Below is a breakdown of Sunday’s Week 3 NFL contests on DraftKings along with player rankings. Keep in mind that price has a huge impact on a player’s ranking.

Quarterback

1. Russell Wilson – $7,000 – Seattle Seahawks
2. Ryan Fitzpatrick – $5,100 – New York Jets
3. Cam Newton – $6,800 – Carolina Panthers
4. Carson Palmer – $6,600 – Arizona Cardinals

Russell Wilson ranks 10th among quarterbacks in fantasy points through two weeks even though he hasn’t yet had a really good matchup. According to 4for4.com’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA), Wilson has faced the fourth and 14th toughest opponents for quarterbacks (St. Louis and Green Bay). But this week he finally gets a choice matchup against the Bears who rank 30th in aFPA against quarterbacks. The Bears rank dead last in both total defensive DVOA and passing DVOA through two weeks, so the matchup arguably couldn’t be any better. Marshawn Lynch is also a game-time decision for this one and could be out or limited if he does play. That should allow Wilson to see a higher market share of the team’s work on Sunday.

If you want to go with a value play at quarterback, Ryan Fitzpatrick is probably too cheap. He hasn’t broken out with a big yardage game in the first two weeks, but he has thrown two touchdown passes in each game with an interception in each game as well. He didn’t crack 200 yards against a tough Cleveland secondary, but he threw for 244 last week in a softer matchup against Indianapolis. This week he’ll have an even slightly softer matchup against Philly who ranks 29th in aFPA against quarterbacks and 21st in passing DVOA. At just $100 over the minimum price, Fitzpatrick has nice value potential.

With Wilson only being $200 and $400 more expensive than Cam Newton and Carson Palmer, I’m not really keen on rostering either of them. I’d much rather find a few extra bucks to roster Wilson. But Newton has a really good matchup against the Saints and Palmer has seven touchdowns through two weeks, so they’re both options if you don’t like Wilson for some reason and/or you’re looking to diversify across multiple lineups.

Running Back

1. Le’Veon Bell – $7,500 – Pittsburgh Steelers
2. Devonta Freeman – $4,600 – Atlanta Falcons
3. Dion Lewis – $4,200 – New England Patriots
4. T.J. Yeldon – $4,400 – Jacksonville Jaguars
5. Danny Woodhead – $4,400 – San Diego Chargers
6. Jonathan Stewart – $4,900 – Carolina Panthers
7. James Starks – $3,000 – Green Bay Packers

Running back is an absolute dumpster fire this week. Look at that group of names! And Devonta Freeman is second on the list for Pete’s sake. With Marshawn Lynch too risky to play given the uncertainty about his health, no top running backs have good matchups this week. Justin Forsett has a nice matchup against Cincinnati I suppose, but he’s not a top running back and Lorenzo Taliaferro played almost as much as Forsett did last week.

Le’Veon Bell is certainly a top running back, and he makes his return from suspension this week. The problem is that he’ll face a Rams defense that is fifth in aFPA against running backs in PPR leagues. I’m a bit hesitant to spend so much on a guy with such an unfriendly matchup, but I can’t find anywhere else to spend it at this position. The other problem is that I’d probably prefer to roster Antonio Brown over Bell. But, again, I can’t bring myself to rank any other expensive backs. I suppose Adrian Peterson and Jamaal Charles would be the other choices, but I’m having a tough time justifying paying their price.

As for Freeman, I truly can’t believe I’m ranking him as the second best running back for the week. The guy simply isn’t that talented as he’s averaging just 3.3 yards per carry in his first 87 NFL carries. BUT. But. He should see a healthy majority of the work out of his backfield, which isn’t something you can say with as much certainty about the other cheap backs ranked here. He got the goal line carry last week, and he has seven receptions through two games, so he figures to be provided with opportunities to rack up fantasy points in a PPR format like DraftKings. And his matchup with Dallas is above average as the Cowboys rank 21st in aFPA against RBs in PPR leagues. I feel gross ranking him this high, but I see no good alternatives.

At three through five in the rankings we have some guys that I considered ranking above Freeman but ultimately couldn’t for various reasons. Dion Lewis has worked as New England’s lead back for two weeks now, but never trust Bill Belichick with running backs. And there’s a similar concern with Danny Woodhead who will almost certainly not see the most touches among the San Diego running backs. He obviously does damage with his work and all the receptions help on DK, but you’re always rolling the dice a bit when you roster a guy who is not assured of volume. T.J. Yeldon should see volume as he has 37 carries through two weeks compared to just six for Denard Robinson. But game flow could well work against him as Jacksonville faces New England this week. With Lewis being a bit cheaper, plenty involved in the passing game through two weeks, and the most productive of the three so far, he’s the one I’d prefer to roster.

Down the list we have Jonathan Stewart and James Starks who I’d probably prefer to roster over the Lewis-Woodhead-Yeldon trio if injuries weren’t an issue. Stewart is expected to play on Sunday but was limited in practice this week, so he’s very hard to trust. I’d rather lean on Cam in that one and hope Stewart is in fact limited allowing Cam to see a bit more work. Starks isn’t hurt but Eddie Lacy is, and Starks’ value is obviously wholly dependent on Lacy’s availability. Starks wouldn’t have a great matchup against Kansas City, but I wouldn’t care too much about his matchup if Lacy were inactive and I could roster a starting running back in Starks for the minimum price. But with Green Bay playing on Monday night, we may not have enough information by Sunday morning to comfortably forego other options in favor of rolling the dice with Starks.

Whoever you end up rostering at running back, I wouldn’t roster a third back in your flex spot this week. I generally lean toward receivers in the flex to begin with in a PPR format, but I’ll almost certainly go with a receiver there this week.

Wide Receiver

1. Antonio Brown – $8,900 – Pittsburgh Steelers
2. Brandon Marshall – $6,200 – New York Jets
3. Demaryius Thomas – $8,000 – Denver Broncos
4. Larry Fitzgerald – $5,800 – Arizona Cardinals
5. Allen Robinson – $5,200 – Jacksonville Jaguars
6. Julian Edelman – $7,000 – New England Patriots
7. Jarvis Landry – $6,400 – Miami Dolphins
8. Doug Baldwin – $4,000 – Seattle Seahawks

Spend your money on receivers. Four of them.

Antonio Brown continues to be the unequivocal top receiver. While St. Louis is stout against the run, they rank 20th in aFPA against receivers in PPR leagues, so the matchup isn’t prohibitive for Brown. I’d say Le’Veon Bell‘s return could eat into Brown’s production, but Brown still did plenty of damage with DeAngelo Williams carrying the ball 41 times for 204 yards and three touchdowns in the first two weeks of the season.

If you decide to go cheap at quarterback, you’ve got to stack Fitzpatrick with Brandon Marshall. Even if you don’t use Fitzpatrick, you should still probably roster Marshall. Through two weeks with Fitzpatrick, Marshall has 13 receptions and a touchdown in each game. The matchup with Philadelphia is good with the Eagles ranking 26th in aFPA against receivers in PPR leagues. Eric Decker did not practice Wednesday and Thursday, and it’s unclear how much work he did on Friday, so he could be inactive or limited on Sunday, allowing Marshall to see a larger share of the targets.

Next up is Demaryius Thomas, though I also considered Emmanuel Sanders here. I like Denver’s receivers a bit this week against the Lions who rank 18th in aFPA against receivers in PPR leagues. The Broncos have used Thomas and Sanders on both sides of the field fairly equally, so there’s no individual matchup that is better for one reciever than the other as Detroit leaves their corners on a specific side of the field almost exclusively. Ultimately I’m going with Thomas because he has seen more targets per route run this year. Sanders has seen more fantasy points per route, but that’s primarily because he has scored twice and Thomas has yet to score. Put me down for the bigger receiver finding the end zone this week.

Larry Fitz is back! I bid $10 on him in my home auction league, which was obviously a mistake given that I could have had home for a dollar or three. But I did like him entering the season, and he has delivered in a big way. The three touchdowns in Week 2 were obviously huge, but don’t forget that he caught six balls for 87 yards in Week 1. He’s seeing more targets per route run than the other Arizona receivers by a decent margin, so he’s Palmer’s go-to guy. The matchup is very good against San Francisco who ranks 28th in aFPA against receivers in PPR leagues and who got torched by Brown for 9/195 last week.

I mentioned earlier that Yeldon might not have game flow working in his favor, and if that’s the case, game flow will be working in favor of Allen Robinson. After a disappointing Week 1, Robinson bounced back in a big way last week with 155 yards and two scores. If you throw out the very first game of his career, Robinson is averaging 14.18 DK points per game in 11 games. If you throw out Week 1 both this year and last, he’s averaging 15.23 DK points per game in 10 games. If you got 15.23 out of him this week at his price tag, that would be plenty of value. But there’s obviously upside for more.

Julian Edelman and Jarvis Landry are your cash game options with limited upside. Dating back to last year, Edelman has at least five receptions in eight straight games, and he’s averaging 8.6 catches per game over that time frame. He also has five touchdowns in those eight games, though two scores last week is skewing that a bit. Count on him for the catches and the high floor, but don’t count on the upside. As for Landry, he has at least five catches in his last 11 regular season games with an average of 6.8 catches per game. He hasn’t caught a touchdown in his last seven games, so he too can’t be counted on for upside, but the high floor is definitely there.

Tight End

1. Travis Kelce – $5,000 – Kansas City Chiefs
2. Eric Ebron – $3,300 – Detroit Lions
3. Heath Miller – $3,500 – Pittsburgh Steelers
4. Jared Cook – $2,800 – St. Louis Rams

Before discussing the tight ends individually, let me say that I’ll likely end up choosing my tight end based on how much money I have left over after picking players from the positions discussed above. Ideally I’ll be able to pay up for a top tight end in Kelce who’s quite a bit cheaper than Gronk and even a fair bit cheaper than Graham, but I typically go cheaper at the position.

I mentioned earlier the possibility that Bell’s return could eat into Brown’s production before dismissing it as a real concern, but with Bell and Brown active, Heath Miller could be one too many mouths for Pittsburgh to feed on a regular basis. Pittsburgh’s tendency to go for two could net Miller an extra two points here and there, but I worry about his volume this week and don’t particularly love his matchup against the Rams who rank 8th in aFPA against tight ends in PPR leagues.

Eric Ebron has a much better matchup against Denver who ranks 26th in aFPA against tight ends in PPR leagues. Ebron has 15 targets through two weeks and a touchdown in each game, so he’s looking far more reliable than he ever was last year. Jared Cook also has a better matchup than Miller on the other side of that Steelers-Rams game as Pittsburgh ranks 21st in aFPA against the tight end. Like Ebron, Cook has seen a steady dose of targets through two weeks with 13 total this season.

Defense

1. New England Patriots – $3,100
2. Philadelphia Eagles – $2,700

If you don’t have to go as cheap as you can at defense, roster the Pats against the Jags. Jacksonville is 32nd in aFPA against opposing defenses and is 26th so far in pro-football-reference.com’s expected points metric after finishing next to last in that statistic last year. As for the Eagles, you obviously shouldn’t roster them if going with the Fitzpatrick-Marshall stack suggested above, but they’re an option otherwise. The Eagles D ranks 12th in Football Outsiders’ DAVE rankings, which combine preseason projections and performance to date, so the Eagles have a decent defense. And the Jets rank 26th in aFPA against opposing defenses, so the matchup is good.