Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy: August 6, 2015
Welcome back to another edition of “Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy.” After a few nights of jam packed slates, tonight’s slate is only composed of five games. Nevertheless, we’ll keep pushing through. As always, I’ve taken a look at the pitching options, the best teams to stack from and an individual set of player rankings.
Be sure to sign up at DraftKings if you haven’t already!
Forecast
The only game that appears to have a significant chance of weather is in Atlanta. With only five games on the slate, this would be a significant blow to the player pool. Please continue to monitor this situation.
Pitching Perspective
“PROCEED WITH CAUTION!”
Yuck. I know we all look forward to playing every night, but a word of caution, tonight might not be a bad night to decrease the percentage of your bankroll in play.
The top option tonight will be a fist fight between Chris Heston and Jason Hammel who will square off against each other in Wrigley Field. Both Hammel and Heston have been solid arms this year, and each has a fighting chance at producing a solid game tonight.
Heston will get the benefit of pitching against a Cubs team that strikes out more than anytime in the league, but also one that could strike at any time.
On the other hand, Hammel is facing a Giants offense that is almost at full strength, and although they’re gaining a positive park shift away from home, it won’t be anything crazy to make note of. Hammel is an extreme flyball guy, but he has also made huge strides in striking hitters out, sending a guy back to the bench nearly once per inning this season. There is currently no line for this game, but I’ll be curious to see what it is, as that will have some bearing on the strength of these pitchers tonight.
If you wish to try and take advantage of weak offenses, maybe you can look towards Matt Wisler. Wisler will be pitching at home against a Giancarlo-less Miami team. I know I’ve said this a bunch in the past, but their offense has plenty of holes. Wisler has not been great this season, and doesn’t record many strikeouts, but again, on a night with not many options, I’m going to try and scathe by with arms that aren’t facing spectacular offenses.
Last but not least, Scott Feldman deserves some consideration. Feldman hasn’t been good since being traded for Jake Arrieta and Pedro Strop a few years ago, but he’s one of the best arms on the slate (puke). He doesn’t strike out a lot of hitters, but he does get a bunch of groundballs, and he’ll be pitching in a friendly park tonight. His xFIP (3.77) actually suggests he’s been much better than his ERA says. Perhaps worth a roll of the dice?
Stacking Options
1. The Toronto Blue Jays – Yep, the Jays are still at home, and are still facing bad pitchers. They’re going to be the most popular option tonight, and rightfully so. Because there are no dynamic arms on the bill, you can afford to fit these guys around either arm you might use in cash games. You’ll want exposure to them against Kyle Gibson, there’s no reason to fade.
2. The New York Yankees – This seems eerily similar to yesterday, when the Yanks were baffled by Steven Wright‘s knuckler, but they need to be a focal point of your tournament lineups and cash game entries because of the lack of production elsewhere. Eduardo Rodriguez has slowed down a bunch and is susceptible to the long ball. Roll out Chris Young and ARod as solid values.
3. Tie – Minnesota Twins and Boston Red Sox – Neither the Twins nor Red Sox are getting much love from Vegas this early in the day, but both make for interesting plays on a night with only 10 teams in action. The Twins are in a great hitting environment and are best suited to attack southpaws like Mark Buehrle. Fire up Dozier and Miguel Sano.
The Red Sox offense isn’t as talented or as deep as the Twins, but they get to face CC Sabathia in a great hitters park. There isn’t a whole lot for me to love from them, but Xander Bogaerts, Hanley and Mike Napoli should be on your radar.
Player Rankings
Catcher
1. Russell Martin -$4,100 – Toronto Blue Jays
2. Buster Posey -$4,700 – San Francisco Giants
3. Kyle Schwarber -$3,700 – Chicago Cubs
First Basemen
1. Edwin Encarnacion -$4,200 – Toronto Blue Jays
2. Mark Teixeira -$5,400 – New York Yankees
3. Mike Napoli -$3,600 – Boston Red Sox
Second Basmen
1. Brian Dozier -$4,800 – Minnesota Twins
2. Jose Altuve -$4,500 – Houston Astros
3. Dee Gordon -$4,500 – Miami Marlins
Third Basemen
1. Miguel Sano -$4,300 – Minnesota Twins
2. Alex Rodriguez -$5,300 – New York Yankees
3. Josh Donaldson -$6,200 – Toronto Blue Jays
Shortstop
1. Troy Tulowitzki -$5,000 – Toronto Blue Jays
2. Hanley Ramirez -$4,000 – Boston Red Sox
3. Carlos Correa -$5,300 – Houston Astros
Outfield
1. Jose Bautista -$5,200 – Toronto Blue Jays
2. Chris Young -$3,300 – New York Yankees
3. Carlos Gomez -$4,400 – Houston Astros
Starting Pitchers
1. Jason Hammel -$10,300 – Chicago Cubs
2. Chris Heston -$9,800 – San Francisco Giants
3. Matt Wisler -$7,400 – Atlanta Braves
4. Scott Feldman -$7,000 – Houston Astros