Kemp & Braun, 30/30 in Twenty-Ten?
A player who hits 30 homers and steals 30 bases is said to have joined the 30/30 club. The 30/30 club has been achieved 54 times in the modern era of baseball. Barry & Bobby Bonds combined, have accounted for ten of them. The more elite and rare club is the 40/40, which has been achieved by Jose Canseco, Barry Bonds, Alex Rodriguez and Alfonso Soriano. The 50/50 has never been reached, but Alex Rodriguez is said to have come closest in 1998 when he went 42/46 as a member of the Seattle Mariners.
Ian Kinsler was the only player in MLB to achieve 30/30 in the 2009 season with 31 jacks and 30 stolen bags. Unfortunately, Ian started off the 2010 season on the disabled list, likely keeping him from back to back seasons in the 30/30 club.
The following have the best chance to join the elite 30/30 club in the 2010 season:
Ryan Braun (OF-MIL)
This kid is legit. Through 21 games, Braun has put 5 balls in the seats and swiped 6 bags. Projected over the course of an entire season, Braun could potentially reach the 40/40 plateau. Last year, Braun didn’t steal his sixth base until mid-June, so he’s a month ahead of schedule in that category. My Guess: 38/35.
Matt Kemp (OF-LAD)
Like Ryan Braun, Kemp is one of the brightest young talents in the big leagues. In 2009, Kemp came ultra close to joining the 30/30 fraternity, finishing the season with 26 HR & 34 SB. While he finished just shy in the HR category in 2009, he sure is off to a quick start this year, as Matt currently has 7 HR in just 21 games. This pace, projected over the course of a full season would put him in the 45+ HR range. In 2008 & 2009, Kemp stole 35 & 34 bases respectively. Expect Kemp to join the elite 30/30 club in 2010. My Guess: 42/34.
Nelson Cruz (OF-TEX)
In 2009, Nelly went 33/20 in just 128 games. Nelly got off to a fast start in 2010 with 7/5. Cruz recently hit the disabled list with an aggravated hamstring, putting his potential bid for a 30/30 or even a 40/40 season in jeopardy. I hope this kid gets healthy soon, he’s one of the most exciting players in the game. My Guess: 35/26
Next In Line: Carlos Gonzalez (OF-COL)
CarGo, as he’s well known throughout the media, fits the same mold as Braun & Kemp. Although CarGo doesn’t have a full MLB season under his belt yet, he did manage to hit 13 HR and steal 16 bags in 86 appearances in 2009 for the Rockies. While I don’t think he will be able to achieve 30/30 this season, I believe he’s one year away. The fact that three former Rockies are 30/30 members (Walker, Burks & Bichette) lead me to believe that playing home games at Coors Field will enhance his chances. My Guess: 28/32.
Is it any coincidence that Braun and Kemp were probably drafted in the first round of your fantasy baseball draft? I think not. There is no evidence to support that the first two will slow down and the latter two won’t continue to get better. Get them on your team any chance you get. They will lead you to the “Fantasy Promise Land!”
Do you have any other potential 30/30 candidates?
Please leave feedback by using the comment link at the top of this article, or hit us up on Twitter!
Twitter.com/thefantasyfix
Tags: The Fantasy Fix, Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Sports Blog, Matt Kemp, Los Angeles Dodgers, Ryan Braun, Milwaukee Brewers, Carlos Gonzalez, Colorado Rockies, Nelson Cruz, Texas Rangers, Willie Mays, Bobby Bonds, Barry Bonds, Dale Murphy, Daryl Strawberry, Alex Rodriguez, Alfonso Soriano, Hanley Ramirez, Jose Conseco, Dante Bichette, Larry Walker, Ellis Burks, 30/30 Club, 40/40 Club, Fonzy Scheme