2015 Daily Fantasy Football Strategy: Week 13 Tight Ends
It is on to Week 13 of the NFL and Daily Fantasy Football at DraftKings. I’m back to provide recommendations for Tight Ends for your weekly lineup. This week is the perfect week to take a dip into the Daily Fantasy pool as you can win $1,000,000! Daily Fantasy can help you with lineup decision for your season-long league and give you another team to root on during the weekend.
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DraftKings Tight End Recommendations
If you’ve never played on DraftKings before, you can get a deposit bonus by signing up. And there are different options to pick from at DraftKings for any skill level.
Finally, a gentle reminder on the scoring for Tight Ends – this is a PPR site so remember that when selecting players. The full for scoring for Tight Ends is at the end of this column.
Tight Ends can also be used in the flex position at DraftKings. However, with the entire world of RBs and WRs at your disposal Rob Gronkowski is probably the only TE you’d consider as a flex option. TEs still make a viable option at the flex spot as long as the pricing continues to be soft.
Let’s take a look at a couple of options at each price point. For those who are new to the column, I’ll generally look at a couple of options in each pricing tier broken out based on the socioeconomic status of 1970s sitcom families. And I’ll always cover Rob Gronkowski.
I’ll mention Football Outsiders a lot over the season – the passes per game and yards per game stats I use are from Football Outsiders. Here is the link to Football Outsiders’ 2013 stats. FO stats for 2014 are here and I like to use the defense versus types of receivers to fill out my rosters. And we now have 2015 stats located here.
Teams on bye: None – bye weeks are done for the year.
We’ve added a new feature this year highlighting the top totals (over/under) in Vegas for the week.
The top over/under totals for Week 13 (according to Vegas Insider consensus):
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (49.5 points)
Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (49 points)
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (49 points)
The Gronk Tier
Rob Gronkowski | Patriots | $7,800 – Sadface.
Greg Olsen | Panthers | $6,200 – The chalk pick this week and the safe cash game play. The Saints have given up six TDs to TEs in the last three games. Olsen’s floor is probably 15 DK points with an upside in the low 20s.
Tyler Eifert | Bengals | $5,800 – Sadface part deux. He’s doubtful with a neck issue – I can’t see him playing.
Delanie Walker | Titans | $5,700 – Just two weeks ago, Walker put up eight catches on ten targets for 109 yards against these same Jags. Walker has scored 15 or more DK points in three of his last four games. And the Jags have given up 20 points or more to TEs in the last three weeks. He’s an excellent chalk pivot from Olsen.
Gary Barnidge | Browns | $5,300 – Steady Eddie saw his salary jump $500 last week, but he’s got Austin Davis at QB now. Still, he’s only had one game since Week 3 where he didn’t score in double digits. Wait, what’s that you say, it was against the Bengals who he faces this week? Hmmm….On the one hand Davis doesn’t have a lot of other options in the passing game. On the other hand, the Browns may struggle to score 14 points.
Jordan Reed | Washington | $5,300 – Reed is averaging nearly six more points at home than on the road (17.9 versus 12) which goes along with Washington’s better performance at home. Reed continues to be an important part of the offense, but Kirk Cousins has been working in DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon as well.
All in the Family
Antonio Gates | Chargers | $4,900 – Gates is going to get targets as the Chargers WR corps is decimated. He’s going to continue to be Philip Rivers’ security blanket. The Broncos were decimated last week by the Gronk/Scott Chandler combo for 11 catches, 146 yards and two TDs. Gates is solid option with limited upside, but a high floor.
Travis Kelce | Chiefs | $4,700 – I’ll be fading Kelce this week as his usage in the offense is not as consistent as I’d like and the Raiders have tightened up on D against TEs. And they only give up TDs to backup TEs. Last week marked the fifth time in the last six weeks where the backup TE has scored, but the starting TE has not.
Jason Witten | Cowboys | $4,700 – Romo’s gone so Witten’s just not an option.
Jimmy Graham | Seahawks | $4,500 – R.I.P.
Benjamin Watson | Saints | $4,400 – Watson has come back down to Earth after putting up two 30+ point games in three weeks earlier in the year. The Saints look to be running on fumes on offense and the Panthers have been pretty solid against TEs over the last three weeks. I don’t see a reason to roster Watson this week.
Julius Thomas | Jaguars | $4,000 – Allen Hurns is out and Thomas looks to be fully healthy now. The Titans have given up four TDs to TEs in the last four weeks. Thomas had five catches for 28 yards and a TD against the Titans two weeks ago. He’s a solid mid-priced option this week.
Jacob Tamme | Falcons | $3,700 – Leonard Hankerson is on I.R. and is out for the year. So, Tamme will now be an option every week for the rest of the year. Tamme lit up the Bucs for 10 catches, 102 yards and a TD in Week 8. Giddyup.
Kyle Rudolph | Vikings | $3,700 – So, Mr. Rudolph has awoken. And at just the right time. The Seahawks defense against TEs is horrible. It’s another tasty matchup for Teddy’s new favorite receiver. Start him with confidence this week.
Martellus Bennett | Bears | $3,600 – There is something wrong with Bennett beyond his injured ribs. No thanks.
Crockett Gillmore | Ravens | $3,600 – With Matt Schaub at QB, Gillmore’s targets are uncertain. And with Rudolph and Tamme just $100 more there isn’t a reason to roster him this week.
Charles Clay | Bills | $3,500 – Tough matchup and Clay hasn’t been useful in weeks.
Heath Miller | Steelers | $3,300 – It seems that Miller won’t play this weekend with a rib injury. Jesse James ($2,500) will start for Miller and could be an option against a Colts defense that’s been poor against TEs since Week 6.
Vernon Davis | Broncos | $3,000 – Davis faces a Chargers defense that has given up five TDs to TEs in the last five games. He’s still tough to trust, but he’s got some upside, but that floor is scary.
Brent Celek| Eagles | $3,000 – Zach Ertz ($2,600) is back so both are off our radar this week.
Vance McDonald| 49ers | $3,000 – Blaine Gabbert seems to agree with Vance McDonald as he’s put up 10 catches, 136 yards and two TDs in the last two games. The matchup looks tough on paper, but the Bears haven’t really faced any tough TEs. He could be a sneaky play as many gamers will be off him due to the Bears defensive rankings.
Sanford and Son
As we strive to give you more and more each week, we’ve added a new tier. The Sanford & Son tier. If you want to go dumpster diving hoping to find that gem, let Sanford & Son be your guide. You hear that Elizabeth? I’m coming to join ya!
Austin Seferian-Jenkins | Buccaneers | $2,500 – He’s SUPPOSED to be back this week. Didn’t I write that last week? But, he’s been cleared for contact and has a fantastic matchup. If he doesn’t suit up, Cameron Brate ($2,500) gets the start again and he’s had two TDs in the last two games.
Scott Chandler | Patriots | $2,500 – He starts for Gronk this week and will soak up a number of targets. He’s going to be highly owned this week and is probably only a cash game option. But, some may shy away from him because of the tough matchup. But, the Eagles and Patriots are two of the five highest paced offenses in the league, so there will be plays galore.
Clive Walford | Raiders | $2,500 – Matchup is far too tough this week.
DraftKings Tight End Scoring
10 Receiving Yards = +1PT (+0.1PT per yard is awarded)
Reception = +1PT
Receiving TD = +6PTs
100+ Yard Receiving Game = +3PTs
Fumble Lost = -1PT
2 Point Conversion (Pass, Run, or Catch) = +2PTs
Offensive Fumble Recovery TD = +6PTs
The full DraftKings scoring system is here.