2013 Fantasy Baseball, Week 6 Peaks and Valleys: Taking Chances
Not every fantasy team has the luxury of getting exceptional play from the majority of their team. I know I have fallen into that category, and it is time to consider making some changes.
The options available for you are to try to swing a trade, or pick up someone from the waiver wire. If selection two is more of your taste, then it may be time to take a chance on someone. More often than not, the player you take a chance on is off the radar, or just showing signs of consistent, reliable production.
It is important to note that taking a chance could be a double-edged sword. On one hand, you pick up a guy and he fails to improve you roster. The player you drop, on the other hand, figures out how to bust his slump or pitching woes, gets picked up by another team, and leaves you good job, good-effort-ing your decision. Fingers crossed that any decision on waivers does not go that way, but if it does all you can do is shake it off.
With that being said, do not go crazy dropping a star or better than average player who is mired in struggles or slumps (I see you Washington Nationals pitching staff). All stars and the like deserve the benefit of the doubt unless things are bleak in a few weeks.
Peaking
Nolan Arenado, Third Baseman, Colorado Rockies: The highly-touted prospect had an impressive series this past weekend against the Tampa Bay Rays, including a grand slam against David Price. The run production could be suspect going forward, but since his first game April 28th, Arenado has been held hitless only twice. Being bumped to the second spot in the batting order should get him a few better pitches with CarGo and Tulo to follow.
Justin Grimm, Starting Pitcher, Texas Rangers: Grimm had a rough call-up in 2012. Really, really, rough. What he has done in 2013 is adapt and change and the returns so far are fantasy worthy. Grimm’s K/BB ratio is a healthy three, and his ability to leave runners on base has been more than acceptable. I got to see a portion of his start against the White Sox this past week and saw his worst start of the season. Even with four walks and ten base runners total, he held the Sox to three runs. Playing in Arlington can be a daunting task, but I like his chances of succeeding.
Jeremy Guthrie, Starting Pitcher, Kansas City Royals: Cy Guthrie has had one start to not like all season. In six starts, he has four wins, no losses, and has pitched at least six innings each start on the bump. Since being traded to K.C., Guthrie has been a rock for a much-improved rotation. The Royals offense should be consistently above average, so as long as Guthrie stays in long enough to get a win, he should be a viable starter on the back end
Jason Hammel has me believing he can win consistently, if unspectacularly. Michael Saunders saw his stock drop with a DL stint. I know those that dropped him may be scrambling to pick him back up.
In the Valley
Ryan Raburn, Second Baseman/Outfielder, Cleveland Indians: What an unreal week by a guy trying to stick. Going forward, he will be more of the guy trying to stick than the one putting together good weeks. Raburn is hitting a whopping 85 points higher than his career average thanks in large part to the past week. If you had him for any part of the past week, congrats! Now sell high!
Kevin Gregg, Relief Pitcher, Chicago Cubs: This can be broken down into three parts. 1). Do not trust a closer. 2). Do not trust a closer on a bad team. Chances few and far between. 3). It’s Kevin Gregg! Remember the last time he was a consistent closer? Me neither.
James Loney, First Baseman, Tampa Bay Rays: I really liked him the first couple of years in L.A. Had a lot of Derrek Lee in his ability to make contact and add power when needed. He is hitting well above his career average, but I feel he is only an add if your first basemen are out with injury. Loney is splitting time and cannot be expected as a plug-in on a team looking for power. Fingers crossed I am wrong.
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