Daily Fantasy Golf Strategy: Wyndham Championship
We are inching closer to the FedEx Cup playoffs, but we’ve got another tournament to play as we head to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship.
Our friends at DraftKings continue to roll out some fantastic contests. And I’m here to help you win some dough.
It’s a great week to check out DraftKings as they have some top notch contests.
Come on over and take a look.
The Wyndham Championship is played at the Sedgefield Country Club (Donald Ross Course) in Greensboro, North Carolina. The Ross Course is a par-70 that runs 7,127 yards. The tournament has been held here since 2008. The greens are seeded with Bermudagrass and are usually little quicker than the average greens on Tour. Bermuda has been on the greens since 2012 when it replaced the existing bentgrass greens.
This is the only Ross course in regular PGA Tour rotation, though Pinehurst No. 2 is in the U.S. Open rotation. Pinehurst No. 2 hosted in 1999, 2005, 2008 and most recently in 2014 so we’ll examine some of those results.
The weather looks like it could cause issues this week as there is a chance of thunderstorms throughout the week. There shouldn’t be any wind and the temps should be in the upper 80s to low 90s all week.
As always, continue to check up until lineup lock on Thursday.
Scorecard breakdown: Four (4) par threes, ten (12) par fours and two (2) par fives. Pay no attention to the par 71 scorecards you see floating around. This is a par 70 course for the pros. We’re going to take a gander at par 4 scoring this week – I have a feeling.
The field is a lot better than last week as we have some golfers trying to get into the FedEx playoffs and others trying to solidify their spot for the Ryder Cup.
The full field can be found here.
Past Tournament Results
The PGA has hosted a regular event at Sedgefield since 2008 so we have solid history to go on this week.
Here is the top 20 for the last three years at the Wyndham Championship.
Let’s take a look at the statistical angles in for this week’s tournament.
As for the key stats I’ll focus on this week, I’ll provide a short list below.
Par 4 Efficiency 400-450 yards (P4E400-450) – There are 12 par 4s on the course. Eight of them fall in this range. Of the other four par 4s, three are long (486, 501 and 507 yards) and one is short (374 yards).With those longer par 4s, we’ll also take a gander at efficiency on the longer par 4s (between 450 and 500 yards).
And then, we’re going to go simple for the rest of the stats. It’s going to be another scoring-fest so we’ll focus on Birdie or Better % (BOB) and Bogey Avoidance (BA). We’ll focus our BOBs on the distances greater than 200 yards and between 150 and 175 yards thanks to our friends at Fantasy Metrics and their shot dispersion data.
Par 5 Efficiency 500-550 yards (P5E500-550) – It’s our tiebreaker this week as both par 5s fall into this range and you HAVE to be able to score on these holes to have any chance to succeed.
I’m focused on 2016 stats now, but still check on 2015 stats to get a larger sample size on players when needed.
And each week, we’ll look at Strokes Gained: Putting (SG:P) and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green (SG:T2G) with a focus on current SG:T2G stats this week.
DraftKings Expert Picks
Patrick Reed | $12,200 – Reed is the cream of the crop and if you keep reading further you’ll see I think he’s REALLY the elite option in the field. His statistical profile fits Sedgefield well (32nd in SG:T2G, 72nd in SG:P, 39th in P4E450-500, 33rd in BOB%>200, 128th in BOB%150-175, 21st in BA, and seventh in P5E500-550). The American is on a run of five straight top 15 finishes including his T11 last week at the Olympics. He won here in 2013 and finished T66 and T24 in his other two Wyndham starts.
Rickie Fowler | $11,700 – Best statistical fit in my model, but that form….woof. He’s made five straight cuts, but has just one top 25 (a T10 in the WGC – Bridgestone). I’m going to fade him as I think many will.
Hideki Matsuyama | $11,400 – And here is another great fit for the course (fifth in SG:T2G, 144th in SG:P, 35th in P4E450-500, 76th in BOB%>200, 59th in BOB%150-175, 72nd in BA, and 111th in P5E500-550) who I won’t roster in cash games. He’s had some nagging injuries this
week year and his putter can come and go at will. He’s one for three in cuts made here all in the last three years with a solo 15th in his debut in 2013.
Jim Furyk | $11,000 – Furyk is 11 for 12 in cuts at this event, however, just one of those starts came at Sedgefield (T9 in 2011 before the Bermudagrass came in). Stats from this year are relatively useless to analyze Furyk as he missed a good chunk of the year and had to work his way back into form. He’s finished in the top 15 in two of his last three events including a T5 at the Travelers in his last time out with a final round 58. This is the kind of course he can succeed at based on his complete game.
Ryan Moore | $10,600 – Moore won last week and he now tees it up at the site of his first PGA Tour win in 2009. He has made six cuts in a row with back to back top 20s including his win at the John Deere. He’s rated a bit lower than many of the elite players in my stats model (59th in SG:T2G, 26th in SG:P, 18th in P4E450-500, 168th in BOB%>200, 17th in BOB%150-175, 49th in BA, and 193rd in P5E500-550). The American has made three of five cuts here since the redesign.
Jon Rahm | $10,400 – Rahm finished T14 last week at the JDC and hasn’t missed a cut in his last 10 PGA events over two years with four top 10s. Rahm makes his debut here, but there isn’t a reason to fade him this week until he shows he struggles.
Webb Simpson | $10,200 –Simpson is fourth in my model this week (11th in SG:T2G, 171st in SG:P, 28th in P4E450-500, 115th in BOB%>200, 19th in BOB%150-175, 78th in BA, and 14th in P5E500-550). He is also six for seven in cuts made at this event with four top 10s including a win in 2011 and a T5 and T6 in the last two years. Finally, current form is on his side as well as he’s made six of his last seven cuts with four top 15s. So, stats, course history and current form all point to a successful week which also means high ownership for Webb.
Jimmy Walker | $10,000 – If you think Simpson, Rahm and our next guest will be heavily owned, then Walker is the perfect contrarian play. The Texan is just three for six in cuts made at the Wyndham and hasn’t teed it up here since 2013. He does have one top five finish here (T4 in 2012), but his other two weekends had him outside of the top 60 finishers. His last event was his win at the PGA Championship and has three top 20s in his last five events. He’s third in my stats model for the week (25th in SG:T2G, 45th in SG:P, 32nd in P4E450-500, ninth in BOB%>200, 89th in BOB%150-175, 144th in BA, and fourth in P5E500-550).
Brandt Snedeker | $9,800 – Another golfer who will probably be heavily owned, Sneds is sixth in the statistical model this week (40th in SG:T2G, 62nd in SG:P, 12th in P4E450-500, 90th in BOB%>200, 54th in BOB%150-175, 35th in BA, and 74th in P5E500-550). Moreover, he is six for eight cuts made since the redesign with three top 10s. His run of three straight top 25 finishes was interrupted in his last start (T56 at the PGA Championship).
Bill Haas | $9,600 – Haas is six for eight in cuts made at the current venue with four top 10 finishes including three in the last four years. So, he certainly has course history on his side – these are the types of courses where Haas generally succeeds. So, while he’s a bit further down in my model this week than the other elite players (21st in SG:T2G, 144th in SG:P, 20th in P4E450-500, 117th in BOB%>200, 179th in BOB%150-175, 12th in BA, and 135th in P5E500-550) it may not matter. He’s made five straight cuts and has two top 10s in those five events coming into the Wyndham.
Tyrrell Hatton | $9,400 – Hatton is the $9k Jimmy Walker this week. He doesn’t have the name recognition that the others in this range have. But, he’s playing well with five cuts in a row with three top 10s including the British Open and PGA Championship. He’s fourth in stroke average on the European Tour so he can score and 45th place in GIR% on the European Tour.
Wesley Bryan | $9,300 – Looks like Bryan is no longer a trick-shot artist, but a full-fledged PGA Tour member. He can score as we talked about last week as he entered the JDC leading the Web.com Tour in Birdie Average, fourth in par 4 birdie or better, second in par three birdie or better and 29th in par 3.
Kevin Na | $9,100 – Na closed last week’s round with a Sunday 64 to end in a tie for eighth. Na is 10th in my model for the week (39th in SG:T2G, 66th in SG:P, fifth in P4E450-500, 180th in BOB%>200, sixth in BOB%150-175, 36th in BA, 161st in P5E500-550). He’s just one for two in cuts made at Sedgefield with a T18 in 2010 his only weekend and his last start here.
Russell Henley | $9,000 – Henley makes his debut at the Wyndham, but don’t let the lack of course history keep you from him. His profile fits the course (75th in SG:T2G, 41st in SG:P, 17th in P4E450-500, 69th in BOB%>200, 38th in BOB%150-175, 11th in BA, and 152nd in P5E500-550). He’s made three of his last five cuts on Tour with all three results in the top 25.
Rafael Cabrera-Bello | $8,900 – Cabrera-Bello returns from Rio with a T5 in his pocket. He has played Sunday in nine straight events worldwide. He’s played at the Wyndham once and missed the cut in 2014. He’s seventh in Stroke Average on the European Tour so he can score and also seventh in GIR on the Euro Tour so he looks to be a statistical fit for the week.
William McGirt | $8,700 – McGirt is a North Carolina native who played his college golf in South Carolina and spent his early pro years playing all over North Carolina. So, he knows these greens and courses like this. He’s second in my model (38th in SG:T2G, 22nd in SG:P, fourth in P4E450-500, 67th in BOB%>200, 50th in BOB%150-175, 19th in BA, and 56th in P5E500-550). He’s finished in the top 15 in his last two Wynham starts. is results have been a bit volatile since his win at the Memorial (MC, T7, MC, T59, and T10 with both missed cuts at majors).
Justin Thomas | $8,600 – If McGirt is the chalk, JT is the contrarian play you’ll be happy with this week. Thomas has made six cuts in a row and finished T3 at the Travelers in his last start. He’s played this event twice, made the cut twice, and hasn’t seen the top 50 yet. The model isn’t in love with him, but he’s got some of the scoring numbers on his side (53rd in SG:T2G, 152nd in SG:P, 145th in P4E450-500, 40th in BOB%>200, 66th in BOB%150-175, 140th in BA, and 11th in P5E500-550).
Scott Piercy | $8,500 – Piercy’s last four events on Tour have ended second, T2, MC, MC. So……that’s fun. The profile isn’t elite this week, but good enough to work (70th in SG:T2G, 143rd in SG:P, 60th in P4E450-500, 20th in BOB%>200, 197th in BOB%150-175, 136th in BA, and 69th in P5E500-550). Piercy is two for three in cuts made at the Wyndham with a T8 in 2010 and T12 in 2014.
Kevin Kisner | $8,300 – Kisner is three for three in cuts made at the Wyndham with his best finish coming in his last start here – a T8 in 2014. He’s made five cuts in a row on Tour with two top 20 finishes. Kisner is just outside the top 25 in my stats model for the week (98th in SG:T2G, 12th in SG:P, 31st in P4E450-500, 60th in BOB%>200, 46th in BOB%150-175, 117th in BA, and 164th in P5E500-550).
Keegan Bradley | $8,200 – Bradley has made five straight cuts coming in with back to back top 25 finishes. He makes his debut here this week, but is 11th in my stats model this week. I’ll be interested to see his ownership levels without course history, but his current form probably means he’ll be in the second tier of ownership levels.
J.B. Holmes | $8,100 – Holmes lines up well in my stats model as a result. He’s 14th in my model as he’s 49th in SG:T2G, 106th in SG:P, 57th in P4E450-500, 14th in BOB%>200, 47th in BOB%150-175, 159th in BA, and 15th in P5E500-550. He’s struggling with his current form as he’s missed five cuts in his last seven stroke play events. However, his two weekends resulted in third and fourth place finishes. He missed the cut in his only start here in 2012, but he finished 17th at the U.S. Open in 2014 at Pinehurst No. 2 another Donald Ross creation.
Ben Martin | $8,000 – Martin has teed it up at the Wyndham twice with one cut made – last year’s T10. He comes in off a second place finish at the JDC with a profile that isn’t perfect but his BOB% numbers are attractive (113th in SG:T2G,k 42nd in SG:P, 111th in P4E450-500, 35th in BOB%>200, 28th in BOB%150-175, 111th in BA, and 48th in P5E500-550).
Jason Dufner | $7,900 – Dufner’s profile works especially if you want to weight the par 4 scoring heavier than I am this week (28th in SG:T2G, 177th in SG:P, 44th in P4E450-500, 133rd in BOB%>200, 106th in BOB%150-175, 113rd in BA, and 73rd in P5E500-550). He’s made nine cuts in a row on Tour with four top 25s in that run. He’s four for six in cuts made at Sedgefield with a T7 in 2012 as his best finish.
Shane Lowry | $7,800 – Lowry has missed four cuts in a row as he makes his debut here this week. He’ll be low-owned, but his form is in the toilet.
Robert Garrigus | $7,700 – Garrigus feels like the safest play in this range which always concerns me. But, he’s five for six in cuts made at Sedgefield with his only missed cut last year and his only top 25 in 2013 (T11). He’s seventh in my model this week (29th in SG:T2G, 141st in SG:P, 86th in P4E450-500, fifth in BOB%>200, 35th in BOB%150-175, 130th in BA, and 13th in P5E500-550).
Billy Horschel | $7,600 – BillyHo is three for four at the Wyndham without a finish inside the top 30. However, he’s sixth in par 4 scoring in the key range for the week. His whole profile is solid overall (33rd in SG:T2G, 103rd in SG:P, sixth in P4E450-500, 120th in BOB%>200, 181st in BOB%150-175, 164th in BA, and 38th in P5E500-550).
Harris English | $7,500 – English comes in having made six cuts in a row with a profile that isn’t near the top of the charts (T31 last year, T10 in 2012). The profile isn’t elite (110th inSG:T2G, sixth in SG:P, 74th in P4E450-500, 73rd in BOB%>200, 140th in BOB%150-175, 98th in BA, and 97th in P5E500-550). He’s made the cut in both of his starts at the Wyndham and was T48 at the 2014 U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2.
Adam Hadwin | $7,400 – Hadwin debuted here last year with a T51 and hopes to better than as he looks to back up his T8 last week at the JDC. The putter is Hadwin’s calling card (14th in SG:P), but he’s also 17th in BOB%>200 so he has a puncher’s chance. He’s alternated made and missed cuts over his last five Tour events and has two top 15s in that run.
Jerry Kelly | $7,300 – Kelly is six for six in cuts made at the Wyndham with three top 20s including his T18 last year. He comes in off a missed cut last week where he was rostered heavily. The veteran is in middle of the pack in the stats model this week (79th in SG:T2G, 139th in SG:P, 74th in P4E450-500, 149th in BOB%>200, 149th in BOB%150-175, ninth in BA, and 121st in P5E500-550). He will probably be low-owned based on his disappointing work last week.
Danny Lee | $7,300 – Lee is 23rd in my stats model this week (41 st in SG:T2G, 156th in SG:P, 157th in P4E450-500, 37th in BOB%>200, 20th in BOB%150-175, 163rd in BA, and third in P5E500-550). He finished T20 in his debut here in 2008, but hasn’t had any success here since (two missed cuts in three other starts and a T71). He’s made 12 of his last 13 cuts, but his game has been inconsistent from round to round and within rounds which gives me a bit of concern. The risk seems to be priced in at this level to Lee is worth it in GPPs.
Scott Brown | $7,200 – Brown missed the cut at his first two starts at the Wyndham. And then….boom….a T3 last year. The statistical model doesn’t like him, but he has back to back top 25s on Tour coming in.
Chris Kirk | $7,200 – Kirk is 29th in my model this week and his par scoring is attractive (47th in SG:T2G, 83rd in SG:P, 51st in P4E450-500, 122nd in BOB%>200, 130th in BOB%150-175, 70th in BA, and 91st in P5E500-550).
Jason Kokrak | $7,100 – Kokrak is 21st in my statistical model for the week (42nd in SG:T2G, 169th in SG:P, 169th in P4E450-500, 23rd in BOB%>200, 22nd in BOB%150-175, 42nd in BA, and 77th in P5E500-550). However, he’s not done anything with that profile at Sedgefield as he’s made just one cut in three starts here finishing T73 in 2012. Kokrak has made four cuts in a row and five of his last six on Tour, but hasn’t seen the top 25 in that run.
Robert Streb | $7,100 – Did Streb disappoint you last week? I’m sure he did. But, that was last week. He’s two for two in cuts made at the Wyndham with a T37 and T18. The stats don’t like him though he’s 65 th in BOB%>200. He’ll be low-owned based on his struggles last week, but he’d made four of six cuts before last week with three top 25s.
Bud Cauley | $7,000 – Cauley finished T8 last week to the JDC and over 100 points on DK. Does he have another performance in him? I think so. The stats like him (45th in SG:T2G, 151st in SG:P, 62nd in P4E450-500, first in BOB%>200, 194th in BOB%150-175, 40th in BA, and second in P5E500-550). He’s made four cuts in a row and six of his last seven on Tour. He’s two for four in cuts made at the Wyndham with one top 10 (T3 in 2012).
Luke Donald | $7,000 – Donald finished T26 last year in his only trip to the Wyndham and enters with a middling profile (80th in SG:T2G, 80th in SG:P, 60th in P4E450-500, 177th in BOB%>200, 124th in BOB%150-175, 29th in BA, and 162nd in P5E500-550). He’s missed back to back cuts coming in and hasn’t seen the top 25 since the Valero.
Graham DeLaet | $6,900 – Must be that time of year again. It’s time for me to recommend DeLaet. I never recommend him, but he’s ninth in my model and he’s made three cut in his last four starts with two top 20s). He’s one for two in cuts made here with a T22 in 2012.
Martin Laird | $6,900 – Laird’s stats profile works for this week (91st in SG:T2G, 64th in SG:P, 37th in P4E450-500, 22nd in BOB%>200, 86th in BOB%150-175, 43rd in BA, and 149th in P5E500-550). He’s five for five in cuts made at the Wyndham with two top 20s (his last in 2014 when he finished T14). He’s made five weekends in a row on Tour with two top 10s.
Fredrik Jacobson | $6,700 – It’s about course history for Jacobson this week. Freddie is three for three in cuts made at Sedgefield with each finish in the top 20 including a T2 two years ago. The stats model doesn’t like him this week and his current form isn’t great outside of a T12 at the St. Jude a couple of months ago.
Kelly Kraft | $6,700 – Kraft looked great last week and he’s 36th in P4E450-500 on the season as he makes his debut here this week. He’s made three of four cuts on Tour coming in.
Graeme McDowell | $6,600 – This price seems low for G-Mac. I have nothing more to report as he debuts here.
Henrik Norlander | $6,600 – Did you know that Norlander has made nine straight cuts on Tour? Did you know he has back to back top 30 finishes on Tour coming into the Wyndham? Did you know he finished T16 in his only start here in 2013? Neither did I. His game does have some pieces to work with this week (112th in SG:T2G, 90th in SG:P, 148th in P4E450-500, 93rd in BOB%>200, 77th in BOB%150-175, 27th in BA, and 41st in P5E500-550).
Alex Cejka | $6,600 – Withdrew.
Geoff Ogilvy | $6,500 – I believe I told you to pass on Ogilvy last week and that did not work out. He’s made four of his last six cuts on Tour and has two top 20s in his last three events. The stats don’t fit as Ogilvy has played poorly nearly all year. He’s only played here once in 2013 and finished T37.
Jason Bohn | $6,400 – Bohn had 73.5 DK points and finished T56. He is two for four in cuts made with two top 15s in his first two starts here. If he’s rounding into form I’d like to be on the Bohn train and it looks like he may just be. Like Furyk, analyzing this year’s stats for Bohn is a mostly worthless endeavor.
Camilo Villegas | $6,400 – The Colombian is five for five in cuts made at the Wyndham and won in 2014. His record here He’s missed two cuts in a row on Tour and hasn’t finished in the top 25 since the Honda Classic in early 2016 and sits in the bottom of my stats model. Rostering Villegas is about course history.
Lucas Glover | $6,400 – Glover has made two cuts in his last five events, but I see an improved percentage of cuts made after this week. My model likes him (26th in SG:T2G, 161st in SG:P, 56th in P4E450-500, 61st in BOB%>200, 115th in BOB%150-175, fourth in BA, and 78th in P5E500-550) and has made five of eight cuts at the Wyndham with four top 25s.
Chez Reavie | $6,300 – Reavie is three for five in cuts made at the Wyndham with top 10s in his first two starts. He enters with four weekends in a row including one top 20. He’s 13 th in my model and offers excellent value in the cheap seats (24th in SG:T2G, 165th in SG:P, 48th in P4E450-500, 151st in BOB%>200, 12th in BOB%150-175, 10th in BA, and 119th in P5E500-550).
Steve Marino | $6,200 – I liked Marino a lot last week and he put up a T8. He’s four for five in cuts made at the Wyndham with a T10 in 2009 though the rest of his results aren’t great. He’s 51st in P4E450-500 and 11th in BOB%150-175, but the rest of the profile is poor.
John Huh | $6,100 – Huh finished in the top 20 in his first two starts at Sedgefield, but has finished T57 and T59 the last two years.
Sam Saunders | $6,100 – Saunders pounds the key par 4 distance (42nd) and finished T14 last year in his debut here. He’s struggled recently with a 75th place finish followed by a MC and withdrawal last week.
Abraham Ancer | $6,000 – Ancer is another par 4 specialist from 450 to 500 yards as he’s 54 th. He debuts here this week off his T27 at the JDC.
Kyle Reifers | $6,000 – Reifers is two for four in cuts made here and is 32 nd in my stats model. He’s alternated made and missed cuts over his last four events and has five top 25s in his last 10 events.
Cameron Smith | $6,000 – Par 4 scoring important? Check. Camron Smith in the field? Check. Roster Smith. The stats don’t like him (as they didn’t last week when he finished T22). He’s made two cuts in a row with that T22. He debuted here last year with a T18.
Chad Campbell | $6,000 – The veteran has made three of five cuts at this venue for the Wyndham and had a T4 in 2012. Campbell offers value down here as he is 24th in my statistical model for the week (34th in SG:T2G, 149th in SG:P, 82nd in P4E450-500, 84th in BOB%>200, 137th in BOB%150-175, 18th in BA, and 21st in P5E500-550). He had a string of six cuts made ended in his last event the Travelers, but that run included two top 15s and no finish outside the top 40.
Harold Varner | $5,900 –It seems like DK is pushing you to a stars and scrubs lineup this week with so many players below $6,000 and so much value in those players. HVIII is one of those valuable players below $6k. He makes his debut here and is 16th in my model this week (61st in SG:T2G, 173rd in SG:P, 64th in P4E450-500, 18th in BOB%>200, 50th in BOB%150-175, 156th in BA, and 15th in P5E500-550). He also grew up in North Carolina and played his college golf here as well.
Andrew Landry | $5,900 – Landry’s profile is intriguing in spots, but downright scary in others (182nd in SG:T2G, ninth in SG:P, 23rd in P4E450-500, 172nd in BOB%>200, eighth in BOB%150-175, 59th in BA, and 199th in P5E500-550). He debuts here off his best PGA Tour finish ever (T8 at the John Deere).
Tim Wilkinson | $5,900 – Is it time to jump back on the Wilkinson train? He missed the cut at the number last week and comes back with a solid profile again this week (93rd in SG:T2, 33rd in SG:P, second in P4E450-500, 184th in BOB%>200, 95th in BOB%150-175, 47th in BA, and 135th in P5E500-550). He missed the cut last year in his second start at the Wyndham and has missed four cuts in a row and five of his last six on Tour.
Matt Every | $5,800 – Every withdrew last year, but his other two results were a T5 and T14 in 2012 and 2013. Every took three months off and then came back last week with a missed cut at the JDC. No one will own him.
David Toms | $5,800 – Withdrew.
We have two old man value plays back to back. Toms’ profile sits at 31st in my model (72nd in SG:T2G, 47th in SG:P, 42nd in P4E450-500, 191st in BOB%>200, 25th in BOB%150-175, 48th in BA, and 165th in P5E500-550).
Justin Leonard | $5,800 – The old man is five for five at the Wyndham with four top 20 finishes including last year’s T14. Looks like he might be worth a flier in deeper GPP stars and scrubs lineups.
Luke List | $5,700 – List rounds out the top 25 in my statistical model for the week (35th in SG:T2G, 156th in SG:P, 91st in P4E450-500, 10th in BOB%>200, 158th in BOB%150-175, 66th in BA, and 83rd in P5E500-550). His only trip to Sedgefield ended in a missed cut in 2013. He finished T56 last week bouncing back from a missed cut at the Travelers. Prior to those two events he had back to back to 20s.
Michael Thompson | $5,700 – Thompson is three for three in cuts made at the Wyndham with his best finish in his debut with a T25. He’s stumbled in his last two tourneys as he’s missed the weekend both times after securing back to back top 15s. He’s 17th in my statistical model for the week on the strength of his 26 the place standing in P4E450-500 and first place in BOB%150-175
Chris Stroud | $5,700 – This seems far too cheap for Stroud. I don’t have much intelligent to say about him other than he seems cheap. The profile isn’t great, but it’s not the worst we’ll s this week (124th in SG:T2G, 65th in SG:P, 86th in P4E450-500, 159th in BOB%>200, 21st in BOB%150-175, 87th in BA, and 61st in P5E500-550). He’s only made two of seven cuts at this event with a top finish of T37.
Bryce Molder | $5,700 – Molder does well on the key par 4 range and the rest of the profile is good enough (92nd in SG:T2G, 10th in SG:P, 44th in P4E450-500, 163rd in BOB%>200, 74th in BOB%150-175, eighth in BA, and 102nd in P5E500-550) for him to succeed this week. Molder has made three of five cuts at the Wyndham with two top 20 finishes in those three weekends. His form has fallen off recently with three missed cuts and a T56 in his last four.
Brice Garnett | $5,600 – Garnett is one for two in cuts made here with a T32 two years ago. He’s 32nd in P4E450-500 this season, but has missed four cuts in a row coming in.
Martin Piller | $5,400 – Piller is 21st in P4E450-500 which means he’s worth a shot this week even if he’s struggled tee to green this year (189th). The putter (eighth in SG:P) keeps him going. He missed the cut in 2011 in his only start at the Wyndham. He’s missed seven cuts in a row on Tour.
Derek Ernst | $5,400 – I liked Ernst last week at $6,100 so $5,400 seems like a deal. He’s two for three in cuts made at the Wyndham with a T18 last year as his top finish. His stats don’t scream use him though He is 62nd in BOB%>200 which should be quite useful this week though the rest of his stats aren’t flattering. He’s made three cuts in a row on Tour and his game seems to be improving round by round.
Good luck this week! Head over to DraftKings to choose your squad for this week.
Roster size: 6 Golfers
Golfers on each team will accumulate points as follows:
- Per Hole Scoring
- Double Eagle (DBL EAG): +20 PTs
- Eagle (EAG): +8 PTs
- Birdie (BIR): +3 PTs
- Par (PAR): +0.5 PTs
- Bogey (BOG): -0.5 PTs
- Double Bogey (DBL BOG): -1 PT
- Worse than Double Bogey (WORSE DBL BOG): -1 PT
- Tournament Finish Scoring
- 1st: 30 PTs
- 2nd: 20 PTs
- 3rd: 18 PTs
- 4th: 16 PTs
- 5th: 14 PTs
- 6th: 12 PTs
- 7th: 10 PTs
- 8th: 9 PTs
- 9th: 8 PTs
- 10th: 7 PTs
- 11th–15th: 6 PTs
- 16th–20th: 5 PTs
- 21st–25th: 4 PTs
- 26th–30th: 3 PTs
- 31st–40th: 2 PTs
- 41st-50th: 1 PTs
- Streaks and Bonuses
- Streak of 3 Birdies of Better (MAX 1 Per Round) (3+ BIR STRK): +3 PTs
- Bogey Free Round (BOG FREE RD): +3 PTs
- All 4 Rounds Under 70 Strokes (ALL 4 RDS UND 70): +5 PTs
- Hole in One (HOLE IN ONE): +10 PTs
Scoring Notes: Ties for a finishing position will not reduce or average down points. For example, if 2 golfers tie for 3rd place, each will receive the 18 fantasy points for the 3rd place finish result. Playoff Holes will not count towards final scoring, with the exception of the “finishing position” scoring. For example, the golfer who wins the tournament will receive the sole award of 1st place points, but will not accrue points for their scoring result in the individual playoff holes.
Player Lock Notes: All golfers lock at the time the first golfer tees off on day 1 of an event.
Full rules are located here for DraftKings Daily Fantasy golf.