Another week of PGA Daily Fantasy picks for DraftKings as we head to the AT&T Byron Nelson at the TPC Four Seasons Resort. I had a lot of the right guys last week, but didn’t match them together so I ended up struggling overall last week. However, I’m back again to provide daily fantasy golf picks for DraftKings’ PGA game.

It’s a great week to check out DraftKings as they have some top notch contests. Come on over and take a look.

Tour Stop

This week we tee it up for the AT&T Byron Nelson at the TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas. The pros will head to the TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas Course. The course underwent major renovations in 2007 so any data prior to 2007 isn’t useful. The Las Colinas is a par 70 track that runs 7,166 yards.

The weather for this week looks a lot like last week with relatively high temperatures and the chance for thunderstorms every day. Keep checking back to see if the rain becomes more of a reality. .

Scorecard breakdown: Four (4) par threes, twelve (12) par fours and two (3) par fives. As with Colonial last week, we have only two par fives and so the scoring will come on par 4s this week.

Field

We are back to a full field this week (though a bit short of the max 156). Three of the top 10 in OWGR (Jordan Spieth, Jason Day and Dustin Johnson are here), but it’s thin after that with only 10 of the top 25 here in total.

The full field can be found here.

Thanks to GolfOdds.com for the odds this week. If you’d like to see a second set of odds, check out the Betting Zone’s odds here – just click on this week’s tournament on the left hand pane.

Past Tournament Results

2014 Winner: Brendon Todd picked up his inaugural PGA Tour win with four rounds in the 60s and sat atop the leaderboard at the end of the last three rounds. He defeated Mike Weir (yes, it’s true) who finished second. Todd was the fourth winner in the last five years to make the Byron Nelson his first PGA Tour victory.

Todd ended up first in driving accuracy, first in strokes gained: putting and first in scrambling. He also holed out four shots in the four rounds. In 2013, winner Sang-Moon Bae was T39 in driving accuracy, second in strokes gained: putting and 17th in scrambling.

Statistical Review

The renovation after the 2007 even has made the course a bit tighter and brought trees into play along the fairways. The profile will be similar to last week’s tournament. And with only two par fives, scoring is going to have to come from somewhere else (psst….par fours!)

GIR – Get onto the fairway, get to the green, putt. Repeat.

Scrambling – The top three scramblers last year finished first, T5 and T7. You can’t hit every fairway here so you’ll need a good short game to make it work especially if you can’t find the fairway regularly.

Strokes Gained: Putting – This stat should be on your radar every week, but I’ll put extra emphasis on it this week as the greens are relatively large, but do require skill to navigate.

Proximity to the hole – The leaders in this stat the last two years both finished in third.

Par 4 Scoring – There are only two par fives, so players will need to pick up strokes on the 12 par 4s. You can do well without it as Dustin Johnson showed last year going 7 under on par 3s, 7 under on par 5s and 6 over on par 4s on his way to a T7.

Driving Accuracy – It’s a tight course. The players need to keep the ball on the course and they won’t have much fairway to work with.

As always, you should examine Strokes Gained: Putting and Strokes Gained: Tee to Green every week.

DraftKings Expert Picks

Pricing is tight this week. Tight! Paying up for one of the big three will be tough this week, though Jason Day is always an option in my book.

Jordan Spieth | $13,300 – If you can cobble a lineup with Spieth in it, be my guest. I’m going to be off him this week His record is OK here with four made cuts in four trips, but only one top 20 (in his inaugural visit as a 16 year old). He’s one of the best golfers on the planet, but I don’t see a compelling reason to use him this week with such tight pricing.

Dustin Johnson | $12,700 – A better argument can be made for Johnson than Spieth based on his course history at the Byron Nelson. He’s played here on and off, but when he has he’s made the cut (five for five) and been in the top 10 three times. He doesn’t fit the profile, but he succeeded last year by mashing par 3s and par 5s.

Jason Day | $11,200 – I can’t seem to quit Day. He’s the third highest priced player this week, but offers some savings from Jordan Spieth and Dustin Johnson and I think Day has the best shot to win this week. He has an excellent history here with a win in 2010 and no finish lower than T27 in his four trips with three top 10 finishes. He’s 18th in GIR, 31st in scrambling, and 30th in SG: Putting. He missed the cut at THE PLAYERS his last time out, but he’s not that far removed from a T4 at the Zurich Classic. Day withdrew on Wednesday.

Brandt Snedeker | $10,000 – Snedeker’s first trip to the renovated Las Colinas was last year and he promptly bombed out and missed the cut. After missing the cut at THE PLAYERS he roared back for a T2 last week at the Crowne Plaza (his only trek to Texas this season). His game sets up well as he’s third in both scrambling and SG: Putting so far this year and a healthy 25th in proximity. He might be a tad expensive without any history to speak of, but he bounced back well last week and should do well on this short, tight track.

Ian Poulter | $9,600 – Poulter is a bit more expensive than I’d like to see, but his statistical profile is second to none. He’s 38th in GIR, 17th in scrambling, 18th in SG: Putting and 25th in proximity to rank first in my analysis. He hasn’t played here since 2009 so we don’t have any recent history to attach ourselves to. He has made nine straight cuts with his last miss at Pebble Beach. Poulter withdrew on Wednesday.

Matt Kuchar |$9,500 – Kuchar is seven for seven in cuts made at the Byron Nelson and has three top 15 finishes in the last four years. He’s been a bit up and down lately with a missed cut his last time out at THE PLAYERS, but a solo fifth at the RBC. His history is tough to ignore and his fifth place standing in scrambling and sixth in SG: Putting make him an option outside of the top players.

Zach Johnson | $9,400 – This is Johnson’s first trip to the renovated Las Colinas so I’m going to tread cautiously. Then, staring at his 164th spot in SG: Putting gives me pause. He’s a fine player, but this just doesn’t seem like a course that fits his game. And at this price, I don’t want to risk it for someone who hasn’t seen the course before.

Jimmy Walker | $9,400 – Honorary Texan (went to Baylor, lives in San Antonio though he was born in Oklahoma). He’s six of seven in cuts made since the renovation at Las Colinas. His form has cratered since his win at Valero (in Texas dontcha know?) with no finish better than his T38 at the Masters in four tourneys. He’s first in SG: Putting so he’s got a puncher’s chance this week when paired with this 40th place standing in GIR.

Ryan Palmer | $9,200 – Palmer crushed me and many others last week with his missed cut at his member course. But, that’s no reason to jump off him this week. After the renovations, he struggled and failed to make the cut three straight years. But, then he fired off four straight weekends including two top 10s and another top 25 finish. He’s off back to back missed cuts so he’s likely not at the top of many minds.

Gary Woodland | $9,200 – Woodland is a bomber who is just a wee bit inaccurate off the tee. You might expect he wouldn’t succeed on a track like Las Colinas. However, his history says otherwise as he’s made five straight cuts (though only one top 10). He’s probably a bit too expensive for my liking this week, but I could see him pulling a Dustin Johnson and overpowering the course.

Justin Thomas | $9,200 – If you have a ton of starts left for Spieth, I’m fine with taking him this week, but I’m going to be off him. His record is OK here with four made cuts in four trips, but only one top 20 (in his inaugural visit as a 16 year old). He’s one of the best golfers on the planet, but I want to keep my Spieth starts for later. Obviously, Speith and Thomas are both young, but that’s about it. So, what I meant to say about Thomas was…Of course he’s never played here before – we say that nearly every week for this impressive Tour rookie. His profile fits the course with a 55th place in GIR, 79th in scrambling, 68th in SG: Putting and 12th in proximity. He’s made five straight cuts with three top 15 finishes in that time. He was one for two in the earlier Texas tourneys though did pick up a T10 at Innisbrook which some see as a similar set up to Las Colinas.

Harris English | $9,000 – English is one for two in cuts made with a T17 in 2013. He’s been up and down lately missing his last two cuts in stroke play events. But, he was T30 at Valero and T10 at the Valspar so he can perform here as well. His profile fits as well with a 21st in GIR, 23rd in scrambling, and 26th in SG: Putting

Marc Leishman | $8,800 – Leishman has made four straight cuts and not finished outside of the top 30 in any of them. He’s made five of six cuts at the Byron Nelson with three top 10 finishes including two in the last three years. He’s finished in the top 15 each of the last three years.

Brendon Todd  | $8,600 – Todd missed the cut the first two times he teed it up here. Then, he went T17 and WIN last year. However, his win was punctuated by four hole outs and sat T55 in GIR for the week, but scrambled like mad. It was perfect storm I don’t see repeating this year. He’s a solid value for a top 20, but don’t expect much more.

Charles Howell III | $8,500 – Howell has three top 20 finishes in his last four years at the Byron Nelson. He comes in cool since his T5 at the SHO (in Texas, eh) with two missed cuts in four stops. He was also T10 this year at Innisbrook (a comparable course).

Charl Schwartzel | $8,500 – Schwartzel’s record here is short, but impressive with a solo third and T11 in his only two trips the last two years. His current form is OK having missed the cut last time out at the Wells Fargo. His best finish on the PGA Tour this year in a stroke play event was a T38 at the Masters. So, his history says yes, his form says not so much. At this price, I feel there are better options like the next three players…

Charley Hoffman | $8,400 – Hoffman is a Texan so he’s on the radar. He’s 40th in GIR and 91st in scrambling. Hoffman has made four of six cuts since the renovations including two top 10 finishes. He’s made seven straight cuts with his last cut missed in mid-March at the Valspar.

Rory Sabbatini | $8,400 – He’s made four of seven cuts at the Byron Nelson since the renovations were made after the 2007 event including a win. He’s been up and down recently (mostly down), but has two top 10 finishes in this last three events including the T10 last week at the Crowne. He also fits our statistical model nicely with his standing at 20th in GIR, 34th in scrambling, 96th in SG: Putting and 36th in proximity.

Keegan Bradley | $8,400 – Bradley won here in 2011 and has made the cut in each of his four trips never finishing lower than 29th. He missed the cut at THE PLAYERS in his last time out, but form generally doesn’t matter when he visits the Byron Nelson.

John Huh | $8,300 – Huh has put up back to back top 20 finishes at the Byron Nelson in the last two years. He’s 21st in scrambling and 23rd in SG: Putting so he’s got the tools to tame Las Colinas. He’s been hit or miss this year, but he’s made the cut in all three other Texas tourneys with two top 20s so….

Danny Lee | $8,200 – Lee has played here sporadically, but he’s got two top 10s in his three trips to the Byron Nelson. And he comes in playing well with four cuts made in his last five tour stops with back to back top 15 finishes. He’s 42nd in SG: Putting and 72nd in scrambling so he has some of the tools to succeed.

Tony Finau | $8,100 – Finau is a bomber who does a pretty good job getting to the green (66th in GIR) in a timely fashion. He also has back to back top 20s, so if the rain kicks in he might be an option in an all-bomber lineup as he’s second in driving distance on tour this year.

Daniel Berger | $8,100 – If you want Justin Thomas for a bit cheaper, check out fellow rookie Mr. Berger who sits one spot behind Thomas statistically for the week. Berger is 17th in GIR, 39th in scrambling, and 58th in proximity. He does struggle with the flat stick a bit (109th). He’s alternated made and missed cuts in his last four starts.

Jerry Kelly | $7,900 – Kelly was always seen as a bit of a plodder making cuts, but never really challenging the leaders week in and week out. That’s changed over the last month after he missed four straight cuts. He’s put up four straight cuts made and each of them in the top 25. Since the renovations, he’s made the cut three of four times with just one top 25. He’s fourth in scrambling, 29th in SG: Putting and 17th in proximity so he should be set up for another solid outing.

Russell Henley | $7,900 – Henley has made 12 of 13 cuts on the season on the back of his putting (seventh in SG: Putting currently). He’s not teed it up here previously, but that shouldn’t hurt him. He’s also nine spots lower in salary than his odds to win the tournament implies so he’s got value oozing in every direction. His only other Texas stop this year ended up with a solo fourth at the SHO.

Patrick Rodgers | $7,900 – A GPP only play for me with his high volatility. You just don’t know what you’re going to get. He’s never played this tournament. His T2 at the Wells Fargo came out of nowhere as he was struggling on the Web.com tour.

Nick Watney | $7,800 – Watney has missed four of his last five cuts on tour with this only weekend ending in a T25 at the SHO. He’s only played here twice since the renovations, but he’s made the cut both times. There is more value in this neighborhood so you shouldn’t have to bother with Watney whose price tag is 16 spots higher than the odds say it should be

Brooks Koepka | $7,700 – Koepka comes back from Europe to tee it up at the Byron Nelson. He missed the cut here last year in his only time out on this course. However, he’s 14th in SG: Putting and 69th in GIR. Interestingly, he’s not a great overall scrambler, but his 13 for 13 (and in first) on the European Tour in sand saves and has some other intriguing scrambling stats on the PGA Tour (45th from the fringe, 14th from the rough, and seventh from > 30 yards).

Sang-Moon Bae | $7,700 – Bae won in 2013 and missed the cut in 2014 representing the alpha and the omega in just two years here. He’d made four cuts in a row prior to missing the cut at the Crowne Plaza last week. I don’t think he’ll catch lightning in a bottle twice.

Louis Oosthuizen | $7,500 – This is a little bit of cheating as Oosty isn’t necessarily overpriced, but he’s a big risk as he withdrew with a neck injury last week and I wouldn’t touch him this week.

Graham DeLaet | $7,400 –   ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

J.J. Henry | $7,300 – Henry lives in Fort Worth, Texas and played his college golf at TCU (also in Ft. Worth). In 2012, he led the Byron Nelson by one shot with two to play. He double bogeyed 17 and finished in third two shots behind eventual winner Jason Dufner.

Cameron Smith $7,200 – I’m smitten with the young Aussie (he’s just 21 years old). He finished fifth in the Asian Tour Order of Merit in 2014 and had seven top 10s in nine starts on the tour. He had four wins as an amateur including the 2013 Australian Amateur Championship. He was 14th in GIR on the Asian Tour last year. He put up at T15 at the RBC and a T43 at the Zurich. Aussies seem to play well in Texas.

George McNeill | $7,100 – McNeill’s current form is spectacular as he’s on a run of seven straight cuts made and 11 of his last 12. He’s coming in off his best finish of the season with a T5 at Colonial. He’s only made three of six cuts here, but his form can’t be ignored. McNeill withdrew on Wednesday.

Morgan Hoffmann | $7,000 – It is rare to see a variance this large this close to the top of the odds board. Hoffmann has the 18th best chance of winning, but rates only the 77th most expensive golfer this week. He’s been top 20 in his only two trips to the Byron Nelson. He’s made five of six cuts and has been in the top 30 in four of those five. He’s a standout putter (24th in SG: Putting) and is a solid 53rd in proximity.

Will Wilcox | $7,000 – Wilcox is the guy you ignore until you run the stats and see him sitting third behind Ian Poulter and Jordan Spieth. So, you check again. He was T33 at the Valspar so you can hang your hat on that. He debuted last year with a T78. You have to believe in the profile to roster him this week.

Boo Weekley | $7,000 – Weekley’s putting looked solid in the early going last week so there is hope he can make his way around the course this week where putting will be at a premium. He’s solid statistically across the board (72nd in GIR, 74th in scrambling, 85th in SG: Putting, and 53rd in proximity. He was T5 here last year, his best finish in three trips.

Jason Dufner | $6,900 – Dufner has lost weight and a wife in the last 12 months. However, he hasn’t lost his game. He won here in 2012 and has made the cut each of the last four years at the Byron Nelson with two top 10 finishes. He is fourth in proximity which should help this week which should help as he builds on his recent work (seven of nine cuts made on tour).

D.A. Points | $6,800 – Points missed the cut here last year, but had made five in a row until that stumble. He’d finished in the top 20 four of those five trips. He’s missed four of five cuts coming into this week, but his only weekend saw him pick up a T12 at the Zurich. Points sits 32nd in scrambling, 75th in SG: Putting and 45th in proximity so he’s got some tools to work with. He’s a horse for course bet down here in the weeds.

Jim Herman | $6,600 – Herman comes in on quite a little run with four straight made cuts and two top 15 finishes in that time frame. He’s averaged a tidy 81.5 DraftKings’ points over those four tournaments as well. He sits first overall in GIR, 46th in proximity and a reasonable 97th in scrambling.

Colt Knost | $6,600 – The man of small stature stood big last week and there is hope for him again this week. He’s 42nd in GIR and 58th in SG: Putting so if he can read these greens he might be able to match his best start here (a T21 in 2013).

Kyle Reifers | $6,300 – Reifers had been a bargain for most of this season if you could pick when he’d make a cut. He’s 12 of 18 in cuts made this season. In his last 13 tournaments, he’s missed eight cuts and picked up four top 25s including back to back T11s in Texas (where’s this week’s tour stop again?) at the Valero and SHO. He was T56 in his only time here after the renovations.

DraftKings Scoring

Roster size: 6 Golfers

POINT SCORING

Golfers on each team will accumulate points as follows:

• Per Hole Scoring
  • Double Eagle (DBL EAG): +20 PTs
  • Eagle (EAG): +8 PTs
  • Birdie (BIR): +3 PTs
  • Par (PAR): +0.5 PTs
  • Bogey (BOG): -0.5 PTs
  • Double Bogey (DBL BOG): -1 PT
  • Worse than Double Bogey (WORSE DBL BOG): -1 PT
• Tournament Finish Scoring
  • 1st: 30 PTs
  • 2nd: 20 PTs
  • 3rd: 18 PTs
  • 4th: 16 PTs
  • 5th: 14 PTs
  • 6th: 12 PTs
  • 7th: 10 PTs
  • 8th: 9 PTs
  • 9th: 8 PTs
  • 10th: 7 PTs
  • 11th–15th: 6 PTs
  • 16th–20th: 5 PTs
  • 21st–25th: 4 PTs
  • 26th–30th: 3 PTs
  • 31st–40th: 2 PTs
  • 41st-50th: 1 PTs
• Streaks and Bonuses
  • Streak of 3 Birdies of Better (MAX 1 Per Round) (3+ BIR STRK): +3 PTs
  • Bogey Free Round (BOG FREE RD): +3 PTs
  • All 4 Rounds Under 70 Strokes (ALL 4 RDS UND 70): +5 PTs
  • Hole in One (HOLE IN ONE): +10 PTs

Scoring Notes: Ties for a finishing position will not reduce or average down points. For example, if 2 golfers tie for 3rd place, each will receive the 18 fantasy points for the 3rd place finish result. Playoff Holes will not count towards final scoring, with the exception of the “finishing position” scoring. For example, the golfer who wins the tournament will receive the sole award of 1st place points, but will not accrue points for their scoring result in the individual playoff holes.

Player Lock Notes: All golfers lock at the time the first golfer tees off on day 1 of an event.

Full rules are located here for DraftKings golf.