Adrian Peterson – $6,600 vs. Seattle – Seattle’s been the second-best defense against running backs this year, but when the player and value are this good you’ve got to go against the grain. This is Peterson’s lowest price of the season despite scoring in four straight games (five total scores) and totaling over 100 yards in five of his last six (averaging 139 total yards in those six games). Peterson has seen at least 20 touches in nine games this year, so you know the workload will be there. Seattle has allowed at least 27 points in six games, so there’s a good chance Peterson scores and tops 100 total yards.
Doug Martin – $5,900 vs. Atlanta – Martin has seen some consistent workloads this year, but he’s still shown a boom-or-bust propensity. He has four games of at least 23 points, and now he has the 30th-ranked defense coming to town. In 11 games Atlanta has allowed 15 touchdowns, 87 catches and 1,674 total yards to running backs. Martin has been inconsistent in the passing game this year, but he’s done enough to think that he’ll be involved in it Sunday. The Falcons just got shredded by AP last week, and they got shredded by the senior citizen duo of Frank Gore and Ahmad Bradshaw the week before that. Martin is a good tournament play this week.
DeAngelo Williams – $5,600 vs. Indianapolis – Pittsburgh should be big favorites in this game, so Williams figures to get a lot of work. He only had eight carries against Seattle, but he still scored 24 points thanks to eight catches and 77 receiving yards. He’s Pittsburgh’s only quality running back, so he’ll be on the field regardless of score. Indy has allowed 12 touchdowns to running backs, so odds are that Williams scores this Sunday.
Jonathan Stewart – $5,300 at New Orleans – This is strictly a cash-game play as Stewart has topped double-digits in points in six of his last seven games, but he’s only topped 20 points twice in that stretch. He still has Cam Newton to battle with for rushing opportunities. New Orleans has given up the second-most rushing yards on only the eighth-most attempts. Carolina should be up in this game, so Stewart should get plenty of run here.
Eddie Lacy – $5,000 at Detroit – Lacy has seen 23 and 21 touches, respectively, the last two weeks, and he’s rewarded the Green Bay coaches’ faith in him with 106 and 139 total yards, respectively, in those games. He’s still priced well-below where he was even four weeks ago, and Detroit’s the eighth-worst defense against running backs. The Lions have surrendered 13 touchdowns to running backs, all of which have come on the ground. Lacy should see plenty of work and scoring opportunities this Thursday.
C.J. Anderson – $3,500 at San Diego – Anderson crushed the Patriots Sunday night for 153 total yards on only 19 touches. He had 14 touches the week before, and it seems like he’s benefiting from the change in offense in Denver. He’s averaging over six yards a carry in the last five weeks. Now he gets the worst defense at defending running backs, and since his price is so low you have to roll with him. San Diego has allowed 13 touchdowns to running backs, and it’s allowing over five yards a carry and 10 yards a reception to running backs.