2011 Fantasy Baseball, Week 22 Sit Em/Start Em: Get Matt Wieters, Dexter Fowler In Your Lineups
Matt Wieters |Baltimore Orioles| (93.5%) – Wieters has suffered from streak-itus all year long. He’ll play hot for a week then take a couple weeks off and repeat. It looks like this next week might by the peak of his current hot streak. Over the last 15 games Wieters is hitting .317 with three homeruns. Fortunately for Wieters, of the seven games next week, four come against left-handed starters. Against lefties this year the switch-hitting catcher has a .340 average (101 points higher than vs. righties) and .417 OBP (122 points higher than vs. righties). Against lefties Wieters’ slugging and OPS splits are nearly double that of his vs. righties splits. Wieters is hitting .371 through 35 career at-bats against the three Rays starters that he faces this next week.
Dexter Fowler |Colorado Rockies| (27%) – Fowler has turned his season around since the break hitting 62 points higher and posting an OBP of .400. He is one of the few Rockies that actually shows regression in his stats while playing at home which is good news for this upcoming week. All six of Fowler’s games this week are on the road. First stop is Chase Field. While playing at both Chase Field and PETCO Park this year, Fowler is hitting .351 through 37 combined at-bats. Fowler could be a nice waiver pick-up for the week offering your lineup speed and hits to help close the standings gap in your league.
Sit ‘Em
Jose Tabata |Pittsburgh Pirates| (57.2%) – Since coming off the DL Tabata has not only signed a long-term extension, but proved that he’s worth the money as well. A closer look at his splits might help you prepare for the inevitable, a regression to his means. This week Tabata and the Pirates play seven games, with only one being at home. The other six will be played at both Houston and then Chicago. On the road this year Tabata is a different person. Away from PNC Tabata is hitting only .219 with a .303 OBP. Those are drop-offs of nearly 100 points in each category. Between home and away games his OPS drops nearly 250 points. In 122 combined career at-bats against both Houston and Chicago Tabata is hitting .246 with a .308 OBP, 32 points lower than his career batting average and 44 points lower than his career OBP. At both Minute Maid Park and Wrigley Field combined, Tabata is hitting .215. Wait for a string of home games before giving him the green light again.
Adam Jones |Baltimore Orioles| (100%) – The same reasons that make Jones’ previously mentioned teammate Wieters a savvy pick this week, are the same reasons why Jones should be benched for the week. Against left-handed pitchers Jones is hitting 69 points lower (.244). Furthermore, of his 22 total homeruns, only four have come against left-handed pitchers. This is evident in the 140 point drop in his slugging percentage against lefties. Against the three Toronto starts that Jones faces, he’s hitting .213. In 43 career at-bats against the Rays starters, Jones is hitting .233. Furtering the case to bench Jones is his horrendous average at Tropicana Field. While playing there Jones is hitting .202 in 94 career at-bats.
Written by James Bryce exclusively for TheFantasyFix.com
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(July 24, 2011 – Photo by Jeff Golden/Getty Images North America)
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