Daily Fantasy Football Strategy: Wild Card Round Tight Ends
The NFL playoffs are here and so is Daily Fantasy Football at DraftKings. I’m back to provide recommendations for Tight Ends for your weekly lineup. This week is the perfect week to take a dip into the Daily Fantasy pool as you can win $1,000,000! Daily Fantasy can help you with lineup decision for your season-long league and give you another team to root on during the weekend.
This is a great week to check out DraftKings and pick up a new way to play fantasy football.
DraftKings Tight End Recommendations
If you’ve never played on DraftKings before, you can get a deposit bonus by signing up. And there are different options to pick from at DraftKings for any skill level.
Finally, a gentle reminder on the scoring for Tight Ends – this is a PPR site so remember that when selecting players. The full for scoring for Tight Ends is at the end of this column.
Tight Ends can also be used in the flex position at DraftKings. However, with the entire world of RBs and WRs at your disposal Rob Gronkowski is probably the only TE you’d consider as a flex option. TEs still make a viable option at the flex spot as long as the pricing continues to be soft.
Let’s take a look at a couple of options at each price point. For those who are new to the column, I’ll generally look at a couple of options in each pricing tier broken out based on the socioeconomic status of 1970s sitcom families. And I’ll always cover Rob Gronkowski.
I’ll mention Football Outsiders a lot over the season – the passes per game and yards per game stats I use are from Football Outsiders. Here is the link to Football Outsiders’ 2013 stats. FO stats for 2014 are here and I like to use the defense versus types of receivers to fill out my rosters. And we now have 2015 stats located here.
Teams on bye: A lot of teams are golfing right now.
Over/Under
IMPORTANT: We have two games Saturday and two games on Sunday and DraftKings has slates for every mix of games.
We’ve added a new feature this year highlighting the top totals (over/under) in Vegas for the week.
The top over/under totals for Week 17 (according to Vegas Insider consensus):
Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans – 40 points
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals – 45.5 points
Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings – 40 points
Green Bay Packers at Washington – 45 points
Mork and Mindy
We have renamed the Gronk Tier the Mork and Mindy Tier as it’s clear that Gronk is not of this world.
Rob Gronkowski | Patriots | – On bye this week, but he’ll be back.
The Jeffersons
Jordan Reed | Washington | $6,300 – The Packers had a run of five straight weeks where they gave up a TD to a TE. However, they weren’t giving up big yardage (only one 100-yard game in those five and only two over 60 yards). But it’s Jordan Reed. It’s Washington. He IS their offense. There really isn’t a reason I can throw out there to tell you not to play him. His lowest DK output in the three weeks before his Week 17 “bye” was 27.4 points in Week 15. He had two weeks of nine catches in those three games, two 120+ yards receiving in those three games and five TDs. He’s elite.
Tyler Eifert | Bengals | $5,000 – Eifert’s value is almost completely in his ability to score TDs. He has had five catches or more only three times this year and the last time was in Week 9. If I want to play TD roulette, I’ll go down in salary to manage my risk.
All in the Family
Travis Kelce | Chiefs | $4,500 – Kelce faced the Texans in Week 1 and had six catches (on six targets) for 106 yards and two TDs. Now, Week 1 was a long time ago, so we’ll discount that performance just a bit. And the Texans defense has been stout over the last couple of months. The Texans have only allowed three TDs to TEs since that Week 1 Kelce outburst. And Kelce has only three TDs since Week 1. The only angle in for me is that Alex Smith has been a monster in his three playoff games throwing nine TDs in three games. Perhaps he’ll throw the ball a ton? Perhaps not….
Richard Rodgers | Packers | $4,000 – Washington has given up some big games to TEs over the last month of the season giving up 19 or more points to TEs in three of the last four weeks. The Packers’ WRs have shown to be pedestrian, so Rodgers offers some hope at $4,000. But before last week’s solid game, Rodgers had three catches in his three prior games.
Good Times
Kyle Rudolph | Vikings| $3,500 – Rudolph has alternated double digit DK points with sub five-point performances every week since Week 12. He had only one target last week and didn’t catch it putting up a zero. So, it’s likely very few players will be on him this week. Rudolph had three catches and 13 yards in the Week 13 matchup with the Seahawks. The floor is low, but the ceiling does offer profit potential.
Heath Miller | Steelers | $3,300 – Miller has 20 catches in his two games against the Bengals this year so if you want to punt TEs, Miller is the way to go and he’s probably the only TE I’d argue to start over Jordan Reed this week. And if the Steelers don’t have DeAngelo Williams, I can see the Steelers throwing all day long.
Sanford and Son
As we strive to give you more and more each week, we’ve added a new tier. The Sanford & Son tier. If you want to go dumpster diving hoping to find that gem, let Sanford & Son be your guide. You hear that Elizabeth? I’m coming to join ya!
Chase Coffman | Seahawks | $2,800 – Coffman had his first NFL work last week since Week 2. He contributed four catches and a TD.
Luke Willson | Seahawks | $2,600 – Willson is out this weekend. Willson is still in the league concussion protocol as of Thursday. He’s unlikely to play.
Ryan Griffin | Texans | $2,600– He a TE on the Texans’ roster.
Cooper Helfet | Seahawks | $2,500– Helfet has back to back four catch games for the Seahawks. Any receiver on the Seahawks is tough to trust, but if you need the extra $800 and can’t roster Heath Miller, Helfet is the punt play for me.
DraftKings Tight End Scoring
10 Receiving Yards = +1PT (+0.1PT per yard is awarded)
Reception = +1PT
Receiving TD = +6PTs
100+ Yard Receiving Game = +3PTs
Fumble Lost = -1PT
2 Point Conversion (Pass, Run, or Catch) = +2PTs
Offensive Fumble Recovery TD = +6PTs
The full DraftKings scoring system is here.