Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy: June 30, 2016 – FanDuel Value Plays
Below we’ve got a discussion on some some MLB DFS value plays for Thursday’s eight-game evening slate on FanDuel. These are some names to consider for salary relief without completely punting the position. Our friends at RotoQL have once again been used to help guide your research for today’s games. To learn more about RotoQL or to take a look at the packages they have to offer, please follow this link – it will truly help you become a better daily fantasy baseball player — and will give you a full look at value plays for each position, for each site.
Always double check team’s official lineups and the weather prior to submitting your lineups.
Steven Moya | Tigers | $3,000 (FD) – The price on Steven Moya is creeping up a bit. Today he’ll get Jake Odorizzi and the Tampa Bay Rays on the road with a game total of eight runs. The Tigers have an implied team total of 4.3 runs at the the time of this writing and Moya should hit seventh. He’ll get the platoon advantage against right-hander Jake Odorizzi and owns a career .373 wOBA and a .247 ISO versus RHP. Odorizzi does have some minor reverse splits — when he allows hitters of the same handedness to perform better than those with the platoon advantage — allowing righties to hit for a .325 wOBA and lefties a .289 wOBA for his career, but that shouldn’t sway us from rostering Moya.
Chase d’Arnaud | Braves | $2,400 (FD) – Jace Peterson has been getting much of the run at the keystone for Atlanta against both righties and lefties, but if by chance Chase d’Arnaud gets the nod for Atlanta today against southpaw Wei-Yen Chen, he grades out as one of the best values according to the model today. d’Arnaud owns a career .300 wOBA against left-handed hurlers to pair with just a .119 ISO, but it’s Chen that allows a .335 wOBA to right-handers as well as a greater fly ball percentage and home run total. The Braves infielder can run as well, so a couple of hits and a swipe is not out of the question. Again, double check the lineups.
Oswaldo Arcia | Rays | $2,500 (FD) – Oswaldo Arcia was a late scratch from Wednesday’s lineup do to an undisclosed illness, so like d’Arnaud above, please check to make sure he’s healthy and back in the Rays’ lineup before clicking the submit button. At just $2,500, Arcia appears to be one of the best values on the day according to the model against right-hander Jordan Zimmermann of the Tigers. The Rays have an implied team total of 4.1 runs as a slight -110 favorite at home and Arcia should probably be in the seven-hole if he’s a go today. For his career, Arcia is a .342 wOBA and .228 ISO guy against right-handed hurlers. Thirty-five of his career 41 homers have also come against righties. Zimmermann started the season with a hot hand, but he’s allowed seven earned runs in three of his past seven starts. The ERA-FIP model doesn’t love Zimmermann either, so we shouldn’t be afraid to pick on him.
Tyler Flowers | Braves | $2,300 (FD) – Flowers should get the nod here against the southpaw Wei-Yen Chen in Atlanta. There is some threat of rain, so keep an eye on that as well as the lineup once it’s officially announced. The game total sits at eight with the implied run total for Atlanta at 3.6 while the wind is slightly blowing out towards left field at the time of this writing. Flowers owns a career .299 wOBA with a .150 ISO against left-handed pitchers with 35 of his 51 career homers coming against LHP as well. Flowers shows up as one of the top value plays at catcher today for FanDuel according to the model.