Bartolo Colon |Oakland Athletics| (28.8%) – Bartolo Colon has rekindled the fire that once burned bright in his belly. Whether he’s throwing down the calories or fastballs, Colon should be in for another great week. He faces the White Sox at home to start the week off. In his current resurrection, Colon has only faced the White Sox once. In that start Colon gave up only one run in eight innings garnering a win in the process. Current White Sox hitters are only hitting a combined .255 in 110 at-bats along with a .308 OBP. Colon next pitches in Baltimore against the Orioles. Much like the White Sox, the Orioles are hitting a combined .252 against Colon. Only 25% of those hits against Colon went for extra bases.
Brandon Morrow |Toronto Blue Jays| (97.8%) – Brandon Morrow typically serves as a one or maybe two category pitcher serving up strikeouts and wins while towing a ballooning ERA and WHIP. This week Morrow might be able to keep his ERA and WHIP down while bringing home the strikeout bacon. His first start of the week comes against the Kansas City Royals. Current Royals hitters are batting a meager .245 against Morrow throughout his career. Over the last three years in three starts Morrow has held the Royals to a .239 BAA. The week gets easier for Morrow when he travels to Safeco Field to face the Mariners. In 100.2 innings pitched at Safeco, Morrow has a K/IP ratio of 11.52, an ERA of 2.95, and an amazing .177 BAA. In 69 career at-bats against Morrow, Seattle hitters are hitting .232 and striking out at a blazing rate of 33%.
Two-Start Pitchers to Sit
Jair Jurrjens |Atlanta Braves| (22%) – Jurrjens is a free-falling knife. Make sure your team is not the one that suffers by catching him on waivers. Jurrjens faces a formidable challenge this week against both the Dodgers and the Pirates. The Dodger’s lineup is hitting .303 and has a .411 OBP against Jurrjens through 76 at-bats. Jurrjens has historically fared well against his next opponent, the Pirates. However, his historical day-game splits or horrendous. Throughout his career Jurrjens has started 29 games during the day. In those games Jurrjens has a 4.80 ERA and 1.41 OBP.
Ervin Santana |Los Angeles Angels| (91.4%) – Ervin Santana pitches against two of the strongest lineups in baseball this week. First, he faces the Tampa Bay Rays in Tampa. In 8 starts at Tropicana Field Santana has a 6.60 ERA and a 1-8 win-loss record. Hitters have a .316 average against Santana at Tropicana Field. Santana won’t be able to escape his troubles this week when he moves to Rangers Ballpark. In 14 career starts at the Ballpark in Arlington Santana has a disgusting 7.19 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. In the 82 inning of those stats Santana has given up an alarming 23 homeruns.
Hitters to Start
Dan Uggla |Atlanta Braves| (100%) – Make sure you get Uggla in your lineup this week if you’ve been hesitant with his tepid start. His first series of the week takes place in Los Angeles against the Dodgers. At Dodger Stadium Uggla has a lifetime batting average of .276 and a .375 OBP. These are 17 and 33 points higher than his career average. The week gets better when Uggla and the Braves take on the Pirates. Against the Pirates, Uggla has a career batting average of .284, an OBP of .355, and 7 homeruns. More specifically, against the three starts that he’ll be facing he has 2 homeruns in only 22 at-bats.
Kelly Johnson |Toronto Blue Jays| (100%) – Kelly Johnson should round out a nice duo of middle infielders to start this week. His first opponent of the week is the Baltimore Orioles. Johnson has 22 at-bats at Camden Yards and a .364 average to show for it. Better yet, half of those hits were for extra bases. Johnson returns home to the Rogers Centre to take on the Mariners after he’s done mopping up Baltimore pitching. Against the Mariners Johnson is hitting .333. If you’re not sold on him yet look at his monthly splits. Johnson has 27 career homeruns in the month of April. His next closest month only has 16 homeruns.
Hitters to Sit
Ike Davis |New York Mets| (83.2%) – Ike Davis’ start has been abysmal. Don’t count on picking up any slack with his 8 game schedule this week. Davis and the Mets will be facing 4 left-handed pitchers. Last year, against left-handed pitching, Davis hit .158 with an OBP of .200. Davis is hitting .167 in 18 at-bats against the Marlins’ starters that he’ll face this week. Against Colorado, Davis is hitting .231 with only 1 extra-base hit in 26 at-bats.
Michael Bourn |Atlanta Braves| (100%) – Michael Bourn has been tearing up the bases to start his 2012 campaign. However, you should think twice about starting him for your team’s weekly speed fix. Bourn will face the Dodgers for his first series of the week. Bourn has a .250 average in 56 at-bats against the three Dodgers starters he’ll face (Capuano, Lilly, Harang). The rest of Bourn’s week doesn’t get any better after his trip to LA. Over the last three years, Bourn is hitting 31 points below his career average against Pittsburgh. Not to mention, Bourn will face left-handed pitcher Erik Bedard. Against left-handed pitching Bourn hits 47 points lower than against his right-handed counterparts.
(February 26, 2012 – Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images North America)