Adrian Peterson – $6,800 vs. Green Bay – All Day has increased his points total in each of his last four games, and he’s gained an average of 156 total yards in the last three games. The Vikings have played very well recently, and Green Bay hasn’t, so I’m looking at Peterson making a statement and continuing his dominant play. Green Bay is pretty decent at defending running backs, but they’ve given up three monster days to them this season. AD should be in for another big game.
Lamar Miller – $6,200 vs. Dallas – Miller has averaged over 26 points a game in his last five, scoring seven total touchdowns and racking up 622 total yards. Dallas has the fourth-easiest defense for running backs to score against, giving up 10 touchdowns in nine games to running backs as well as 162 total yards per game. Miller’s 26 points per game in his last five make him worth about $8,000, so his price tag is well below where it should be.
Latavius Murray – $5,600 at Detroit – Murray’s scored in double-digits each of the last four games, but he’s failed to top 16 points in any one, which has dropped his price to a season-low. It’s time to pounce. He’s still seeing almost 20 touches a game and averaging over 5.3 yards a carry in the last four games. Detroit has allowed 12 touchdowns to running backs in 10 games, including four multi-score games. I expect Murray to have a big game this week.
Danny Woodhead – $5,300 vs. Kansas City – Only twice this season has Woodhead failed to reach double-digits in points. Combine that with San Diego’s anemic rushing offense and the depletion of its receiving corps, and Woodhead’s role should only increase from its already high floor. Kansas City’s pretty good defending running backs, but that’s not a bad thing. The Chiefs have won three straight and have looked pretty good doing it so this should turn into a shootout, which is Woodhead’s specialty.
LeGarrette Blount – $5,000 vs. Buffalo – Blount has seen at least 19 touches in each of the last three games, scoring twice. I’ll never bet against the Pats at home, especially in primetime. The Bills had allowed a running back touchdown in four straight before last week, but Chris Ivory managed 135 total yards on 20 touches. With Blount you’re obviously playing him in tournaments, and there’s no reason not to go back to him again this week.
Charcandrick West – $4,500 at San Diego – West has at least 24 touches, 123 total yards, and one touchdown in each of his last three games. San Diego’s giving up over five yards a carry, 10 yards a catch and 173 total yards per game to opposing running backs. It’s also given up 11 touchdowns in nine games to backs. San Diego has the worst defense against running backs according to ESPN and NFL.com, and West’s price and recent performance make him a GREAT play this week.