Fantasy Basketball 2013: The Gift of Swag
Tis’ the season of giving, so we’re giving you three players to target for the Christmas night games, as well as going forward through the rest of the season.
Jeremy Lin
There’s a high likelihood that in any Roto league, Lin won’t be available. For daily leagues, however, Lin’s basically going to get the green light to push turbo and punch his ticket back to fantasy relevance.
He’s had a relatively quiet season, in between injuries and settling into being the first guard off the bench behind James Harden and Patrick Beverley, but the numbers for his strongest games have some looking back to Linsanity levels.
His shooting splits are massive at 50/38/79 – ultimately so high that he’ll invariably come down to earth at some point, but even if they drop slightly to his career averages of 45/34/79, he’s not going to hurt you too badly there.
His shot selection has improved out of necessity, as he’s now looked at as the back-up to the defensively gifted but still offensively challenged Beverley, but if he can keep getting 28-30 minutes he’ll continue to be a fantasy asset.
The team has struggled to stay healthy all season, with Chandler Parsons and the aforementioned Harden and Beverley all struggling to stay on the floor. He had back to back 30 point games already this season, knocking down 9-15 threes in a start at Philadelphia and registering 20 points in his last start against the Mavericks.
It’s safe to assume that with Aaron Brooks as his back-up he’ll be getting big minutes which means big stats. Case in point, Lin’s played 11 games this season of at least 30 minutes, producing 20.1 points, 3.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.3 steals and 2 threes a night, along with 54/79 splits.
He won’t put up those top 30 numbers, but you can expect him to get 30-35 minutes a night as long as Beverley’s out, so pencil in 16-4-7 and a load of threes.
Mirza Teletovic
Brook Lopez’s foot injury is a killer to both Nets’ fans and fantasy owners alike, as his roto-fantasy game was carrying top 30 value, despite the team struggling to get to .500 for the season.
It’s a small sample size for the stretch four from Bosnia and Herzegovina, but the signs point towards a semi-decent option for those needing short-term (with potential long term) quality from the PF/C spot.
He’s played at least 30 minutes three times this season, putting up averages of 14.7 points, 7 rebounds and 1.7 assists, while knocking down a massive 3 threes a night. Those are unsustainable numbers – most likely – but it’s nothing to snooze at, especially if Jason Kidd opts to have more floor spacing by starting Teletubby Teletovic.
Kevin Garnett has been flat out awful this season, taking a huge step down in every major category after proving doubters wrong last year by putting up another productive campaign. Reggie Evans is a one trick pony and that trick (rebounding and bad free throw shooting) is generally readily available any time in waivers, so he’s probably not going to be starting especially after registering just 36/57 splits. Andrei Kirilenko is banged up and is returning soon from his back spasms, but it’s anyone’s guess how he’ll go and whether he’ll even play PF.
The best money is to take the guy who can put points on the board and out of the four players mentioned as potential PFs in the Nets’ banged up line-up, Teletovic easily has the most upside.
He actually compares remarkably well to Channing Frye at the same age (28), especially in points and rebounds, but with an even better strike rate from three going by their per-36 minute stats. Sure, he’s only in his second season whereas Frye was in his seventh, but for a team needing some sort of injection of excitement and spark, he could be the guy.
Nick Young
Swaggy P is an old fashioned gunslinger.
Ruthlessly overconfident and always thinking the shot’s going to go in, he’s a decent fantasy option because his coach – Mr Pringles himself, Mike D’Antoni – actually has bought into this ‘Swag’.
Young has always been able to score; no matter where he’s been he’s been capable of putting up 20 points on any given night. He’s essentially a younger version of JR Smith, but without the play-making abilities and the off-court problems Smith has had.
Young’s most recent five games has seen a nice spike in some useful fantasy stats, as he’s played at least 30 minutes in each contest and produced 21 points per game with 45/89 shooting splits. Sure, he’s been weak in other stats, particularly assists (just 1.4 per game) as well as just 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks, but you’re not adding him for those counting stats.
He’s scored at least 13 points in each of his last 11 games, and if you can take anything from a D’Antoni squad, it’s that there’s always going to be minutes for a scorer off the bench (see Barbosa, Leandro circa 2006-2009).
Young’s hitting the three ball at a career high-tying 1.7 per game, while he’s also taking and making career highs from the free throw line.
In a daily league, Young’s not a bad option to shore up your threes and free throw percentages, while he’s also the perfect complement for a player like Josh Smith or Andre Drummond who can bury you knee deep in sh…strife in those cats.