Daily Fantasy Hockey Strategy: DraftKings & FanDuel Value Picks, January 14th
The Fix always has a full breakdown of significant NHL slates for our Front Office subscribers, but now we’re also going to be highlighting a few value plays for everyone on most days with big NHL slates. Below you’ll find three or four players who are cheap and undervalued in today’s DraftKings contests.
If you’d like to read our full breakdown of tonight’s slate, complete with player rankings, you can become a Front Office member or purchase today’s breakdown individually here.
Matt Nieto—San Jose Sharks–$2700
The best barging bin play on DraftKings is Matt Nieto. The 23-year-old is expected to play on the second line with Justin Williams and Patrick Marleau. He’s had a difficult season up till now—registering just nine points (5G, 4A) in 38 games—but his matchup against the Oilers tonight is a good one, making Nieto’s upside worth the risk. All the Long Beach native needs is one point to hit value, which isn’t impossible to do. With so many high priced options tonight, Nieto offers both salary relief and high upside. Start him with confidence.
Sergey Kalinin—New Jersey Devils–$2600
Even against a terrible puck-possession team like the Avalanche, the Devils aren’t really worth a look. Their offence is already pretty bad, and without Mike Cammalleri—their only real dangerous goal scorer—it’s even worse. Yet despite all that, Sergey Kalinin is worth a look if you need a dirt-cheap option on the wing. The Russian has eight points (5G, 3A) in 42 games so far this season and will get a chance to play on the Devils (so called) top line with Travis Zajac and Kyle Palmieri. I can’t guarantee that he will score tonight, but he may be able to pick up a point with 2-3 shots, and then he’d be gold. It’s a real risk/reward with Kalinin, but it may just pay off for those brave enough to roster him.
Connor Hellebuyck—Winnipeg Jets–$6800
I know what you’re asking yourself; how can Hellebuyck be considered a value play? Well, accord to FanDuel, these goalies are “better” than Hellebuyck tonight:
- Ben Scrivens ($7000)
- Richard Bachman ($7000)
- Ondrej Pavelec ($7200)
- Reto Berra ($7600— LOL)
- Philipp Grubauer ($7600)
FanDuel has never been great with pricing, but this is absolutely criminal. The Jets rookie is the best goalie to roster tonight in terms of value. The Predators offense on the road has been terrible and Pekka Rinne can’t seem to stop a beach ball. Even if Hellebuyck loses, it won’t be because he got blown open, it will probably be because he team didn’t score enough goals (which I don’t see happening). Make life easy tonight, start the Jets goalie and move on to bigger, more important things in life.
Tomas Hertl—San Jose Sharks–$3700
I’m trying to find a reason not to play Hertl on FanDuel tonight, but I can’t find one. The left-winger is expected to play on a line with Joe Thornton and captain Joe Pavelski. Like Nieto, Hertl has a great matchup, probably even better than Nieto. The Oilers coughed up a 3-1 lead to the Coyotes two nights ago and lost in OT 4-3. Their goaltending situation isn’t great, and I expect San Jose tot take full advantage of that, even if they are a middle-of-the-pack scoring team. Hertl offers both salary relief and the ability to score goals. I wouldn’t be shocked if he picks up more than one point tonight.
Nick Holden—Colorado Avalanche–$3000
Holden is a great play tonight on both Fanduel and DraftKings, but I really like him on Fanduel because he’s minimum price. The Devils probably won’t score many goals tonight, so the fear of Holden finishing minus-3 isn’t a problem. The Alberta native is paired with Tyson Barrie both five-on-five and on the power play. The Avalanche may not score many goals either if Corey Schneider gets the start, but all Holden needs is one point to hit value. He’s a bargain bin play that offers some upside and allows DFS players to fit Burns/Pavelski in the same lineup. Roll with the 28-year-old and wait for the empty net assist to come.