2013 Fantasy BaseballFantasy Baseball

2013 Fantasy Baseball Peaks and Valleys: Believe Me, or Not

Feedback is what drives me.

 I enjoy being able to talk and write fantasy baseball articles. I also feel like the only way to improve is to hear and read what fans and fantasy players think of what I publish. With that being said, it is up to you to use discretion.

 No one is perfect, but heck if I am not close (lies). All of us have made predictions that were spot on or spot off. A lot of my predictions are made using statistics, analysis from experts in stuff beyond my capacity, and actual game footage. Then there are those that are just hunches. Case in point, Clay Buchholz.

 Buchholz has had an amazing start to the 2013 season, and I know advising fantasy owners to trade or consider trading him sounds ludicrous. I just do not see him sustaining a near 3:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio, a .184 batting average against, or his health. With only two seasons of 25-plus starts, I have a feeling a DL stint or two are approaching.

If Buchholz pitches well all season, great. He will do so for an opponents’ team.

 I hope to provoke some more strong feelings with this week’s players I see peaking and dipping into the valley.

Peaking

 Daniel Nava, Outfielder, Boston Red Sox: Buchholz owners can thank Nava for putting Boston ahead for good Saturday. With the uncertainty surrounding playing time in the outfield with the return of David Ortiz, it is tough to recommend Nava with full certainty. Even with the questions surrounding his playing time, who knows if the power is here to stay? Subtract his four bombs in 2013, and Nava has six in his 267 career at-bats. At worse, he is a good addition until Boston manager decides on how to handle left field playing time.

 Lorenzo Cain, Outfielder, Kansas City Royals: I think Cain is finally comfortable at the big league level. His defense has always been his calling card, but the offense was a work in progress. Being traded for Zack Greinke also put the prospect under the microscope. Cain may never hit 30 home runs, but is a sure bet to be a 20/20 player, which adds up to fantasy ownership.

 Wade Davis, Starting Pitcher, Kansas City Royals: I got a chance to watch six of his seven innings against Atlanta from earlier last week, and I was impressed. Davis has revived the trust of me as a fantasy owner and fan in trusting his off-speed pitches. He shut down the hottest team so far this season, and may have just needed a change of scenery after a rocky start to his career in Tampa Bay.

It seems like pitcher Jose Quintana is keeping the White Sox in every game he pitches. In a little under one season, he has become a nice lefty in Chicago, and a great spot starter in fantasy. Lucas Duda is mashing. If anyone decides to get on base in front of him, then Duda could finally get some better RBI totals to match his five homers.

In the Valley

 Brandon Crawford, Shortstop, San Francisco Giants: Crawford is doing everything offensively that he has not done so far in his short career: hit for power and average. I am calling his bluff. Crawford is a hot add, but as I said last week with John Buck, let somebody else drop a proven fantasy player starting slow to add the streaky shortstop. That is when you can strike.

 Bronson Arroyo, Starting Pitcher, Cincinnati Reds: If mediocrity was the spice of life, Bronson Arroyo would be king. Arroyo is a pitcher to avoid in roto leagues because he rarely produces eye-opening or special starts. His 5.33 K/BB ratio is absurdly high for him, and can be attributed to facing inconsistent offenses. Arroyo will get wins pitching for a solid Reds team, but depending on what categories your league values and uses, he should be considered a spot starter, if that.

 Colby Rasmus, Outfielder, Toronto Blue Jays: Rasmus falls into the category of great prospects that turned into an okay major league player. Okay major leaguers are to be avoided in fantasy. He is owned in a fair amount of leagues still, so if you have him, look elsewhere. Rasmus is too streaky to have and play with the hopes that he does not peeve off manager John Gibbons enough to be bench. His play in St. Louis was largely the reason for his trade up north, but most do not know how bad Rasmus’ attitude was.

I have always been fair-weather on Jhonny Peralta because of the letter ‘H’ placement, but his offense is just as erratic as his defense. Unfortunately, shortstop is a thin position, so keep him stashed until some mild consistency happens. Edward Mujica and Joaquin Benoit have been spotted getting saves. As with all closers, heed caution.

Follow me @jeffrotull44 for more sports and entertainment ramblings. That is also where fantasy questions can be answered.

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2 Comments

  1. Brett
    April 22, 2013 at 8:54 am

    note: John Farrell is no longer the Jays manager, John Gibbons is at the helm

  2. April 22, 2013 at 9:40 am

    Not and changed. Thanks, Brett.