Rangers is reason enough not to start him this week. In his career, Davis possesses a putrid 21.60 ERA against the Rangers. The Rangers have six players hitting .333 or better against the Rays righty. The only good news for Davis is that the start is at home and not in Arlington. 

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