2013 Fantasy Football: Gold Mine Week 11 – Manuel, Stewart, Holmes, Housler
HURRY! Time is running out!! With only four weeks left in most fantasy leagues, the walls are going to close pretty quickly on your season if they haven’t already. The great news for most (specifically in the leagues I am in) the level of talent league wide has been pretty identical and rarely have I seen a team purely dominate the ranks.
PS: I am in 12 leagues and of the 12 only 3 teams are 7 – 3 or higher, which either means the players I play with are beyond terrible or they are all so good that its nearly impossible to put together a dominate roster. There just happens to be a lot of parity in 2013.
Week 11 also marks a fairly easy Bye Week with only the Cowboys and Rams taking a much-needed rest. That leaves 30 teams suiting up this week with a handful of great talent ready to take you to the promise land.
Check out these guys who are owned in less than 25% of leagues that can help you win in week 11.
Case Keenum (HOU): Since Keenum (14.7%) took over the starting job from Matt Schaub (HOU) in week 7 he has been off to a blazing start. Case has completed nearly 60% of his passes while collecting 822 yards in the air and 7 touchdowns.. He certainly has had his fair share of easy match ups but that continues in week 11 with a home field game against Oakland. Oakland has given up the 26th most fantasy points to opposing QBs this year including a 59 point performance two weeks ago against Philly. With the injury to Arian Foster (HOU) look for the Texans to air it out a bit more in this one.
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EJ Manuel (BUF): The last time Manuel (10.6%) faced the Jets he went on for a 243 yard performance through the air and another 40 yards on the ground. He only scored once but his stat line totaled 21 fantasy points in their week 3 contest. Manuel was sidelined for a few weeks with a knee injury suffered in week 5 but returned last week to a 155 yards and a score. Manuel’s match up is favorable as the Jets have given up the 23rd most fantasy points to opposing QBs including two straight weeks of at least 23.
Bobby Rainey (TB): Are you asking yourself Rainey who? Of course you are, up until last week no one outside of the Buccaneers and some of the Browns front office even knew who Rainey (1.6%) was. After an injury that eventually caused Mike James (TB) his season Rainey and Brian Leonard (TB) came in to take on the workload. Now you may be asking why Rainey over Leonard? Well, a few reasons 1) Rainey’s 5.6 yards per carry on only 8 carries trumped Leonards 2.85 on 20 carries. 2) Despite Leonard rushing the ball 12 more times it was Rainey who was given the ball close enough o the end zone to score. Week 11 could easily have that flip flopped but either way the Falcons defense is an inept group currently ranked 21st in the league against opposing HBs.
Jonathan Stewart (CAR): I love Stewart (4.2%) in this weeks match up against the Pats. The Patriots have given up 21 points per game on average with at least 120 yards rushing in 4 of the last 5 weeks. Stewart coming off the PUP list over the last few weeks has increased week by week his total number of touches while both Mike Tolbert (CAR) and DeAngelo Williams (CAR) are decreasing in total number of carries. Williams was the one who found the end zone last week giving him the double-digit fantasy points but look for Stewart to finally be back to full strength with the extra day of rest heading into Monday Night.
Doug Baldwin (SEA): I would normally be sick of going back and forth with two separate WRs on the same team from week to week as it’s a complete crap shoot as to which one is the go to guy from one to the next. However, even with the inconsistency of finding the end zone either Baldwin (17.7%) or Golden Tate (SEA) is a great choice for any team missing a wide out. Prior to week 9, Baldwin had two straight weeks of only 1 catch each, but with the injury to Sidney Rice (SEA) and Percy Harvin (SEA) yet to return Baldwin has been the beneficiary. Although Baldwin failed to score in week 10 he did record 5 catches for 76 yards good for 12 fantasy points a decent number for any deep league or flex option. Harvin should be returning this week but it would be his first action not only with Seattle but since 2012 and while week 11 is against his former team my guess is Baldwin will keep his looks for at least one more week.
Santonio Holmes (NYJ): The last time we saw Holmes on the field for the entire game he reeled in 5 catches for 125 yards and a score, good for 26 fantasy points. That also just happened to be against his week 11 opponent Buffalo. His hamstring still has me worrisome but he has practiced this week and should make his return come Sunday. The Bills have had some holes of their own on the defensive side of the ball giving up at least 45 fantasy points to opposing wide outs 6 of their 10 contests with only one game under 30. Holmes will be hobbled throughout but once he gets going he will be a major target for Geno Smith (NYJ) and the Jets to get the ball down the field and in the end zone where it belongs.
Scott Chandler (BUF): Anyone seeing a pattern here? The Bills and Jets match up should be an offensive powerhouse. Now saying that of course I will jinx everyone. SMH! Last time Chandler (13.7%) faced the Jets he recorded 18 fantasy points finding the end zone once on 5 receptions and 79 yards. In perspective he has only scored one other time and has only 3 double-digit scoring out puts. The Jets are susceptible to a scoring TE giving up 3 in the previous 2 games and since week 5 they have given up a score or 100 yards in 4 of those match ups. Chandler caught 3 passes in week 10 but the Bills were behind big time early on forcing more down the field targets, look for Chandler and the Bills to move the ball a bit easier through the air this week giving Chandler more opportunities and more fantasy points.
Rob Housler (ARI): Housler (1.6%) recorded his first score of the season on Sunday in a 27-24 win over the Texans. Housler caught 4 passes only the third time he has had that many in a game all year for 57 yards the second time in just 3 weeks with at least 53. Housler is getting more looks in Arizona and this week the Cardinals face the 2nd worst defense against opposing TEs, the Jaguars. The Jags have given up a score to opposing TEs in all but 3 games this year with 2 last week. Look for the Cardinals to take advantage of this and get the ball to Housler pretty early on in this one.
Four games left! That’s it for most of you. Some may have a 5th game, and even worse some of you may only have 3 if you fall into the latter category you need to hurry now to make sure you stay relevant in the final weeks. You could as easily make the right move as you could the wrong one. Keep your head above water, make these right moves and win make the playoffs.
Statistics and Percentages taken from ESPN in PPR leagues.
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