Fantasy Football

2011 Fantasy Football Draft Prep, Quarterbacks: Stafford Overrated Again?

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Matthew Stafford (credits below)

Over the past few months, fantasy gurus from all reaches of the Earth have knelt before the statue of a certain young quarterback whose team consists of one superstar receiver, one emerging young tight end and one second-year running back whose big toe drew more press last year than his stats.

Somewhere along that pilgrimage to His Holiness Matthew Stafford, the succulent aroma of his last two full games in the NFL — one barnburning performance against a ride-on-the-suck-stick Washington Redskins defense and a decent 2 TD performance against the Jets — have seduced most of us into passing on an emerging Sam Bradford and heroes-turned-table-scraps like Donovan McNabb and Matt Cassel.

I, sir, will not buy into the hype.

The St. Louis Rams' Sam Bradford had a better freshman season last year than Stafford did in 2009, and the talent of Bradford's top three receivers couldn't even come close to matching the ability you'd find in Calvin Johnson's left foot. In 16 games last season, Bradford had four games in which he threw multiple interceptions.  

Stafford's rookie season?  He threw multiple picks in five of the ten games in which he played. Throw in the fact that Bradford now is under the wing of quarterback savior Josh McDaniels, and you can make a strong case that Bradford could turn out a better season than Stafford.

In Yahoo leagues, Stafford is, on average, going in the 10th round, while Bradford is going two rounds later. In ESPN leagues, owners are taking both Bradford and Stafford in the 10th round.

Should you choose to stock up on WRs and RBs in the early and middle rounds, consider taking a chance on Sam Bradford's eskimo brother, Matt Cassel, who thrived under Josh McDaniel's instruction in New England. In his last 11 games last seasons, Cassel threw for 23 TDs and only 4 INTs. Those are solid numbers; far better than anything that Stafford has to offer.  

Sure, there are rumors that Charlie Weis’ departure has owners feeling a little antsy about Cassel, but that uneasiness should be equally matched by Stafford’s stomach-turning, Cutler-like 20 TD/24 INT performance in 2009. Cassel is going in the 13th round in Y! leagues, and he’s off the board in the 10th round of ESPN leagues.

Donovan McNabb may also be a decent pickup in late rounds.  He has an impact receiver in Percy Harvin, although there's not much else there in the Viking's receiving corps to be excited about. Adrian Peterson will keep defenses honest, but it remains to be seen whether or not McNabb can still sling it like he used to. In Y! leagues, McNabb is going in the 12th round, while ESPN owners are taking him in the 13th round.

Written by James Duren exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com

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(August 31, 2011 – Photo by Rick Stewart/Getty Images North America)


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Tags: 2011 Fantasy Football, Draft Kit, Quarterbacks, Fantasy Football Rankings, James Duren
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